Attachments: Gold with No Drama

Gold with No Drama

#24,721
Jan 3, 2026 11:41am Jan 3, 2026 11:41am

notabdullah1
Joined Jul 2025 | Status: Trader | 942 Posts

Quoting T721

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{image}

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i had a feeling that gold will give us a gap up and seems like its up in the weekend market

#24,722
Jan 3, 2026 12:18pm Jan 3, 2026 12:18pm

Haks
| Joined Jan 2023 | Status: Trader | 482 Posts

I feel for anyone that has a short position opened. They could quickly be liquidated as soon as Asia opens tomorrow

#24,723
Jan 3, 2026 1:48pm Jan 3, 2026 1:48pm

Deal
Joined Nov 2024 | Status: Trader | 5,297 Posts

Trade price action is best....

You are forecasting now, just that...
If we go bullish monday, was not because recent news...
If you want to believe in that that's ok...
Even after we had sink in Ny i never change my bullish bias and said it at the close why...
Please, i can be wrong and monday prove that to me, but again... please don't say is because recent news...
You guys have the tendency to look for shift in market structure in lower TF where every shift seems to be a long term bias...
We are bearish but already starting to shift on friday in 1h external and 4h internal respecting Ny demand. Does this playout always? Obvious not...
But probabilistic are higher than 50% not to say other numbers, saying this wich side a trader prefer? above or below 50%??
I saw friday people talking abot close the gap, but i ask what people consider a gap???
I explain already here what a true gap means and is... Sorry, but friday was no gap and the proof is that was not respected, they just seek Ny demand in a Ny rotation...
A gap that don't open above prior 4h candle close is not a meaning gap for me and you all can check in your charts when that happens, the side the 4h open close above or below, how many times that gap didn't protect price from follow thru...
Do you guys know why gaps work? Do you guys know big institutions buy or sell at the close? So knowing this think a little... A big buy or sell will reflect in price heavly, not just an insignificant pips... Do they sign something? Sure, i trade those also, but believe-me the consistency is not the same...
Resuming we are talking gap and up, but why i don't surprise to see a gap down? They do whatever they want, is waste of time forecast Monday...
Safe trades...

#24,724
Jan 3, 2026 3:28pm Jan 3, 2026 3:28pm

Goldslave
Joined Jun 2025 | Status: One Line 4 Sessions | 1,111 Posts

Quoting Dreamy254

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Happy new year everyone, and all the best in your trades… I have a question, Is anyone’s chart started with a gap? {image}

Ignored

Just like Friday Open with the " gap"....it could be happen too at monday.

Obviosly Friday open with the gap...vary for several brokers.

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For me...there is NO obligation for market to fill( close) the gap or not....to fill it at the same day or several weeks/ months later.
If you look at UJ chart October 6th 2025...there is a gap up after new elected PM of Japan.....not filled untill now!

The best thing to avoid trapped gap due to uncontrollable factors at Weekend is to close position before market close.

Unless pretty sure with the analysis .. Gold with or without any news will always rise in long term....just about right timing matters.

My cents

Stay Gold

#24,725
Jan 3, 2026 5:00pm Jan 3, 2026 5:00pm

alireza8088
Joined Oct 2025 | Status: Trader | 469 Posts

After the arrest of the Venezuelan president ! It's the turn of the Iranian leader ! That means after half a century, my people will be free ! The market is controlled by capitalists ! And Trump and Elan Musk are capitalists ! The market has a rapid up and down on Monday ! Just like a storm !

#24,726
Jan 3, 2026 10:17pm Jan 3, 2026 10:17pm

Eren10
Joined Aug 2010 | Status: Trader | 1,762 Posts

Quoting alireza8088

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It's the turn of the Iranian leader ! That means after half a century, my people will be free !

Ignored

Being controlled by usa doesn’t mean you are free. Just it means that you are allowed to live under their rules.

