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The Swamp

  • #125,701
  • Nov 10, 2025 4:57am Nov 10, 2025 4:57am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The trend has been lower, stopped at the day support at 1470. It could be possible if the support at 1470 was to give up. The 157x R area can be the high point before. The break of 1470 to me needs a day close below. Back above 1633 sustained may prevent that. 1551.5 is between these points
I will cancel this until Friday (after Wednesday). Since I got this short indication today. I will target 1480/83 to tp around Wednesday. It may bounce from there To end up Friday in the 1632/33 shadow. Its not that 1632/33 is not there. The weaker 1480 or 1483 has todays retrace added. 1633 cant happen if 1470 gives up the day support.
A pull to 1480 or 83 is close to 1470.. A possible long may be off that day support area.. A possible rise to 1632/33 after for Friday.
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  • #125,702
  • Nov 10, 2025 5:05am Nov 10, 2025 5:05am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I will cancel this until Friday (after Wednesday). Since I got this short indication today. I will target 1480/83 to tp around Wednesday. It may bounce from there To end up Friday in the 1632/33 shadow. Its not that 1632/33 is not there. The weaker 1480 or 1483 has todays retrace added. 1633 cant happen if 1470 gives up the day support. A pull to 1480 or 83 is close to 1470.. A possible long may be off that day support area.. A possible rise to 1632/33 after for Friday.
If Friday i get some suitability + 1633, then 173x will be in the talk.
1633 wont happen without 1570 giving up. This is a likely R area until.
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  • #125,703
  • Nov 10, 2025 5:26am Nov 10, 2025 5:26am
If I'm right about the rejection at 1570. 1559 may start to resist.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,704
  • Nov 10, 2025 5:31am Nov 10, 2025 5:31am
Quoting gatorinla
If I'm right about the rejection at 1570. 1559 may start to resist. {image}
1557 is tough atm.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,705
  • Nov 10, 2025 5:38am Nov 10, 2025 5:38am
1m
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,706
  • Nov 10, 2025 6:22am Nov 10, 2025 6:22am
Quoting gatorinla
If I'm right about the rejection at 1570. 1559 may start to resist. {image}
1558 couldnt handle the 70 attraction
The 12h pointed to it not doing much above 1570.. It/I may be wrong. That leads me to think a retrace.. .
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,707
  • Edited 10:04am Nov 10, 2025 9:50am | Edited 10:04am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1558 couldnt handle the 70 attraction The 12h pointed to it not doing much above 1570.. It/I may be wrong. That leads me to think a retrace.. . {image}
We can expect some slowing in the 1542/45 area. Years ago 1528/29 may be enough. The euro has changed. It may be shooting for the 1480/83 zone.. If it cant retest 1470.. or just there in the area it may bounce.. Bears want to destroy that support. The same 1542/45 could resist when under. I figure a down day using the 12h.. plus bulls cant run without 1570. They were rejected and the last 4 6h close attempts to take 1570.. A day has not closed above since oct 29. But once pa is in the 1470 or whenever bulls run.. they still have to takes and hold 1570. Just like bears need to take and hold below 1470.
Between these b/o points is 1520

