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Daily Forex Analysis (12.29.2025)

  • #1
  • First Post: Dec 29, 2025 1:07am Dec 29, 2025 1:07am
Markets Balance Policy and Geopolitics (12.29.2025)

Trump voiced cautious optimism over peace progress with Zelenskiy despite unresolved issues in eastern Ukraine and indicated a willingness to engage Russia and Europe in upcoming negotiations.

The euro held above 1.17 during a quiet holiday period as diverging ECB and Fed policy paths continued to support the single currency. The yen strengthened on speculation of further BOJ tightening, while gold and silver pulled back from record levels as traders took profits amid cautious optimism on geopolitics. Sterling edged higher above 1.35 as expectations of future Fed easing contrasted with the BoE’s gradual approach.

Technical Outlook on Charts
Euro Steady Amid ECB–Fed Policy Split
Yen Gains Amid Tightening Speculation
Gold Pulls Back Below $4,500
Sterling Edges Above 1.3500
Silver Retraces From Record Highs
zForex.com | International FX & CFD Broker
  • #2
  • Dec 29, 2025 2:30am Dec 29, 2025 2:30am
Brent Oil

Brent crude futures climbed back above $61 per barrel, recovering part of the previous session’s losses as traders weighed geopolitical risks against demand signals. Middle East tensions kept supply concerns in play, while optimism around progress in Ukraine peace discussions added to sentiment.

Support also came from expectations that China’s planned fiscal expansion in 2026 could lift energy demand. Even so, crude remains on course for a steep annual decline, with global supply projected to exceed demand next year.

Technically, Brent encounters resistance near $62.10, while support is located around $60.20.
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zForex.com | International FX & CFD Broker
  • #3
  • Dec 29, 2025 2:47am Dec 29, 2025 2:47am
NASDAQ 100

The US 100 Tech Index traded around 25,647, slipping 0.05% on the session and extending a four-week decline of roughly 1.2%. Despite recent softness, price action over the week hinted at recovery attempts toward the 26,000 level.

Thin holiday volumes may allow short-term pullbacks, though these dips are likely to attract interest. The broader 2026 outlook remains constructive, with gains expected to build gradually rather than accelerate quickly.

Resistance stands near 25,910, while support is anchored around 25,340.
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zForex.com | International FX & CFD Broker
  • #4
  • Last Post: Dec 29, 2025 2:49am Dec 29, 2025 2:49am
Offshore Chinese Yuan (USDCNH)

USD/CNH traded near 7.0131, rising 0.13% on the day after China set the daily fixing below market estimates by a record margin. The move reinforced the People’s Bank of China’s preference for a gradual and controlled approach to currency management, aimed at supporting exporters, managing capital flows, and preserving stability.

Attention now turns to the National People’s Congress Standing Committee meeting, while analysts continue to expect the yuan to remain broadly stable through 2026.

Technically, USD/CNH meets resistance near 7.0190, with support seen at the 7.0000 level.
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