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  • #125,601
  • Oct 28, 2025 6:59am Oct 28, 2025 6:59am
Quoting gatorinla
that close was 1644.5. the 6h at 1644.7... I may be blacked out some of the last minute. the open 4 min later was 1644.7..I can say it did close above or below... It may have closed above 1544.7.. Very near for sure. Mostly stagnate so for,, but still above 1625 and 32 34
1682 is still allusive.. The 12h did close above 1644x.. The 4h at 1663. The next 4h closes in 1h.. the next 6h closes in 3h.
This current 4h candle has its low at 1644. the 6h ma support atm 1644.9
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  • #125,602
  • Oct 28, 2025 7:14am Oct 28, 2025 7:14am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I was thinking it had to hit 1623/24.. Its getting close to Friday. I know sometimes it will shoot for 1666 for Friday. So far 1582 has hurt bears. It may be reaching for 1682.
It missed this 1666 meeting Friday last week. The 6mth 3mth 1mth and day bullish. wk bearish, Some support at 1651..
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  • #125,603
  • Oct 28, 2025 8:23am Oct 28, 2025 8:23am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It missed this 1666 meeting Friday last week. The 6mth 3mth 1mth and day bullish. wk bearish, Some support at 1651..
back to fair value at 1625.. it took a bunch of rising candles to be erased by a few.
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  • #125,604
  • Oct 28, 2025 8:31am Oct 28, 2025 8:31am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If you want to take a chance on the bull.. stops below 1625, 5-10 pips.
This is likely where the bull could end its attempt.. Losing 1625 and sustained below 1620 is a likely bearish b/o.. So it may bounce here.
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  • #125,605
  • Edited 9:06am Oct 28, 2025 8:53am | Edited 9:06am
Quoting johncen
{quote} i dont have a prefernce yet. I prefer bear but cannot rule out bullish movement to a bit higher so maybe sideline for today
Its back under my 6h and below ma's.. Very bearish in that respect. The rate decision still to come. Would it be to to crazy to think 1749 for Friday after this drop?
I think that is fair value on the month.
It would be a wild cluster fuck on the ma's. But the 12h did close above the 6h. Yet here we are testing 1625 and 32 again.
I do think 1625 is fair value this week.. My larger structure bullish. It may need to go to 1749 this month for balance
If unable to make 1749 Friday.. Its another win for bears. In early London a push sustained above 1652 is bullish to me.. But it may still depend on rates decision.
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  • #125,606
  • Oct 28, 2025 9:14am Oct 28, 2025 9:14am
back to test the bullish b/o R at 1647
The lower b/o support at 1620 was untouched, protected at fair value 1625
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  • #125,607
  • Oct 28, 2025 9:21am Oct 28, 2025 9:21am
If pa is running up away from 1640 this hour.. That may be bullish.. Normal is toward 40
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  • #125,608
  • Oct 28, 2025 1:13pm Oct 28, 2025 1:13pm
Quoting gatorinla
back to test the bullish b/o R at 1647 The lower b/o support at 1620 was untouched, protected at fair value 1625 {image}
yea 1625 has proven to be key support for eu.
unless we go below this level bull can go higher
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,609
  • Oct 28, 2025 2:05pm Oct 28, 2025 2:05pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea 1625 has proven to be key support for eu. unless we go below this level bull can go higher
Yeah, if 1625 is lost. 1596 may be early London on Friday. Since its supporting, I have to go with it reaching for 1749, if it can get past 1682ish and 1729. If it can close 1749+ that can turn this North. I think Friday may have some pull from 1625 and/or 1749 if bulls want it. 1687 between them
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  • #125,610
  • Oct 28, 2025 2:43pm Oct 28, 2025 2:43pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Yeah, if 1625 is lost. 1596 may be early London on Friday. Since its supporting, I have to go with it reaching for 1749, if it can get past 1682ish and 1729. If it can close 1749+ that can turn this North. I think Friday may have some pull from 1625 and/or 1749 if bulls want it. 1687 between them
Yes i remain bearish as long as we are below 1750. However if bull takes back 1750 i will get rid of my bearish bias.
for now we are still completing wave b of the abc correction targeting below 1.14
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,611
  • Oct 28, 2025 2:47pm Oct 28, 2025 2:47pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea 1625 has proven to be key support for eu. unless we go below this level bull can go higher
I need 1666 to be support..
