DislikedHi riri06u, please kindly share your template and your fractal indicator that indicates 1,2 and 3.thank you.Ignored
1
D1 Elasticity Pullback Trading
- #4,783
- Dec 12, 2025 6:48am Dec 12, 2025 6:48am
- Joined Mar 2007 | Status: Trader | 2,126 Posts
interesting intermarket situation, Gold prices have reacted in line with the seasonality chart (statistics over the last 20 years)
DOW above last session close slowly travelling south. Gold up
DOW above last session close slowly travelling south. Gold up
Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
- #4,784
- Dec 12, 2025 9:17am Dec 12, 2025 9:17am
- Joined Mar 2007 | Status: Trader | 2,126 Posts
interesting intermarket situation, Gold prices have reacted in line with the seasonality chart (statistics over the last 20 years) DOW above last session close slowly travelling south. Gold up {image}
Span about 180 points, shorting only below last session close
Friday ranges
Next Fri triple witching!!!
NASDAQ is being hammered
flat on Gold, just in case.
Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
- #4,785
- Dec 12, 2025 10:01am Dec 12, 2025 10:01am
- Joined Jan 2018 | Status: Trader | 2,847 Posts
Trade what you see
- #4,786
- Dec 12, 2025 10:16am Dec 12, 2025 10:16am
- Joined Mar 2007 | Status: Trader | 2,126 Posts
Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
- #4,787
- Edited Dec 13, 2025 3:28am Dec 12, 2025 10:30am | Edited Dec 13, 2025 3:28am
- Joined Mar 2007 | Status: Trader | 2,126 Posts
Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
- #4,788
- Edited Dec 13, 2025 3:31am Dec 12, 2025 2:21pm | Edited Dec 13, 2025 3:31am
- Joined Mar 2007 | Status: Trader | 2,126 Posts
{quote} I am working to put the Gold US session close in the context of trading Gold. I know from other FX experiences many years ago that the US session close level proved to be significant, still working out how significant this level is for my style of trading Gold. For indices as a general rule the last session closes are very useful, Gold might be different as Gold does not have the old style pit time as indices have. Time will show. Wishing all a great weekend!
for comparison black charts below - the DOW and VIX with US session candle bars
Timing on this occasion seems to point to correlation, do not yet know how to interpret that because at time gold and indices are adversely correlated. This is a bit strange if one is taking intermarket dependencies into account. I also remember that before last big crash DOW and Gold made large advances north.
The other things to take into account it USD index, UDX Index strengthen from yesterdays Low - more thought is necessary on that perspective
I cannot find USD index on MT4 provided by my trading platform, but have it well displayed on direct web based access
Important to notice - on black charts below - the overlaid candle repents US (NYSE) candle bar with OHLC , the white charts (gold) have two overlaid candles, one is Mcandle set to 1444 and the other overlaid candle is the candle incorporating London and US session combined with OHLC displayed, so I made US open visible and marked with Magenta, horizontal line and label with the opening price, so that level can be marked and visible.
one of my trading platforms, direct access, usually the best option, no lagging
In the left top is the watchlist and one column displays change in points (pips) and other change in % - a very useful display
the above is displayed on a very large monitor linked to a fast computer almost solely dedicated to trading (exception to edit this post)
Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
- #4,789
- Dec 15, 2025 9:31am Dec 15, 2025 9:31am
- Joined Mar 2007 | Status: Trader | 2,126 Posts
{quote} I have made US open visible as a magenta horizontal line with corresponding price label of that same colour, for comparison black charts below - the DOW and VIX with US session candle bars Timing on this occasion seems to point to correlation, do not yet know how to interpret that because at time gold and indices are adversely correlated. This is a bit strange if one is taking intermarket dependencies into account. I also remember that before last big crash DOW and Gold made large advances north. The other things to take into account it...
Mainly traded DOW, posted more on my journal.