#24,727
Jan 4, 2026 12:56am Jan 4, 2026 12:56am

bdsilvano
Joined Feb 2011 | Status: Forex Master | 3,241 Posts

its a buy whole day for tomorrow resistance is @ 4400 then 4440, support is @ 4320, i believe tomorrow will spike high till 4440 then gradually little down until 4400, then buying resume again. so my outlook its a strong buy for tomorrow

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There is Time for Bull, and Time for Bear. and so be the Wolf.

#24,728
Jan 4, 2026 1:08am Jan 4, 2026 1:08am

notabdullah1
Joined Jul 2025 | Status: Trader | 942 Posts

IDK HOW but i have a red GEM on my name lol

don't take my analysis too seriously i am just a speculator that tries to work on the plan.....And still learning

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#24,729
Jan 4, 2026 1:16am Jan 4, 2026 1:16am

bdsilvano
Joined Feb 2011 | Status: Forex Master | 3,241 Posts

Quoting notabdullah1

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IDK HOW but i have a red GEM on my name lol don't take my analysis too seriously i am just a speculator that tries to work on the plan.....And still learning {image} {image} {image}

Ignored

please tell us what you see base on your drawing of your chart so we can understand

There is Time for Bull, and Time for Bear. and so be the Wolf.

#24,730
Jan 4, 2026 1:37am Jan 4, 2026 1:37am

notabdullah1
Joined Jul 2025 | Status: Trader | 942 Posts

Quoting bdsilvano

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{quote} please tell us what you see base on your drawing of your chart so we can understand

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I typed a whole paragraph and the page got refreshed and every thing got deleted now am typing again........

my analysis is basicly seeing that gold is in a range on friday there were good amount of orders at 404 but that didn't got hit so i'll assume on monday we will visit that price again ....

for the price to get out of range it needs alot of liquidity to push up that i think it doesn't have yet ....
so thinking that price might break out of the range to upside and then it might give us another dump
but buying from the lower side of the range is also good to target upside knowing well the world situation can lead to some uncertainty ....
keep in mind i don't trade with any bias and mostly trade the extremes so i can go for both sides of the track

BUT 1 thing for sure we know is that buying will be corrective and selling will be impulsive

#24,731
Jan 4, 2026 4:08am Jan 4, 2026 4:08am

volkan58
| Joined Nov 2025 | Status: Trader | 21 Posts

Quoting bdsilvano

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{quote} please tell us what you see base on your drawing of your chart so we can understand

Ignored

Apparently, he is laying out three scenarios for Open on Monday.

#24,732
Jan 4, 2026 4:27am Jan 4, 2026 4:27am

Haks
| Joined Jan 2023 | Status: Trader | 482 Posts

Quoting notabdullah1

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IDK HOW but i have a red GEM on my name lol don't take my analysis too seriously i am just a speculator that tries to work on the plan.....And still learning {image} {image} {image}

Ignored

Scenario 2 most likely given the current offline price.

#24,733
Jan 4, 2026 4:35am Jan 4, 2026 4:35am

notabdullah1
Joined Jul 2025 | Status: Trader | 942 Posts

Quoting Haks

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{quote} Scenario 2 most likely given the current offline price.

Ignored

yah my bet will be on that too but the vanezuala thing is what keeping the things doubtful my bet on silver next week is up so gold shall follow to soke extent if comex doesnt do some random shit

#24,734
Jan 4, 2026 5:59am Jan 4, 2026 5:59am

Deal
Joined Nov 2024 | Status: Trader | 5,297 Posts

1st price if bearish was so strong as people think, we never had broken 4371.425 in a 4h chart, is not a lightly tf, starts have meaning.
I don't know if someone of you notice but most likely was created a 4h demand.
I know the concepts out there tell you guys that price have to reject that demand and so on.... well they are wrong, they will go to equilibrium and was what it happen Friday and this one beeing rejected by 9 am ny candle followed by a bullish 13 pm. This little sign in 4H can mean we never comeback to 4321.320 without take the highs that also talk friday that a Ny rotation also seeks the high of the day that tap here demand.
For me is a confluence and strong, but if people want to see bearish, again that's ok.
One thing i am confident, is that 4274.025 seems protected without having again higher prices....

