glitch in the matrix? coincidence? -.37% retrace
Easy Does it.
1
Trading EURUSD only 43,756 replies
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Disliked{quote} Well done! It was a risky trade. A less dangerous trade would be after the close and retest of a candle above the lower channel trendline around 1.1740.These areas need caution for sudden moves as higher timeframe traders could enter. Anyway it worked!
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Disliked{quote} Yeah it was ... i saw a cross over of 20 and 50 moving averages on H4 TF and it gave me the confirmation to buyIgnored
DislikedI'll close for today and will come back next year. Until then...Happy Christmas and a Wonderful New Year!
Wishing you and your loved ones a holiday season filled with joy, warmth, and peace, and a New Year full of happiness and success. {image}
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Then the range is invalidated and a liquidity pocket opens → 1.1860
NO, we do NOT go to 1.1860 IF:
S: 1.1760 – 1.1764 (if it holds from above)
R: 1.1760 – 1.1764 (if rejected from below)
On the H4 chart we can see that we are in a rising channel.
And everything that’s happening on the H1 chart shows whether the path upward is really easy or not.
What currently applies on our charts
Structure: wedge / diamond / bullish flag → exists
– H1 below
R → SELL
– H4 trend → BULLISH context
Price moved down from the diamond (H1)
We are below
R (H1)
The last key HL has NOT been broken
The move down so far is:
– corrective
– without a clear impulse
– without a confirmed structural shift
This means:
the trend is weakening, but the structure has not yet changed its character
What the H1 diamond + rising wedge are telling us
Not:
“the trend has reversed”
But:
“momentum is weakening”
“buyers are losing control”
“the risk of continued longs is increasing”