Nikkei cruising

Ok.
We have broadening pattern developed into a Darvas.

But from yd PA it did align towards buyers from 50041
I also see sign of buying from 50018.

Usually these patterns dont change direction suddenly
But again I have to watch PA after the open before I make any decision.

went short
target 49765

+240p out.

where is the bottom bulls ?
its darvas !

Another day,
Another broadening pattern

This one is edging towards sellers, test below 49550 would send this down to 49400 unless retest happens before the fall.
However I'm going to have to wait for the opening move and before I make the call.

Markets are closed now anyways.

You never know until you see PA confirmation, yd it was aligned towards buyers but sellers managed to dictate price.
To survive you have to learn to go with the flow with solid confirmation.

hang on a sec
I saw something here

bulls are building a position above 49550
now I'm ready for the open.

you can't miss small developments like these
as often in the case of markets all trends start with "small" movements.

long from 49574
target 49874

so unfair
big hands at work ?

ended up with a loss on my long trade
and entered a short

total for the day +124p
good thing I recognized the shift!

so it turns out I have to aware of those shifts too ?
wow.

yesterday was hard.
they didn't respect the rules.

enough the rant.

as for today you could argue price is edging higher printing higher highs and higher lows undoubtably trend is up
but what I'm concerned about for the bulls is we seem to be edging towards a bear zone significant R is 49132 and 49182
however I'm not sure like always until they give me a heads up on a direction.

I've got about 20mins to go till the opening.
by Friday I'll be taking a short break until the end of 1st week of Jan'26.

went short
target 48797

now I have to pay attention to PA when Tokyo officially opens,
just to be sure incase if they decide to do funny things like they did yd.

One of my pitfalls is that I tend to overtrade,
My net loss isn't that much over my trading career which spanned for about 9.5 years .

But overtrading and giving away profits and some more is my problem that I need to nail down and work out.
Just like I've decided to hyper focus on Nikkei m1 opening trade sure other moves do occur sometimes even bigger than the opening wave, but while in theory that could be accomplished in reality I tend to get lost in the sea if I try to trade everything and I know thats impossible.

You can't catch every wave.
You just can't.

But I try and I end up giving away my profit and then some and I lose sleep over it all.
If you ask me its kind of a vicious cycle created somewhat out of necessity and fear of the future.
We're not exactly living through good times, and after almost 10years besides some bonus cash here and there I'd like to make it official something coming in consistently day in and day out you know ?

I think my focus now for 2026 would be consistent results everyday.
Come rain, sunshine, thunderstorm whatever it may be when Nikkei opens and moves I make "the" trade for the day and take my share and call it a day and come back the next day again and again except for the holiday trading and when the market is closed.

Don't think thats too much to ask after all the pain I've gone through.

out -50p
bastards

went long but be wary of Tokyo official open.

out again.

again short.

+30p ending the day.

something happens around 7:40 something that I need to clock in and be aware of not necessarily the official open

quick chart of the day.
another broadening pattern day.

looks like somebody wants me to perfect this kind of setup ?
although I gotta say continuation and reversals are much more easier to spot and trade.

but I'm getting better at spotting whats going on and what its edging towards for buyers v sellers in this scenario so I can't complain, I wanted to know it all. Not being sarcastic at all, I really wanted to understand everything when it comes to Nikkei and m1 chart. Isn't that the whole point of me spending almost a decade on this ?

first thing I notice is this giant broadening pattern I see a tilt towards sellers from 49444 retest on this bigger broadening pattern last support is at 49182 break and test below that would fully confirm short trade.

however as always I noticed a micro development within that broadening pattern again another round of sellers from 49282 the edge of smaller broadening pattern and 49250 is the last frontier for bears, test below that would be "the" confirmation for bears and I think that test was in progress but then markets closed so...

I don't see any other scenario.
but I have a feeling that I need to pay attention to the smaller broadening pattern.

and as always wait for the actual open.

yeah you do !

so yd there was no reason for price to turn around come early Tokyo open plus there wasn't any confirmation that it was turning around like it did the day before.
but I didn't know any better and I got confused.

but now I know the reason why it didn't I should be alright.

think I've almost ticked off every little detail when it comes to trading the first wave of the day.

went long!

you never know you never know
until you see a confirmation upon the open.

target 49568

ok.
entry is done.
now I have to play defense!
not with SL but with PA.
I find SL to be too restricting

if I'm right we don't have a technical reason why it should fail actually we do !
but I'm not sure if its technical I mean yd the bigger wave should have been down but retest failed hence why it went up overnight for about 300p

but that trade to me is already resolved.
so...
nevertheless I have to watch out for signs of failure around early Tokyo open.

like I keep saying you never know ! until it hits target
day trading is especially designed to make you fail.
you have to try to excel at what you do to make it here.

you can't be mediocre regardless of your method, anyone whos been at this long enough and making consistent income has achieved that excellence and reached the top.
there's no doubt about that.

about 10min to go until the unofficial open.
till then you never know you never know.

naturally retrace wave is happening.

5 min to go
this is where price is at.