Having a break now and some
Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
- #4,790
- Edited 11:37am Dec 15, 2025 10:08am | Edited 11:37am
- Joined Mar 2007 | Status: Trader | 2,126 Posts
{quote} PA a bit similar to last FRI, on DOW a move up before US open and a substantial move down, Gold obliged on this occasion. Mainly traded DOW, posted more on my journal. Having a break now and some
More explanation needed, as the gaps on eg; Dow might be well exploited as some guidance to trade Gold, onwards from the London open
Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
- #4,791
- Edited 1:42pm Dec 15, 2025 11:37am | Edited 1:42pm
- Joined Mar 2007 | Status: Trader | 2,126 Posts
{quote} I have observed what I have thought for some time might be the case, that Gold PA at least at times is correlated to US indices and VIX, as well as USD index Bitcoin and Crude. Basically it is profitable to observe where the free capital is splashed for shorter periods of time, thus actively engaged in trading and not necessarily developing lasting effects on overall economy. More explanation needed, as the gaps on eg; Dow might be well exploited as some guidance to trade Gold, onwards from the London open
Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
- #4,793
- Edited 3:22pm Dec 15, 2025 3:11pm | Edited 3:22pm
- Joined Mar 2007 | Status: Trader | 2,126 Posts
Todays combined London/US session span was about 650 points/pips - that presented a serious trading opportunities,
Likewise last Friday's Gold combined session was 950
Both trading sessions were profitable, though I have had a split attention between Gold and DOW.
Gold reached ADR L today, DOW has missed ADR L
Both securities hit the last US session close and other zoned like Pivots ect in their own time and manner both performed well to close that gap, if it can be called gap on Gold. Both held Price channels in a reasonable way, nothing is perfect, but overall a very tradable day allowing taking multiple profits.
I am still evaluating that Gap situations on GOLD, as on DOW I have over 20 years experience in relation to the importance of gaps.
Overall a good day, focused well at important times or times that proved to be important.
We are approaching Triple Witching Friday, so one needs to be vigilant.
I cannot trade everyday this week, family and different commitments.
Likewise last Friday's Gold combined session was 950
Both trading sessions were profitable, though I have had a split attention between Gold and DOW.
Gold reached ADR L today, DOW has missed ADR L
Both securities hit the last US session close and other zoned like Pivots ect in their own time and manner both performed well to close that gap, if it can be called gap on Gold. Both held Price channels in a reasonable way, nothing is perfect, but overall a very tradable day allowing taking multiple profits.
I am still evaluating that Gap situations on GOLD, as on DOW I have over 20 years experience in relation to the importance of gaps.
Overall a good day, focused well at important times or times that proved to be important.
We are approaching Triple Witching Friday, so one needs to be vigilant.
I cannot trade everyday this week, family and different commitments.
Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
- #4,794
- Dec 16, 2025 1:32am Dec 16, 2025 1:32am
- Joined Jan 2018 | Status: Trader | 2,847 Posts
Trade what you see
- #4,795
- Edited 7:19am Dec 16, 2025 6:45am | Edited 7:19am
- Joined Mar 2007 | Status: Trader | 2,126 Posts
in and out of gold longs b4 the us open
much larger positions taken and closed on Dow also
More explanation in my journal , do not want to clatter this thread and upset my friends
Time allowing I shall explain why I have returned to use MACD, also in my journal, meanwhile have a look at Gerald Appel, MACD inventor some time ago.
Gold less numismatic valuable coins and Gold bullion is slowly being sold by private holders releasing cash to be invested in residual income projects, in April the Gold buying spree shall return, the expected change and the eventual replacement of Jerome Powell will have an effect on interest and USD strength.
Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
- #4,796
- Dec 16, 2025 7:16am Dec 16, 2025 7:16am
- Joined Mar 2007 | Status: Trader | 2,126 Posts
{image} in and out of gold longs b4 the us open much larger positions taken and closed on Dow also More explanation in my journal , do not want to clatter this thread and upset my friends Time allowing I shall explain why I have returned to use MACD, also in my journal Gold less numismatic valuable coins and Gold bullion is slowly being sold by private holders releasing cash to be invested in residual income projects, in April the Gold buying spree shall return, the expected change and the eventual replacement of Jerome Powell will have an effect...
Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
- #4,797
- Dec 16, 2025 7:53am Dec 16, 2025 7:53am
- Joined Jan 2018 | Status: Trader | 2,847 Posts
Trade what you see
- #4,798
- Dec 16, 2025 8:24am Dec 16, 2025 8:24am
- Joined Mar 2007 | Status: Trader | 2,126 Posts
{quote} Lots of data release is coming soon, 15 minute, so I am flat on both GOLD and DOW{image}
On Gold daily third sister is printing, something to be aware of
Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
- #4,799
- Dec 16, 2025 10:45am Dec 16, 2025 10:45am
- Joined Mar 2007 | Status: Trader | 2,126 Posts
{quote} So far Gold longs have done extremely, at present Gold is above last US session open (not that it matters a lot to me), PA still within the M15 channel,daily ADR H 4333 On Gold daily third sister is printing, something to be aware of{image}
M30 channel holds well, DOW has a third day negative, but very orderly move down, (no gaps)
Thinking having a break, out just below 94, time for coffee
Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
