Disliked{quote} Watching this too! Today seems slow with 1.1548 supporting. I think that if it drops bulls might still create some support at the small H&S pattern {image}Ignored
1
- #18,223
- Nov 27, 2025 5:03am Nov 27, 2025 5:03am
- Joined Jun 2016 | Status: Sharing EUR/USD Ideas and Insights | 15,440 Posts
Bull is still not dead! 
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
- #18,225
- Nov 27, 2025 6:39am Nov 27, 2025 6:39am
- Joined Jun 2016 | Status: Sharing EUR/USD Ideas and Insights | 15,440 Posts
{quote} Yeah i am more interested in shorts as long as price is below 1.15850
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
- #18,227
- Nov 27, 2025 1:02pm Nov 27, 2025 1:02pm
- Joined Dec 2015 | Status: Trader | 2,290 Posts
{quote} update1 DXY H1 EURUSD H1 PATTERN - RISING WEDGE If we close H1 above 1.1610–1.1615 → the H1 wedge is invalidated. The liquidity grab above 1.1600 is a typical part of a rising wedge! The EQ highs above 1.1600 are probably already taken out. Conclusion (the most important):1.1650–1.1660 = Main R → the market often moves there after breaking the EQ
S: 1.1500 – 1.1510...
EURUSD H1
Important levels:
Resistances1.16065 – last H4 pivot high
– price stopped rising there and rejected the zone
– very important resistance → as long as we are BELOW it, the market has a weaker bullish continuation setup
1.16600 – major H4 pivot high
– this is a major swing and also the EQ high
– strong liquidity sits there
– if we reach it → a very strong reaction zone
Supports1.15773 – last H4 pivot low
– a strong impulsive move upward originated here
– a valid pivot because it created a new H4 HH
→ key support
1.15230 – major
– another very strong swing
– if 1.15773 breaks → this is the next big stop
– a large amount of order liquidity is sitting here
As long as we are below 1.16065 → intraday = rather bearish.
As long as we hold 1.15773 → the market can attempt to move up again.
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
- #18,228
- Nov 27, 2025 1:37pm Nov 27, 2025 1:37pm
- Joined Dec 2015 | Status: Trader | 2,290 Posts
EURUSD H1
pattern
Pattern = symmetrical triangle (yellow lines)
As long as we are inside the triangle → the market is indecisive.
If price closes 1h or 4h above 1.16087, the triangle is invalidated bullishly.
A breakout above 1.16190 means:
– end of the triangle
– end of the bearish structure
– start of a hunt for higher liquidity
above 1.1608 = bullish chances rise sharply
below 1.1608 = still bearish mode
60–65% bearish
35–40% bullish
pattern
Pattern = symmetrical triangle (yellow lines)
As long as we are inside the triangle → the market is indecisive.
If price closes 1h or 4h above 1.16087, the triangle is invalidated bullishly.
A breakout above 1.16190 means:
– end of the triangle
– end of the bearish structure
– start of a hunt for higher liquidity
above 1.1608 = bullish chances rise sharply below 1.1608 = still bearish mode 60–65% bearish 35–40% bullish
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
- #18,229
- Nov 27, 2025 1:51pm Nov 27, 2025 1:51pm
- Joined Dec 2015 | Status: Trader | 2,290 Posts
EURUSD
REFLECTION:
We have two patterns: triangle + rising wedge
➤ Both are naturally BEARISH patterns
➤ Both show buyers losing strength
➤ Both have a high probability of breaking downward, but…
… only if the market is not sitting directly under LIQUIDITY.
And we are sitting under it.
IMPORTANT: Patterns are WEAK when there is uncollected liquidity above them.
Summary
If we stay below 1.16087 → the bearish pattern will be respected → we fall.
If we break above 1.16087 → the pattern becomes invalid → we go up for the liquidity at 1.1632 → 1.1650.
