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Coreg's EW+HP+D/W Range

  • #2,141
  • Nov 25, 2025 9:48am Nov 25, 2025 9:48am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} GU took some time to reach yesterday's target @1.3147. Currently sitting in the resistance zone reinforced by the sloping down TL. If a breakout happens, 1.3173 is in play. {image}
The 1H chart with the bigger picture. GU has a nice run today.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU 11.25 2H.png Size: 49 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #2,142
  • Edited 2:26pm Nov 25, 2025 1:09pm | Edited 2:26pm
Quoting Coreg2004
Dollar Index hanging on. {image} Pattern of the top right-hand corner. {image}
A potential move to the downside in DXY was brewing for 3 days. Don't tell me you were not warned.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DXY 11.25 daily.png Size: 39 KB

Added: daily GU chart, prepare yourself for the days ahead.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU 11.25 daily.png Size: 43 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #2,143
  • Nov 25, 2025 2:45pm Nov 25, 2025 2:45pm
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} The 1H chart with the bigger picture. GU has a nice run today. {image}
Decision time coming up...Hold 'em or fold 'em?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU 11.25 1H.png Size: 47 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #2,144
  • Nov 25, 2025 4:17pm Nov 25, 2025 4:17pm
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} Decision time coming up...Hold 'em or fold 'em? {image}
another option:
partials & runner

good trading week!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDH4.png Size: 26 KB
newbie
  • #2,145
  • Nov 25, 2025 7:40pm Nov 25, 2025 7:40pm
Quoting fex.
{quote} another option: partials & runner good trading week! {image}
fex., liquidity + OB with ATR is the target and potential reversal for the day. WH didn't hold today when GU was going up, maybe b/c another liquidity zone was right above. Also, WH wasn't a factor on the way down, broke way too easily. Anyway, if GU wants to go higher, the resistance zone between 1.3233 and 1.3248 has to be taken out. If broken, the target for tomorrow is @1.3277.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU 11.26 4H.png Size: 45 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #2,146
  • Nov 26, 2025 7:14am Nov 26, 2025 7:14am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} fex., liquidity + OB with ATR is the target and potential reversal for the day. WH didn't hold today when GU was going up, maybe b/c another liquidity zone was right above. Also, WH wasn't a factor on the way down, broke way too easily. Anyway, if GU wants to go higher, the resistance zone between 1.3233 and 1.3248 has to be taken out. If broken, the target for tomorrow is @1.3277.{image}
Based on the daily ATR, there is a chance the zone @1.3233-1.3248 can hold today, unless GU has an awesome day.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU 11.26 30M.png Size: 45 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #2,147
  • Nov 26, 2025 7:36am Nov 26, 2025 7:36am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} Based on the daily ATR, there is a chance the zone @1.3233-1.3248 can hold today, unless GU has an awesome day. {image}
As always, this is a well-considered and insightful analysis. Nice work Coreg
https://breakpullback.com
  • #2,148
  • Nov 26, 2025 8:06am Nov 26, 2025 8:06am
Quoting eyefeelsix
{quote} As always, this is a well-considered and insightful analysis. Nice work Coreg
eyefeelsix, thanks. I wonder if I don't put too much faith in this zone to hold. But until the zone is broken, my view holds.
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #2,149
  • Nov 26, 2025 8:35am Nov 26, 2025 8:35am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} eyefeelsix, thanks. I wonder if I don't put too much faith in this zone to hold. But until the zone is broken, my view holds.
I agree. My view also suggests consolidation will continue for the next few days.
https://breakpullback.com
  • #2,150
  • Nov 26, 2025 9:25am Nov 26, 2025 9:25am
Quoting eyefeelsix
{quote} I agree. My view also suggests consolidation will continue for the next few days.
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} Abeylyn, someone said that the market is always in the range, and I agree with this statement. It all depends on what swing we trade. The weekly TF still didn't reach min time for potential reversal, if at all. {image}
I posted the weekly chart some time ago with the potential resistance zone and timing for correction.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU 11.17 weekly.png Size: 34 KB

