Still time to fail, I guess...
And time to get onboard as well
And time to get onboard as well
MAY THE TREND BE WITH YOU
Why do they say that 80% of breakouts fail, and not give any context? e.g. market, time frame, pair, index, commodity (the first ever A.I. generated discussion on FF) Excellent point — “80% of breakouts fail” is one of those trading clichés that gets parroted across forums without anyone specifying where, when, or why. Here’s the nuanced reality behind that oversimplified claim:What “Breakout Failure” Actually Means In trading lingo, a breakout failure usually refers to: False breakout: Price breaks support/resistance...
And if you didn't "know" what the currencies are doing by US session open, keep your eyes on: {image} BabyPips MarketMilk = FREE {image} FinViz = FREE
Not at the open of US session of 22/7, it couldn't be the weakest at that time.
- #24
- Aug 31, 2025 4:33pm Aug 31, 2025 4:33pm
- Joined Jul 2011 | Status: Gold Again | 10,656 Posts
{quote} who are they where do they say that why do u start from the middle lol break out is my strategy and i believe it's working very fine
You are welcome to post successful breakout trades and share with the group, especially the setup before the breakout.
Thanks
MAY THE TREND BE WITH YOU
- #25
- Aug 31, 2025 4:43pm Aug 31, 2025 4:43pm
- Joined Jul 2011 | Status: Gold Again | 10,656 Posts
{quote} The CSM pic shows USDCHF was weakest, but it was at the end of the day according to the right corner timeline. At that time , USDCHF already waterfall... Not at the open of US session of 22/7, it couldn't be the weakest at that time.
Green means strong to me, CHF is green, for me it was the strongest, therefore, sell USD, buy CHF, and USDCHF goes down, just like you observed.
I know people often get mixed up with YEN being strong and yet all the JPY pairs are going down; why is that?
MAY THE TREND BE WITH YOU
- #26
- Sep 1, 2025 9:23pm Sep 1, 2025 9:23pm
- Joined Dec 2019 | Status: Trader | 5,601 Posts
{quote} WHAT? How are you reading the CSM?
Learn from your mistakes and march on.
- #27
- Nov 13, 2025 5:12am Nov 13, 2025 5:12am
- Joined Jul 2011 | Status: Gold Again | 10,656 Posts
Four breakouts that you already missed this week 
1. Combination of last Thursday, Friday, and weekly highs.
2. Monday high.
3.Tuesday high.
4. Wednesday high.
1. Combination of last Thursday, Friday, and weekly highs.
2. Monday high.
3.Tuesday high.
4. Wednesday high.
MAY THE TREND BE WITH YOU
- #28
- Nov 19, 2025 3:33pm Nov 19, 2025 3:33pm
- Joined Jul 2011 | Status: Gold Again | 10,656 Posts
A couple of breakouts failed, oil price maybe, or the usual suspect USD?
MAY THE TREND BE WITH YOU
- #29
- Nov 19, 2025 3:52pm Nov 19, 2025 3:52pm
- Joined Jul 2011 | Status: Gold Again | 10,656 Posts
I will stick with my theory that 20% of breakouts pay more than the 80% of failed breakouts
MAY THE TREND BE WITH YOU
