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CCI & MA Channel

  • #1
  • First Post: Dec 13, 2025 4:10am Dec 13, 2025 4:10am
This is my latest version of a trade system. I have used it for 2 weeks only, but it consist of wellknow ingredients. I expect a lot from the system.

As time elapsed and I tried any indicator available, I found the the CCI must be the root of any system I make. It is very good to identify the change of trend and therefore the beginning of a new trend, which gives the possibility to ride some profit.

In this system I have the rule, that the signal must await passing a MA channel.

Indicators:
CCI30
EMA30high & EMA30low - The channel.

Rules:
Trigger: When CCI pass the zero line.
Entry: Await that a bar close outside the channel in the direction of the CCI. Avoid trading too large bars. The TP 1:1 will be hard to achieve.
SL: The other side of the channel or last swing.
Note: I do not place the actual SL. I make an emergency SL in some distance. Then I close the trade manually if the calculated SL is reached by a closed bar only. This way I avoid many take outs by anoying wicks.
Profit: 1:1.
Timeframe: Any, but I expect H4 is the most secure TF.
Timeslot: Using H4 I start trading at London Open on mondays. I exit everything and stop trading late thursday evening.

At smaller bars - H1 and below, I trade the London.

This is the simplest system I have ever traded. But wait - there is more to it. You must chose the right instruments to trade. I do that every sunday. And I will show the procedure for that tomorrow, when I prepare next weeks trading.

I trade now H4 on a real money account using small money. I have some trading running at H1 and as a Renko. I have of cause made a test robot, otherwise I could not handle all that trading.
MetaTrader 4 - so many advantages.
  • #2
  • Dec 13, 2025 4:11am Dec 13, 2025 4:11am
This is a chart with 3 trades.
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MetaTrader 4 - so many advantages.
  • #3
  • Dec 13, 2025 4:17am Dec 13, 2025 4:17am
Here is a problem of the system. A very nice long trend, and except for the beginning,you don't get an entry signal. But we cannot get it all - can we?

However, I use CCI30 and EMA30. Using CCI10 would have given more trades. But it will also make more fake signals, so I am happy to run with my one trade in this situation.
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MetaTrader 4 - so many advantages.
  • #4
  • Dec 13, 2025 4:25am Dec 13, 2025 4:25am
Quoting RiskFighter
Here is a problem of the system. A very nice long trend, and except for the beginning,you don't get an entry signal. But we cannot get it all - can we? However, I use CCI30 and EMA30. Using CCI10 would have given more trades. But it will also make more fake signals, so I am happy to run with my one trade in this situation. {image}
Thanks RiskFighter! At least you would have been on the right side of the trend. ;-)
  • #5
  • Edited Dec 14, 2025 9:59am Dec 13, 2025 10:15pm | Edited Dec 14, 2025 9:59am
[quote=RiskFighter;15504886]This is my latest version of a trade system. . .

RiskFighter,

Thank you for sharing. Your strategy have a lot of potential for sure.

The Green Pips be with you!!
  • #6
  • Dec 13, 2025 11:55pm Dec 13, 2025 11:55pm
My setting
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  • #7
  • Dec 14, 2025 12:11am Dec 14, 2025 12:11am
Quoting ThaoAnh
My setting {image}
Interesting! Could you explain what is on your chart and what are the parameters.
MetaTrader 4 - so many advantages.
  • #8
  • Dec 14, 2025 12:31am Dec 14, 2025 12:31am
Quoting RiskFighter
{quote} Interesting! Could you explain what is on your chart and what are the parameters.
Chanel EMA 36 and CCI ON chart
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...1#post15447251
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  • #9
  • Edited 5:42am Dec 14, 2025 4:47am | Edited 5:42am
So it is Sunday and I am now prepairing for next weeks trading. I like to trade trending pairs. But it is not an absolute requirement. Some pairs can have nice trading possibilities without them being trending. They just need a nice behavior.

I use two setups when I analyse.
1) A chart with triple EMA's 20, 50 and 100. Here I see the trends.
2) A chart with the EMA30 channel and the CCI30. Here I see the behavior.

