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The Swamp

  • #125,901
  • Dec 3, 2025 4:16am Dec 3, 2025 4:16am
Quoting gatorinla
I took a smaller short here. Risking 5 pips. 1667 {image}
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  • #125,902
  • Dec 3, 2025 4:17am Dec 3, 2025 4:17am
Quoting gatorinla
I took a smaller short here. Risking 5 pips. 1667 {image}
Did the same. Current price plus adr should give something even if we are continuing up. tight stops
  • #125,903
  • Dec 3, 2025 4:24am Dec 3, 2025 4:24am
Lets see if it makes a dt.
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  • #125,904
  • Dec 3, 2025 5:28am Dec 3, 2025 5:28am
Quoting charlienoble
{quote} Did the same. Current price plus adr should give something even if we are continuing up. tight stops
ADP had other plans
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  • #125,905
  • Dec 3, 2025 5:31am Dec 3, 2025 5:31am
FF don't have NFP listed for Friday.
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  • #125,906
  • Edited 6:01am Dec 3, 2025 5:51am | Edited 6:01am
Something seems off.. Not Friday,, The 6 is Saturday. Did they do it then to prevent a stock market drop during the week normal trading hours? FF don't even show it will be Saturday
This could cause a gap up on open next week. Assuming its very bad.
I hope they drive it down before. 1644/45 has some potential support
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  • #125,907
  • Dec 3, 2025 6:03am Dec 3, 2025 6:03am
the 1h/4h/8h close had some slip below 1666
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  • #125,908
  • Dec 3, 2025 6:12am Dec 3, 2025 6:12am
Yeah some support 1639/45. 1605/06 don't look good, more so after adp
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  • #125,909
  • Dec 3, 2025 9:28am Dec 3, 2025 9:28am
Stall but still bullish
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  • #125,910
  • Dec 3, 2025 10:04am Dec 3, 2025 10:04am
Quoting gatorinla
the 1h/4h/8h close had some slip below 1666 {image}
the 4h closed above now.
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  • #125,911
  • Dec 3, 2025 10:33am Dec 3, 2025 10:33am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} the 4h closed above now. {image}
it has now reached my bull target, maybe back to 1591 if we see a bear sign
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,912
  • Dec 3, 2025 2:55pm Dec 3, 2025 2:55pm
Quoting gatorinla
the 1h/4h/8h close had some slip below 1666 {image}
The day closed above 1666.. The bull side.. A bullish breakout would likely sustain above 1673 Magenta line.. But it didn't continue either. It can be rejected and swing to test the 1636 area support.. Sustained below 1636, may test 1606. I look to buy around 1636. A 12h close in early London below 1644, may mean 1636 support would be strongly tested, with a shot at 1606.
I will just wait for 1636, but its bullish. It reloaded adr now. It may just go up. 1606 to me odds are lower than they were 24 hours ago. 1659 could support. I'm just waiting. I may miss the show.. Even if 1636 are is support. adr id less then 60 pips. In that case after, it may not break 1700. 1692.9ish has some R
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  • #125,913
  • Dec 3, 2025 2:58pm Dec 3, 2025 2:58pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} it has now reached my bull target, maybe back to 1591 if we see a bear sign
It may.. I think 1606 is the one to watch. I don't think it will get too far below this month, unless its truly bearish. I have an eye on 1737 and 1749 this month. I think the year will end above. If its back below 1606,, That may change my plans
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,914
  • Dec 3, 2025 3:11pm Dec 3, 2025 3:11pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It may.. I think 1606 is the one to watch. I don't think it will get too far below this month, unless its truly bearish. I have an eye on 1737 and 1749 this month. I think the year will end above. If its back below 1606,, That may change my plans
I think it has enough chain links to hit 1641x if the high holds now. After add 1 adr to reach below 1700.. Today plan..

1606 was the wk/month plan pa is above it. It don't need to return. A month is a long time to stay in such a small range. I think it may need to take 1737 and 49 eventually.. It may get capped at 1722 first.
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  • #125,915
  • Dec 3, 2025 6:24pm Dec 3, 2025 6:24pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It may.. I think 1606 is the one to watch. I don't think it will get too far below this month, unless its truly bearish. I have an eye on 1737 and 1749 this month. I think the year will end above. If its back below 1606,, That may change my plans
if back above 1750 the bear trend is broken so we should go above 1.2 next year
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,916
  • Dec 3, 2025 7:04pm Dec 3, 2025 7:04pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} if back above 1750 the bear trend is broken so we should go above 1.2 next year
yeah, I have a chain to 1.2067.. I have to verify.. But its close
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  • #125,917
  • Dec 4, 2025 1:15am Dec 4, 2025 1:15am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The day closed above 1666.. The bull side.. A bullish breakout would likely sustain above 1673 Magenta line.. But it didn't continue either. It can be rejected and swing to test the 1636 area support.. Sustained below 1636, may test 1606. I look to buy around 1636. A 12h close in early London below 1644, may mean 1636 support would be strongly tested, with a shot at 1606. I will just wait for 1636, but its bullish. It reloaded adr now. It may just go up. 1606 to me odds are lower than they were 24 hours ago. 1659 could support. I'm...
It broke 1673, if it don't sustain above. I lowered the entry a few pips to 1636/37ish. Just in case it don't sustain above 1673.
The 6h did remain above 1644.8.. the 12h will likely do the same. Making pa likely bullish today. 1659 may pull it down.
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  • #125,918
  • Dec 4, 2025 2:02am Dec 4, 2025 2:02am
12h + 1673 close.. more bullish to me. 1692?..
plus closed above 1644 and 59.. It may not make it back to 59 if 73 supports. 1692/93 area R reaction unknown.
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  • #125,919
  • Dec 4, 2025 6:40am Dec 4, 2025 6:40am
Quoting gatorinla
12h + 1673 close.. more bullish to me. 1692?.. plus closed above 1644 and 59.. It may not make it back to 59 if 73 supports. 1692/93 area R reaction unknown. {image}
the 12h did close above 1644 73 and 66. But its not sustained. I think it will be bullish late day with a higher high. But before it seems to be drawn to 1636/37. Its not sustaining the b/o.
I will just wait to see.
1673 never formed a support.
the breakout may have been rejected. The bear have theirs at sustained below 1636. Plus the chain link is there. So it may support. If not it may end back at 1606
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  • #125,920
  • Dec 4, 2025 6:49am Dec 4, 2025 6:49am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It broke 1673, if it don't sustain above. I lowered the entry a few pips to 1636/37ish. Just in case it don't sustain above 1673. The 6h did remain above 1644.8.. the 12h will likely do the same. Making pa likely bullish today. 1659 may pull it down. {image}
The high allowed a deeper retrace if rejected.. It fell exactly at 1636x.. Confluent with the b/o point 1636.
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It broke 1673, if it don't sustain above. I lowered the entry a few pips to 1636/37ish. Just in case it don't sustain above 1673. The 6h did remain above 1644.8.. the 12h will likely do the same. Making pa likely bullish today. 1659 may pull it down. {image}
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