Longer TF doesn't affect my day trading, but I like to be on the right side of the market atm.
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #2,151
  • Nov 26, 2025 10:22am Nov 26, 2025 10:22am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} Based on the daily ATR, there is a chance the zone @1.3233-1.3248 can hold today, unless GU has an awesome day. {image}
Trigger chart (5M), decision time coming up.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU 11.26 5M.png Size: 38 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #2,152
  • Edited 10:02am Nov 27, 2025 7:20am | Edited 10:02am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} Based on the daily ATR, there is a chance the zone @1.3233-1.3248 can hold today, unless GU has an awesome day. {image}
If GU completed the ABC corrective pattern (min @1.3264), the expectation is to the downside.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU 11.27 2H.png Size: 49 KB

As long as GU doesn't close above 1.32486 on the daily TF, the end of wave 4 is valid.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU 11.27 daily.png Size: 43 KB

Added. Here is what can happen when the ABC fails.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Step 4EW.jpg Size: 106 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #2,153
  • Nov 27, 2025 7:32am Nov 27, 2025 7:32am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} If GU completed the ABC corrective pattern (min @1.3264), the expectation is to the downside. {image} As long as GU doesn't close above 1.32486 on the daily TF, the end of wave 4 is valid.{image}
@3248, looking forward to that area,
MARKET ABHORS LAZINESS,DOING MY HOMEWORK ....
  • #2,154
  • Nov 27, 2025 7:35am Nov 27, 2025 7:35am
Quoting msqk
{quote} @3248, looking forward to that area,
msqk, me too. I don't want this pattern to be demolished. I adjust if this happens.
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #2,155
  • Nov 28, 2025 7:31am Nov 28, 2025 7:31am
Not too much changed from the last post. I closed my short trade from yesterday and won't trade today. It's not my market, too slow.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU 11.28 1H.png Size: 34 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #2,156
  • Nov 29, 2025 1:36pm Nov 29, 2025 1:36pm
next areas of interest, for me
have a nice weekend
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDH4.png Size: 44 KB
newbie
  • #2,157
  • Nov 30, 2025 1:35pm Nov 30, 2025 1:35pm
For Elliott Wave Theory enthusiasts.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: TimingforABC.jpg Size: 204 KB
Wave C should have 5 fractals.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU 11.30 daily.png Size: 57 KB

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU 11.30 dailyb.png Size: 58 KB

And an alternative count of waves. Wave C can be an ending diagonal (wedge). I don't like how it looks, but it's the second option if I had to have one.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU 11.30 dailyc.png Size: 39 KB

Here are the guidelines for how I arrived at these patterns.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ABC corr..jpg Size: 83 KB

Enjoy.
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #2,158
  • Nov 30, 2025 2:19pm Nov 30, 2025 2:19pm
If anyone is interested in the basics, here is an excellent start to the Elliott Wave journey.

https://www.elearnmarkets.com/school...f-elliott-wave

Disclaimer: I don't endorse any courses, webinars, or mentorship programs except that this website is a good place to learn EW.
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #2,159
  • Nov 30, 2025 2:45pm Nov 30, 2025 2:45pm
Quoting fex.
next areas of interest, for me have a nice weekend {image}
fex., if wave C is in place, min correction of B-C swing is the zone between 1.3180 and 1.3155. Min correction for the entire formation (0-C)is the zone between 1.3170 and 1.3140. The zones are valid if the Thursday high holds.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU 11.30 4H.png Size: 55 KB

Sharing is caring.
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #2,160
  • Dec 1, 2025 7:38am Dec 1, 2025 7:38am
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} fex., if wave C is in place, min correction of B-C swing is the zone between 1.3180 and 1.3155. Min correction for the entire formation (0-C)is the zone between 1.3170 and 1.3140. The zones are valid if the Thursday high holds.{image} Sharing is caring.
The new setup after Thursday's high was broken. Still watching if GU closes below 1.3248 after flirting 2 days in a row with this level. Potential resistance zone for today is between 1.3280 and 1.3292.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU 12.01 30M.png Size: 38 KB
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
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