The triple EMA,s should spread nicely and obviously be in a nice trend. So pairs where those lines are not behaving will be excluded from trading in the coming week.

If a pair shows satisfactory triple lines, then I watch the pair on the channel chart. Would it historicly show, that anytime there were a signal, then it was possible to have a 1:1 trade? Of cause not every time, but mostly. Are the wicks sparse?

As I trade H4, I check these charts for daily and H4. My goal is to have 12 charts for trading then coming week. As I have a test robot I could trade many more charts, but in this test phase I like to have 12 charts opened on the screen. It is easy to overview using MT4. (A clear advantage to Tradingview)

First look overviewing all 28 Forex pairs.
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A nice trending pair on the Daily TF.
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Checking lately behavior of possible trades in the trend direction. One or two of those would hit the stoploss. There will be better pairs to trade, so this pair will be paused for the coming week.
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MetaTrader 4 - so many advantages.
  • #10
  • Dec 14, 2025 8:36pm Dec 14, 2025 8:36pm
Monday morning. These are my choices for trading the coming week on H4.

Brrrr. - it's Christmas. Nothing behaves as usual from now on and I am not trading money before week 2. But I can't stay away either, so this test strategy will run with a risk of only 5$ per trade. RRW 1.5. I will not earn for food but I will be entertained.

Note the buttons. They let me decide the direction of the trading. I mainly set those according to the Daily TF. So if a large shift in overall trend direction occurs, then I have chosen the wrong side. That's life.

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MetaTrader 4 - so many advantages.
  • #11
  • Dec 27, 2025 9:35pm Dec 27, 2025 9:35pm
I created a pinescript Indicator that tracks statiscs of the strategy. The look back candles are 300 default. U can change it as you want. also u can change the ema values. I will post the results for EURCAD 4hr. You can try different timeframes different look back candles. I want to add a filter: I will wait for 4hr tf signal then go back down to 15 min and wait for same signal to take trade.
Note: i added user defined R:R
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  • #12
  • Dec 28, 2025 2:18am Dec 28, 2025 2:18am
It is a classic system that looks good in history. It is lossy in real time. Try posting real-time pictures of the entries and exits of specific trades here. Images must also display the current time to the nearest second.
Please excuse the bad English via Google Translate.
  • #13
  • Dec 28, 2025 3:58am Dec 28, 2025 3:58am
Quoting dokopy
It is a classic system that looks good in history. It is lossy in real time. Try posting real-time pictures of the entries and exits of specific trades here. Images must also display the current time to the nearest second.
I am pretty sure that you have not tried this system. Is it classic? Hmm, I have not seen anything exactly like this. But it is classic indicators. If you meassure if a system is classic by the indicators, then all systems are classic.

I have had the system running for 2 weeks now in different variants. They were all profitable. I am quit happy with the RENKO variant. But it is Christmas time and I need to get to January to have the real behavior.
MetaTrader 4 - so many advantages.
  • #14
  • Dec 28, 2025 4:02am Dec 28, 2025 4:02am
Quoting hibra68
I created a pinescript Indicator that tracks statiscs of the strategy. The look back candles are 300 default. U can change it as you want. also u can change the ema values. I will post the results for EURCAD 4hr. You can try different timeframes different look back candles. I want to add a filter: I will wait for 4hr tf signal then go back down to 15 min and wait for same signal to take trade. Note: i added user defined R:R {image}
Well done Hibra. We need to filter out more of the small fake signals at CCI. Maybe move the trigger from Zero to 10 / -10 or something like that? I will try that.
MetaTrader 4 - so many advantages.
  • #15
  • Dec 28, 2025 4:09am Dec 28, 2025 4:09am
Quoting dokopy
It is a classic system that looks good in history. It is lossy in real time. Try posting real-time pictures of the entries and exits of specific trades here. Images must also display the current time to the nearest second.
The single most important for any system is to find the instruments to trade. If you get that right, then anything will be profitable. You could make a living of a simple MA CrossOver investing in the trend direction.