And currently:
Above the price we have:
– EQH liquidity
– H4 pivot liquidity
– 1.1632 liquidity cluster
– 1.1650 major liquidity zone
This means:
The market very often breaks the pattern upward
just to take the liquidity,
and ONLY THEN reverses downward.
This is the most common scenario when you see a wedge/triangle near the highs.
REFLECTION:
We have two patterns: triangle + rising wedge
➤ Both are naturally BEARISH patterns
➤ Both show buyers losing strength
➤ Both have a high probability of breaking downward, but…
… only if the market is not sitting directly under LIQUIDITY.
And we are sitting under it.
IMPORTANT: Patterns are WEAK when there is uncollected liquidity above them.
Summary
If we stay below 1.16087 → the bearish pattern will be respected → we fall. If we break above 1.16087 → the pattern becomes invalid → we go up for the liquidity at 1.1632 → 1.1650.And currently:
Above the price we have:– EQH liquidity
– H4 pivot liquidity
– 1.1632 liquidity cluster
– 1.1650 major liquidity zone
This means:
The market very often breaks the pattern upwardjust to take the liquidity,
and ONLY THEN reverses downward.
This is the most common scenario when you see a wedge/triangle near the highs.
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
- #18,232
- Nov 27, 2025 10:28pm Nov 27, 2025 10:28pm
- Joined Jun 2016 | Status: Sharing EUR/USD Ideas and Insights | 15,440 Posts
EURUSD is trading just below 1.1600, supported by the 1.1547 level. The pair is expected to continue above the round number as long as that support level holds. The next resistance the pair should test on an upside break is at 1.1656. A failure to maintain bullish momentum above 1.1547 will lead the pair to target 1.1511/00.
Daily volatility (range) 41 pips
Have a great Friday!
1H
Daily volatility (range) 41 pips
Have a great Friday!
1H
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
- #18,233
- Edited 4:25am Nov 28, 2025 1:33am | Edited 4:25am
- Joined Jun 2016 | Status: Sharing EUR/USD Ideas and Insights | 15,440 Posts
Last trading day and the pair sticked just below the monthly pivot and 50 with 100 ma's cross!
From Monday new monthly pivot levels will be available as December starts and also Fed is expected to cut rates but ECB is not so I expect a bullish month if everything as geopolitics goes fine.
For now we might see a deeper drop below yesterdays low at 1.1576
towards the weekly pivot at 1.1542. Resistance is at 1.1613.
From Monday new monthly pivot levels will be available as December starts and also Fed is expected to cut rates but ECB is not so I expect a bullish month if everything as geopolitics goes fine.
For now we might see a deeper drop below yesterdays low at 1.1576
towards the weekly pivot at 1.1542. Resistance is at 1.1613.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
- #18,234
- Nov 28, 2025 2:27am Nov 28, 2025 2:27am
- Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Liverpool's KOP | 8,022 Posts
I think EU bull may still have some unfinished business here and may push the price higher. But its the month end…. Maybe see you guys next week 
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
- #18,235
- Nov 28, 2025 2:35am Nov 28, 2025 2:35am
- Joined Jun 2016 | Status: Sharing EUR/USD Ideas and Insights | 15,440 Posts
I think EU bull may still have some unfinished business here and may push the price higher. But its the month end…. Maybe see you guys next week
For now seems different we'll have to buy lower I suppose. 1.1500-1.1491 should hold...maybe not that low first support is near for me - 1.1547
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
- #18,236
- Nov 28, 2025 2:44am Nov 28, 2025 2:44am
- Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Liverpool's KOP | 8,022 Posts
{quote} Welcome john!
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
- #18,237
- Edited 3:18am Nov 28, 2025 3:05am | Edited 3:18am
- Joined Dec 2015 | Status: Trader | 2,290 Posts
EURUSD H1
trendlines, pattern
Falling wedge = bullish pattern
There is still strong resistance above the wedge, so the breakout upward may not be clean.
