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The Swamp

  • #125,721
  • Nov 13, 2025 10:12pm Nov 13, 2025 10:12pm
I don't know when.. If the shutdown is over.. Those nfp and other stats will come i a few days. It may be a new ball game. when that news hits. We may get to do it all over again early next year
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,722
  • Nov 13, 2025 11:57pm Nov 13, 2025 11:57pm
Quoting gatorinla
I don't know when.. If the shutdown is over.. Those nfp and other stats will come i a few days. It may be a new ball game. when that news hits. We may get to do it all over again early next year
yup govt may shutdown again in Dec.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,723
  • Nov 14, 2025 5:05am Nov 14, 2025 5:05am
The 12h closed on the bull side of 1615.. So it may rise soon.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,724
  • Nov 14, 2025 5:26am Nov 14, 2025 5:26am
The other times were less than 10 pips... if she bottoms it may look like this angle.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,725
  • Nov 14, 2025 5:30am Nov 14, 2025 5:30am
Quoting gatorinla
The other times were less than 10 pips... if she bottoms it may look like this angle. {image}
Price looks like it's trying to entice shorts.
  • #125,726
  • Nov 14, 2025 5:32am Nov 14, 2025 5:32am
Quoting gatorinla
The other times were less than 10 pips... if she bottoms it may look like this angle. {image} {image}
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,727
  • Nov 14, 2025 5:35am Nov 14, 2025 5:35am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} Price looks like it's trying to entice shorts.
I don't know where its going. I do know to get to 1681.5 to close the day, it needs to rise somewhere. I don't if this is somewhere now. I know its done similar places recently.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,728
  • Nov 14, 2025 5:38am Nov 14, 2025 5:38am
It came off the mat some..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,729
  • Nov 14, 2025 5:48am Nov 14, 2025 5:48am
Its reasonable to think it goes to 1638 day trading, 1681.5/1682+ is not in that normal 1638. There was some support in the 1620/26ish area. It may act like some r now.. 1626*
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,730
  • Nov 14, 2025 6:05am Nov 14, 2025 6:05am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I don't know where its going. I do know to get to 1681.5 to close the day, it needs to rise somewhere. I don't if this is somewhere now. I know its done similar places recently.
It's indeed not clear what it wants. NY session might show the way.
  • #125,731
  • Nov 14, 2025 6:05am Nov 14, 2025 6:05am
Quoting gatorinla
The 12h closed on the bull side of 1615.. So it may rise soon. {image}
This area held off the 1h close. the aqua looking line may be a trajectory for the close time. We may not see it all. In a gap if below 1682 at close.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,732
  • Nov 14, 2025 6:07am Nov 14, 2025 6:07am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} It's indeed not clear what it wants. NY session might show the way.
It met my leanings. Its over for me. I just added little at 1610
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,733
  • Nov 14, 2025 6:29am Nov 14, 2025 6:29am
Quoting gatorinla
Its reasonable to think it goes to 1638 day trading, 1681.5/1682+ is not in that normal 1638. There was some support in the 1620/26ish area. It may act like some r now.. 1626* {image}
If all this st rise goes to hell. Another support place can be 1606/07. It looks on tract for 1632 and 38.. My goal is 1681.5/82+ today/or in a gap
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,734
  • Nov 14, 2025 6:31am Nov 14, 2025 6:31am
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,735
  • Nov 14, 2025 7:07am Nov 14, 2025 7:07am
I got some bearish markers on those charts. I use them to see the bearish view even if I'm trading long. Those grey lines can go either way in direction. For instance the bull can fail structure not getting + 1632 and 1682 this close. But if it closes above those, along with other indications. It adds to it. It helps during those sideways periods. I know what it needs to do to continue with structure, or is failing to meet a mark. Those marks have timelines.
On a normal day. Sustained above 1650 is a breakout to me. Some contradictions in trading are always present. To me, a close above 1682 today is structural bullish. That structure is timed. Within the future time pa can retrace. I need an additional 12h close above 1694 to hold. I don't what the reason is. Maybe many/enough take profit if structure holds. And wait for a retrace to re-enter. It works sometimes, and sometimes you miss the boat. So if it makes the 1682+ close. It may still be unable to make the 12h above 1694. That and some profit taking can bring pa back to 158x area. It may set up a long there. The area is dynamic.. Use the 20sma day area. Pa can be attracted to it when tired on any time frame.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,736
  • Nov 14, 2025 7:50am Nov 14, 2025 7:50am
Food for thought.. The day trend a few weeks back was bullish at 1470. It held, pa on that time. It's still bullish.. That's how it ended up here nearly 200 pips now. The week month are bullish inline with the day. The 6h and lower time frames are bullish atm. The outlier being the 12h at 1694 is bearish.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,737
  • Nov 14, 2025 8:31am Nov 14, 2025 8:31am
right at today's trajectory to 1681.5/82
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,738
  • Nov 14, 2025 10:17am Nov 14, 2025 10:17am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If all this st rise goes to hell. Another support place can be 1606/07. It looks on tract for 1632 and 38.. My goal is 1681.5/82+ today/or in a gap
All went to hell earlier. the attraction to 1638 is lost. Its either gonna make the close or not. If its rising toward 1682, it should be steeper than earlier.
1627 still has some vote
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,739
  • Nov 14, 2025 11:33am Nov 14, 2025 11:33am
Bears pulled off a nice rejection atm. there is still 4hs to go. Bears have it below 1632, they don't need to do anything more but hold. That don't make it auto bearish, it makes it a little less bullish more sideways (possibly to retest 1470). The bulls may miss a beat. The bulls still have enough time to recover before close.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,740
  • Nov 14, 2025 11:40am Nov 14, 2025 11:40am
no matter how I draw the beginning. the intersection trajectory is about 1628.. It only means that when pa is above 1628, it may have time for 1682.
But it has to climb hard after.
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