Of cause there is the other way as trading only a few instruments and become the expert in those. That is not part of my trading.
MetaTrader 4 - so many advantages.
  • #16
  • Edited 5:19am Dec 28, 2025 4:37am | Edited 5:19am
Another issue in trading is to filter out lots of possible trades. A strategy like this one can give loads of signals on smaller timeframes. Better filters result in fewer trades and it should be the losing trades that are mostly filtered away. Next week I will add a MTF CCI filter. I have of cause coded it into the testrobot. But I give you a table here that you can use in manuel trading.

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As you can see, I have made a table for each of the 8 currencies. That way I have a nice overview of which currencies are trending. But you can of cause just have all currencies in one table.

Just rename the file to the name you want to give it and fill in the currencies it shall show. I then use 2 charts with 4 indicators in each. A bit time consuming to make, but it is worth it. The indicator I have added is called CCI_TD_AUD and it shows this on my chart.
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EDIT: It is a bit time consuming to make this chart with the tables. Is there people who want it, then I can make a template. Let me know.



And here is a little look into one of my Dashboards - just for inspiration.
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Attached File(s)
File Type: ex4 CCI TD AUD.ex4   13 KB | 196 downloads
MetaTrader 4 - so many advantages.
  • #17
  • Dec 28, 2025 10:46am Dec 28, 2025 10:46am
Quoting RiskFighter
{quote} Well done Hibra. We need to filter out more of the small fake signals at CCI. Maybe move the trigger from Zero to 10 / -10 or something like that? I will try that.
Ok i deleted it. Because I checked it out myself and the code doesnt reflect the correct win/loss rate. I didnt have time to fix it. From my observation the win rate is a bit better than what the code shows. I will look at it when i have time.
  • #18
  • Edited 3:38pm Dec 28, 2025 3:25pm | Edited 3:38pm
Quoting hibra68
{quote} Ok i deleted it. Because I checked it out myself and the code doesnt reflect the correct win/loss rate. I didnt have time to fix it. From my observation the win rate is a bit better than what the code shows. I will look at it when i have time.
Note this strategy will not make profit if a robot runs 24/7. No robot can do that - I think. I use it at the beginning of the sessions. And I select the instruments to play. That is essential. I set a target for the day. When the target is reached, then I close all trades and call it a day. That is of cause done by a robot.
MetaTrader 4 - so many advantages.
  • #19
  • Dec 28, 2025 3:39pm Dec 28, 2025 3:39pm
Quoting RiskFighter
{quote} Note this strategy will not make profit if a robot runs 24/7. No robot can do that - I think. I use it at the beginning of the sessions. I set a target for the day. When the target is reached, then I close all trades and call it a day. That is of cause done by a robot.
the strategy should be none subjective in order to at least see if there is an edge or not. You have to have strict set of rules so that we can test it out.
  • #20
  • Dec 28, 2025 10:17pm Dec 28, 2025 10:17pm
Quoting hibra68
{quote} the strategy should be none subjective in order to at least see if there is an edge or not. You have to have strict set of rules so that we can test it out.
I only test forward. MT4 does have a fantastic backward test motor - but results are wrong. Anyway you cannot test the future on historic data. In my early years in robot making, I made some fantastic results in the MT4 backward test. But reality was different - every time. I stopped that years ago. Try making a robot run for one week. Then make a backward test of that week. Results will differ. So how can we test a robot on years of historic data and believe the result.

Well - market changes will somebody say. Thats right, and I discover that right away when I chose the instruments for the day or week. See post #9 how I secure that the instruments I chose to play is behaving to my needs. And that is subjective. You are very right. It is very objective to set a robot to trade for 2 or 3 hours at the beginning of sessions after your choice. But changing the instruments on a daily basis is subjective. You cannot backward test that - and I don't.

So my test is to make the daily setup on demo or very low real money. Let the robot run. Over time I see if the robot behaves as expected in real trading.

The last 2 weeks I have forward tested. I can see that it makes the result during the time I chose, but if it runs the whole day, the profit will later become negative in periodes and it is risky. That is why I always in real life stop the day, when I have the profit I like. And I don't care how much profit I could have made by keep trading. I avoid some losses by not being greedy.
MetaTrader 4 - so many advantages.
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