PS. Sorry by insist, was just watching 4 charts when i saw this....

#24,735
Jan 4, 2026 6:26am Jan 4, 2026 6:26am

piphustlah
| Joined Dec 2025 | Status: Trader | 77 Posts

How you doing guys? Just got bored and did some case study here.

I went back to the time the US hit Iran. Bids flow significantly during weekends but got rejected Monday intraday as it is trading at major resistance. Plus it was after FED rate decision. Fast forward now, where is it? For me, still an even supply and demand. So, USD strength really matters in my opinion.

Of course, any follow-through escalation could definitely send this above ceiling.

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#24,736
Jan 4, 2026 7:05am Jan 4, 2026 7:05am

Deal
Joined Nov 2024 | Status: Trader | 5,297 Posts

And to clarify, to me supply are at 4380.660 and 4421.665.
The first one you can call an algo test... The second one should take price to 4302.110 and if the 2nd is broken means the same pattern... They will mitigate 4361.888 to go even further higher...
Don't forget... Open and closes matter... NO SUBJECTIVE!
4H charts obvious... This pattern happen in all TF's so you will see several bounces inside this one...
This is not a bias pattern, it fulfills the desires of those who are not willing to accept that the market is not what it used to be. You have bearish movement and up movement...
The problem with people is they trade patterns blinded, don't realize the failed ones are the best, because who moves the market will want average his loosing trade... Forget they use stops, because they don't... They can afford it... The only ones that can not afford drawdowns don't move the market...
See you guys in 2027, i try but people here doesn't want to shift retail paradigm....
Supply and demand not necessary needs to hold, how price reacts there is what will give an edge to anyone. And that is no forecasting, is reacting.
We can have an idea, but leave it behind as soon is not working out... Because 90% of the times they are not playing that one...
Safe trades..

#24,737
Jan 4, 2026 7:18am Jan 4, 2026 7:18am

smd101
Joined Apr 2020 | Status: Trader | 194 Posts

I think gold will go down. This situation doesn’t look like a war scenario anymore — it looks more like an investment opportunity for big players.
Oil companies are moving back in, and they will need capital. That creates more opportunity-driven flows rather than safe-haven demand.
For me, it’s not about what might happen next.

The main scenario already looks done. If this leads to lower oil prices, it will ease inflation pressures, and that usually has a negative impact on gold.

So I see more downside risk for gold than upside from here, based on how money is likely to reposition.

#24,738
Jan 4, 2026 7:51am Jan 4, 2026 7:51am

Haks
| Joined Jan 2023 | Status: Trader | 482 Posts

Quoting smd101

Disliked

I think gold will go down. This situation doesn’t look like a war scenario anymore — it looks more like an investment opportunity for big players. Oil companies are moving back in, and they will need capital. That creates more opportunity-driven flows rather than safe-haven demand. For me, it’s not about what might happen next. The main scenario already looks done. If this leads to lower oil prices, it will ease inflation pressures, and that usually has a negative impact on gold. So I see more downside risk for gold than upside from here, based...

Ignored

Completely agree. I think we see a pump first to perhaps 4400 area and then the downtrend continues. To continue shorting any rebound/retracement. That’s my plan at least. Won’t be looking for buys unless it’s a quick scalp

#24,739
Jan 4, 2026 9:41am Jan 4, 2026 9:41am

Macd-rsi
Joined Oct 2019 | Status: Forexian Fighter = FF | 16,341 Posts

Quoting Haks

Disliked

{quote} Completely agree. I think we see a pump first to perhaps 4400 area and then the downtrend continues. To continue shorting any rebound/retracement. That’s my plan at least. Won’t be looking for buys unless it’s a quick scalp

Ignored

it depends now on Vnesulian popualtion .. where to stand during this conflict . .

each day 10%,,,, https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/1371538