A better long may be 1470ish area, a better short 1570ish area. The last month, week, day, 12h, 6h,4h 1h, etc. closed between these 2 points.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,708
  • Nov 11, 2025 4:18am Nov 11, 2025 4:18am
i closed based on todays higher close.. but it still may be unable to pass 1570 more than 15 or 20 pips.. it has to break out still
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  • #125,709
  • Edited 4:43am Nov 11, 2025 4:32am | Edited 4:43am
I took another short 1573. Since it was above 1570. That last close was bullish, but its against the 1570 b/o point. It may have been better to b/o 154x.. One or the other will break.
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  • #125,710
  • Nov 11, 2025 4:55am Nov 11, 2025 4:55am
Sustained above 1570 and 71 is not good for my short. Both of these can be R. Just being above is not enough. The 12h closed below 1570, although it was a higher close. It did little to nothing to swat it down below 1543 etc yesterday. Today i will raise it to 1551.. Sustained below 1551 may be a b/o, but also needs the 30m closing below 1546.
The bulls may just need it sustained above 1571.. Not closing the last h above (12h) is why i shorted. Plus it is in the R area. It may end up being a bad choice. Looking to tp above 1483.
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  • #125,711
  • Nov 11, 2025 6:20am Nov 11, 2025 6:20am
may be a nice short brewing in usdjpy
  • #125,712
  • Nov 11, 2025 7:30am Nov 11, 2025 7:30am
It looks like a break/out.. support may become 1571
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,713
  • Nov 11, 2025 10:47pm Nov 11, 2025 10:47pm
Quoting gatorinla
It looks like a break/out.. support may become 1571 {image}
1600 may stop the bull or we may go to 1660-70 area.

bear will need 1530 to resume down trend
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,714
  • Nov 12, 2025 10:57am Nov 12, 2025 10:57am
Its still reasonable to see 1632 or 1681 this week. But it may be in a gap on open Sunday.
If that close is above 1681 (the bull side).. It can be sideways for 6 weeks, and still end up closing this year above 173x (the bull side). Sideways can be a large range
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  • #125,715
  • Nov 12, 2025 11:07am Nov 12, 2025 11:07am
Quoting johncen
{quote} 1600 may stop the bull or we may go to 1660-70 area. bear will need 1530 to resume down trend
I'm thinking bears may try to protect pa below 1632 or 1681. Bulls protected 1470.. They don't need to show their cards until the close Friday. The open may gap, so we may not see it all.
There is so much time at hand, it may be just a sideways looking process. From Nov 1 till this Friday is near 2 weeks to move a little more than 210 pips.. It could do back flips in that time.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,716
  • Nov 12, 2025 11:49pm Nov 12, 2025 11:49pm
Quoting gatorinla
Its still reasonable to see 1632 or 1681 this week. But it may be in a gap on open Sunday. If that close is above 1681 (the bull side).. It can be sideways for 6 weeks, and still end up closing this year above 173x (the bull side). Sideways can be a large range {image}
rudderless
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,717
  • Nov 13, 2025 3:52am Nov 13, 2025 3:52am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I'm thinking bears may try to protect pa below 1632 or 1681. Bulls protected 1470.. They don't need to show their cards until the close Friday. The open may gap, so we may not see it all. There is so much time at hand, it may be just a sideways looking process. From Nov 1 till this Friday is near 2 weeks to move a little more than 210 pips.. It could do back flips in that time.
Sleeper cell awakened, can the bulls pull off the close above 1682 Friday?
The smaller 1632 had some bears waiting. But they may not know about 1682;
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  • #125,718
  • Nov 13, 2025 4:21am Nov 13, 2025 4:21am
It may not look like it. PA may be bullish here above 1604. The day yesterday closed above the 20 sma. Today sustained above 1604 may be a bullish b/o. The 12h just above 1570 as well as these others. 1632 and likely 82 are in the way of 1729 and 1737. But there is no hurry to get there. Its got 6 weeks to close above 1737..It can retrace if it wants. If it does close above 1632 and 81. It may just be very boring the remainder of this year. Below it could get interesting. 1.03xx seems too far this year. The speed could not be hidden. I will goo with the bulls. I don't think the world, or the headlines favor the usd. All the tacky gold decor don't fix this. The stain and the cost will be here for a long time.
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  • #125,719
  • Nov 13, 2025 9:09pm Nov 13, 2025 9:09pm
I had upper trajectory line for a day or 2 posted. Long before it was reached. It had no second point to attach to before. Pa went to it.
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  • #125,720
  • Nov 13, 2025 10:02pm Nov 13, 2025 10:02pm
the 6h indicates the 12h will indicate a a up day.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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