The red trendline = the previous “rising” trendline (local uptrend)
H4 pivot + old uptrend line (important S/R point)
Only when an H1/H4 candle closes above the red line will the wedge be valid.
Key point:
If price stays below the red line, we continue downward.
R: 1.1580 – 1.1585 zone
If we don’t quickly push above this red line:
continuation toward 1.1560 → 1.1550 → 1.1535.
trendlines, pattern
Falling wedge = bullish pattern
There is still strong resistance above the wedge, so the breakout upward may not be clean.
The red trendline = the previous “rising” trendline (local uptrend)
H4 pivot + old uptrend line (important S/R point)
Only when an H1/H4 candle closes above the red line will the wedge be valid.
Key point:
If price stays below the red line, we continue downward.
R: 1.1580 – 1.1585 zoneIf we don’t quickly push above this red line:
continuation toward 1.1560 → 1.1550 → 1.1535.
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
- #18,238
- Edited 4:13am Nov 28, 2025 3:57am | Edited 4:13am
- Joined Dec 2015 | Status: Trader | 2,290 Posts
EURUSD H1
trendlines, pattern
full chart
B–C = the last local S zone
As long as we hold B–C, i.e. the yellow bottom of the triangle → the structure remains bullish relative to the internal channel.
If B–C breaks → the scenario of moving up to A is immediately invalidated.
Breaking above 1.16021 + holding B–C = the probability of a move toward A is very high.
When the market is sitting below the red line, it means:
– sellers are in control,
– every bounce upward is weak,
– the probability of breaking lower S levels (B,C) increases significantly.
Important point:
1.1550 = H4 pivot = stronger S
This is no longer just a local diagonal (like B–C).
The H4 pivot has these characteristics:
– it is horizontal (stronger than diagonals),
– it’s on a higher timeframe → more liquidity,
– it often acts as the last defense for the whole swing.
The red line can push the price below B–C…
…but it doesn’t necessarily have to push it below 1.1550.
That’s the difference:
• B–C = weak, local support
• 1.1550 = strong H4 S pivot
→ it can cause a pause, slowdown, consolidation, or reversal.
trendlines, pattern
full chart
B–C = the last local
S zoneAs long as we hold B–C, i.e. the yellow bottom of the triangle → the structure remains bullish relative to the internal channel.
If B–C breaks → the scenario of moving up to A is immediately invalidated.
Breaking above 1.16021 + holding B–C = the probability of a move toward A is very high.
When the market is sitting below the red line, it means:
– sellers are in control,
– every bounce upward is weak,
– the probability of breaking lower
S levels (B,C) increases significantly.Important point:1.1550 = H4 pivot = stronger
SThis is no longer just a local diagonal (like B–C).
The H4 pivot has these characteristics:
– it is horizontal (stronger than diagonals),
– it’s on a higher timeframe → more liquidity,
– it often acts as the last defense for the whole swing.
The red line can push the price below B–C…
…but it doesn’t necessarily have to push it below 1.1550.
That’s the difference:
• B–C = weak, local support
• 1.1550 = strong H4
S pivot→ it can cause a pause, slowdown, consolidation, or reversal.
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
- #18,239
- Nov 28, 2025 9:17am Nov 28, 2025 9:17am
- Joined Jun 2016 | Status: Sharing EUR/USD Ideas and Insights | 15,440 Posts
EU is doing it's usual back and forth. Will not be surprised if it drops again. Just end of month volatility from profit taking.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
- #18,240
- Nov 28, 2025 9:43am Nov 28, 2025 9:43am
- Joined Dec 2015 | Status: Trader | 2,290 Posts
EURUSD H1 trendlines, pattern full chart B–C = the last local
EURUSD H1
trendline and pattern
We continue according to plan, the B–C trendlines held, we are moving up…
After breaking the R, the next line waiting for us is "A"
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC