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Fishing/Scalping with fundamental analysis on the US dollar

  • #21
  • Dec 5, 2025 4:05pm Dec 5, 2025 4:05pm
The magnet today was DXY 99.
I wasn't inspired to leave a buy since the last Jpy rise on London, it was short, scared. That's it.
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  • #22
  • Dec 6, 2025 7:54am Dec 6, 2025 7:54am
https://www.forexfactory.com/news/13...pected-delayed
Inflation is below expectations and people's sentiment is up, but we expect 4% inflation next year.
So, does the rate go down, inflation goes up more, or does the rate go down, inflation goes up more but unemployment goes down?
What does the FED choose? I say Trump chooses to cut unemployment! So? not only in December does he cut the rate but also in February and maybe once more.
Anyway, 4% is high!
Result, Euro, GPP, UP until March 2026, DXY at 75 if the Yen takes a hit and becomes strong, around 100.
After the FED next week, maybe we'll find out something more, but, 60% now that this is the direction for the next 3 months of 2026.
  • #23
  • Dec 6, 2025 12:28pm Dec 6, 2025 12:28pm
The Love for BItcoin is there!
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  • #24
  • Dec 9, 2025 3:00pm Dec 9, 2025 3:00pm
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  • #25
  • Dec 22, 2025 9:18am Dec 22, 2025 9:18am
Min. Katayama: We can take action as set out in US-Japan joint accord.
Carry trade it s OVER!
Dollar down, JPY UP, Euro UP next year!
Lets make some money
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  • #26
  • Dec 24, 2025 5:51am Dec 24, 2025 5:51am
If we don't have a third world war, Dollar will go down next year.
Carry trade on JPY is ready so the direction is clear, it is strengthening.
Bitcoin I hope to see it at 70.000 for a strong Up trend.

Happy Holidays!
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  • #27
  • Jan 27, 2026 9:26am Jan 27, 2026 9:26am
I probably went out too early. Who knows.
The direction is clear.
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  • #28
  • Jan 31, 2026 12:51pm Jan 31, 2026 12:51pm
Buy BTC at 75500!!!
  • #29
  • Feb 5, 2026 3:15pm Feb 5, 2026 3:15pm
Euro. If we go down from here, we could see 1.3 this year. I think I'll change my mind about going long on the dollar. Lagarde has been praying for a weak euro for a while, today was the last time, and the market is obeying.
  • #30
  • Feb 15, 2026 3:31pm Feb 15, 2026 3:31pm
Quoting barbones
Weekend. Have some fun. The only way to win at roulette? You play one color and double your bet with every loss it comes up. And they know it, which is why they'll kick you out of the casino if they catch you. But it fits perfectly into Risk Management. Not necessarily doubling, that would be ideal, but you increase your risk with every loss. In the end, it still has to come up Green.
That's not right, the way to pick the color is the 2nd previous result, that way, you are always betting on the long runs when they happen.

Betting and betting progression is another thing altogether, but doubling is a sure way to go broke, you need a lower percentage, there is even Fibonacci methods.

So, to summarize, the 2 elements of playing roulette are:

1. - Bet Selection - What are you betting on? When and how to change the selection?

2. - Bet Size Progression - How much to bet? When and how to increase or decrease the amount?

Good Luck
It takes a lot for me to IGNORE you, but you can try.
  • #31
  • Edited 1:30pm Feb 20, 2026 12:54pm | Edited 1:30pm
Quoting Erebus
{quote} That's not right, the way to pick the color is the 2nd previous result, that way, you are always betting on the long runs when they happen. Betting and betting progression is another thing altogether, but doubling is a sure way to go broke, you need a lower percentage, there is even Fibonacci methods. So, to summarize, the 2 elements of playing roulette are: 1. - Bet Selection - What are you betting on? When and how to change the selection? 2. - Bet Size Progression - How much to bet? When and how to increase or decrease the amount? Good...
You're right, it was a way of saying, fun.

Until then, I entered a little, but I went long on the euro, I still don't have SL. If the war with Iran starts, I'll exit quickly, like that, towards 1.2000. I'll remain Long Euro all year. The correction was necessary, and the momentum was too aggressive.
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  • #32
  • Feb 25, 2026 2:19pm Feb 25, 2026 2:19pm
Another 0.5 up. If it crosses DXY we have a long way to go up on Euro and GBP. All that's confusing is JPY.
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  • #33
  • Feb 26, 2026 12:48am Feb 26, 2026 12:48am
20 min before Frankfurt. if JPY go UP like yesterday then DXY has a strong support there.
if London do nothing, waiting for NY news, I have a problem. Take or no take out.
If double top on euro, with no strong push up, then bye bye. JPY it s the problem.
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  • #34
  • Feb 27, 2026 2:50pm Feb 27, 2026 2:50pm
Iran, NFP next week.. 97,50 on DXY it s the place. I m still long on Euro and GBP for next month but out for the momment.
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  • #35
  • Feb 28, 2026 4:20am Feb 28, 2026 4:20am
At the request of TV viewers, I said to show why I am so determined that the Euro will grow rapidly this year and more.

The cycle of dollar growth is over. At least 2-3 years will follow a rapid weakening. This also corresponds to the expectations of the current economic analysis. The USA will strengthen economically much faster than the rest, and a weakening of the dollar is to its advantage.

Of course, the end of the world and the appearance of ET are out of the question. A 10-year cycle will at least take the Euro above 1.5 or maybe higher. This year we are talking about 1.25 and maybe 1.31, but the longer the previous cycle is in time, the faster and more aggressive the new cycle is.

The previous cycle began in 2008. We are in 2026 and the first movement has already taken place from the new cycle.

Of course I'm not 100% sure, but who is it?

I remain optimistic. A weak Dollar means peace and economic growth.
Conversely, it is not good. Not at all.
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  • #36
  • Mar 14, 2026 4:12pm Mar 14, 2026 4:12pm
75% UP in a strange move, maybe with new low. Can be ABC UP with C lower than A low.
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  • #37
  • Last Post: Mar 15, 2026 4:24am Mar 15, 2026 4:24am
72190 is the Key.
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