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  • #18,401
  • Dec 10, 2025 9:38pm Dec 10, 2025 9:38pm
Well done! I'll continue purchases towards 1.1800 but with caution now that volatility will slow down.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #18,402
  • Dec 10, 2025 9:48pm Dec 10, 2025 9:48pm
Quoting johncen
Have been talking about this potential abc retracement since Sep/Oct, not sure if b wave is now done or a bit higher {image}
Maybe next year! Corrections are taking more time to develop.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #18,403
  • Dec 10, 2025 10:05pm Dec 10, 2025 10:05pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Maybe next year! Corrections are taking more time to develop.
yup if above 1750 it is more likely to see 1.2 though than 1.12
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #18,404
  • Dec 11, 2025 12:01am Dec 11, 2025 12:01am
Quoting 7154Superman
{quote} So, FOMC drove the price above the purple line, which indicates a clear bullish breakout. Now let's see if the purple line works as a support area to drive further bullish action. But if not, then it's likely to drop all the way back down to today's lows before finding support there and igniting further bullish action. I could be wrong. If the purple line continues to work as resistance, then I am suspecting more volatility both ways in the coming months, like higher highs and lower lows, but ultimately leaning more bullish until 1.200 area....
I am continually amazed how well the lines I've drawn behave as barriers in both directions. In the 15 minute chart, see how the purple line resisted at first, right after FOMC? But then the volatility became too aggressive, so it broke through. And now, once again, the purple line stopped the price from dropping and so it bounced up again. Now let's see if the bears can slam it down hard enough to break through, then come on down to 1.16 area. If not, then more up we go, to the moon.
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You cannot fail if you never give up.
  • #18,405
  • Edited 1:49am Dec 11, 2025 12:49am | Edited 1:49am
Quoting 7154Superman
{quote} I decided to draw a new bullish trend line (blue) to see if price respects it if the bears break down through the purple line today. It would coincide with 1.1640 area at 1:00 p.m. EST. {image}
I decided to draw a new bullish trend line (blue) to see if price respects it if the bears break down through the purple line today. (It looks like they are trying to get set up to break through now.) It would coincide with 1.16434 area at 1:00 p.m. EST.
Let's see what happens.
I added a 4th short position at 1.17045. TP for all my shorts at 1.1639. No long positions open at the moment.
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You cannot fail if you never give up.
  • #18,406
  • Edited 2:35am Dec 11, 2025 1:41am | Edited 2:35am
Quoting DonEtienne28
got an entry at the previous day´s low manipulation. 2m breaker block inside a 5m breaker. PDL manipulation was also the consolidation´s manipulation. Set SL to breakeven, TP at high 04.12.2025. Original SL 6 pips. {image}
nice - TP hit at presumed high from 04. Dec. 2025. Thankfully I've widened the SL back to its original value of 6 pips.

TP 62,7 pips
SL 6 pips
RR 1:10,45
Duration: 28,25h

Would have, could have should have....set TP at 50% OTE. But nevertheless satisfied

Now price hovering around 50% OTE. On 4h time it looks like an bullish order block is loading. Supported by the SIBI on October 17th, acting as an iFVG. Bodies are currently closing in both cases within the OB and the SIBI.
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  • #18,407
  • Dec 11, 2025 3:35am Dec 11, 2025 3:35am
Quoting 7154Superman
{quote} I decided to draw a new bullish trend line (blue) to see if price respects it if the bears break down through the purple line today. (It looks like they are trying to get set up to break through now.) It would coincide with 1.16434 area at 1:00 p.m. EST. Let's see what happens. I added a 4th short position at 1.17045. TP for all my shorts at 1.1639. No long positions open at the moment. {image}
So, the purple line supported twice and now up we go. Next resistance is the blue line at 1.1756 area. Let's watch and see how this unfolds. I can add more shorts up there.
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You cannot fail if you never give up.
  • #18,408
  • Edited 4:41am Dec 11, 2025 4:17am | Edited 4:41am
TP Hit! Should have let it run!

Looking for another bounce off the upward trendline, target 1.1735
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Easy Does it.
  • #18,409
  • Dec 11, 2025 4:30am Dec 11, 2025 4:30am
Quoting stealyerface
TP Hit! Should have let it run! Looking for another bounce off the upward trendline, target 1.15730 {image}
nice
nice entry, btw^^
  • #18,410
  • Dec 11, 2025 4:33am Dec 11, 2025 4:33am
Quoting DonEtienne28
{quote} nice nice entry, btw^^
I went to sleep feeling uneasy that we didn't mitigate the FVG. Glad you got a piece too!

Good luck today
Easy Does it.
  • #18,411
  • Dec 11, 2025 4:54am Dec 11, 2025 4:54am
Come on bulls some more! Will wait for news so taking care.

1H
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #18,412
  • Edited 5:18am Dec 11, 2025 4:54am | Edited 5:18am
15M

Looking for EUR/USD to retrace to 1.17000 zone with a potential target of the daily ATR 1.1735 & top of the upward channel.

Bias will switch to short with confirmation near that zone

1H - If 1.17000 fails, I'll watching for a reaction at the 50% line (1.16900-1.16880) of the upward channel
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Easy Does it.
  • #18,413
  • Dec 11, 2025 5:23am Dec 11, 2025 5:23am
Almost forgot US unemployment data is in 7 minutes

Trade safe everyone!
Easy Does it.
  • #18,414
  • Dec 11, 2025 5:29am Dec 11, 2025 5:29am
what if the second scenario was a reversal...inside the 4h rejection block and the unemployment claims were used for the final push?

Waiting whether the 4h candle closes below the rejection block´s 50% OTE
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  • #18,415
  • Dec 11, 2025 5:31am Dec 11, 2025 5:31am
decent miss @ 236k...bias is up in the air
Easy Does it.
  • #18,416
  • Dec 11, 2025 5:36am Dec 11, 2025 5:36am
Quoting DonEtienne28
what if the second scenario was a reversal...inside the 4h rejection block? Waiting whether the 4h candle closes below the rejection block´s 50% OTE {image}
This.
Easy Does it.
  • #18,417
  • Dec 11, 2025 5:49am Dec 11, 2025 5:49am
EURUSD H1
trendlines

We are approaching the red resistance line.
It is the main dynamic resistance that will decide whether we go higher or if a CHoCH will occur.
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Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #18,418
  • Dec 11, 2025 5:49am Dec 11, 2025 5:49am
Quoting stealyerface
{quote} This.
meeeh...doesn´t look like a valid idea so far
  • #18,419
  • Dec 11, 2025 6:06am Dec 11, 2025 6:06am
Trade cautiously, everyone, as we are approaching a very strong resistance level on the weekly timeframe.
Often, your absence is better than your presence.
  • #18,420
  • Dec 11, 2025 6:11am Dec 11, 2025 6:11am
i am don for New York sessions
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Hi I'm Aayush.j
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