But 1651 is ok,, sustained above 1666 should be a b/o.. I worry 1682/87 may slap it down.. The month closes Friday.. 1749 or 1625 may be the decider.
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  • #125,612
  • Oct 28, 2025 2:54pm Oct 28, 2025 2:54pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I need 1666 to be support.. But 1651 is ok,, sustained above 1666 should be a b/o.. I worry 1682/87 may slap it down.. The month closes Friday.. 1749 or 1625 may be the decider.
we have plenty of news events to move the price to either 1750 or below 1625/1600
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,613
  • Oct 28, 2025 4:24pm Oct 28, 2025 4:24pm
Later tonight if the bulls can not take 1666+ sustained.. The break down bottom may be as close at 1651.. They are very close.. either can be a breakout or support/resistance. Since they are close both may be tested.. or rejected
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  • #125,614
  • Oct 28, 2025 11:13pm Oct 28, 2025 11:13pm
Quoting gatorinla
Later tonight if the bulls can not take 1666+ sustained.. The break down bottom may be as close at 1651.. They are very close.. either can be a breakout or support/resistance. Since they are close both may be tested.. or rejected
Its been ranging.. It broke out the day support bottom.. If its still ranging it could could bounce 1632 25 ish again.. And if its dropping, below, 1596 should be the goal for bears, for the 12h close. Bulls would want the 12h above 1666+.. The same as the b/o point as a rejection.. That would be bullish to me.
If that 12h close is above 1597.. Bulls take a wk structure away from the bears.. above 1651 another.. day trade wise above 1666..
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  • #125,615
  • Oct 29, 2025 4:24am Oct 29, 2025 4:24am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Its been ranging.. It broke out the day support bottom.. If its still ranging it could could bounce 1632 25 ish again.. And if its dropping, below, 1596 should be the goal for bears, for the 12h close. Bulls would want the 12h above 1666+.. The same as the b/o point as a rejection.. That would be bullish to me. If that 12h close is above 1597.. Bulls take a wk structure away from the bears.. above 1651 another.. day trade wise above 1666..
A contradiction on 2 things.. The 12h did close below 1625, at 1623. but not below 1596. Meaning bears did win back 1625.. But the week structure is on the bullish side now. The attraction to 1749 would be stronger had it closed above 1725. The structure is saying the bears lost the battle for 1596. 2 methods in opposite corners on the week time frame. Fair value on the month at 1749 is possible, but lost a step. But it also gained on structure..
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  • #125,616
  • Oct 29, 2025 4:39am Oct 29, 2025 4:39am
All my ma's are just like most of yours.. in the 1640s to 660s. Pa below them, on the bearish side. We call that bearish. 1749 is not in that scope. We trade retail. 1749 is in fewer scopes.
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  • #125,617
  • Edited 6:26am Oct 29, 2025 4:46am | Edited 6:26am
-1651 sustaining favors the bears on a day trade. +1666 sustained may be a bullish breakout. Both can be resistance. Rate decision still coming with the usual wtf moves
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  • #125,618
  • Oct 29, 2025 4:50am Oct 29, 2025 4:50am
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  • #125,619
  • Oct 29, 2025 7:49am Oct 29, 2025 7:49am
https://www.npr.org/2025/10/29/nx-s1...rket-inflation 1/4 cut looks to be the consensus. A bunch of Amazon and other layoffs were announced yesterday AI related. This may be the beginning of a shrinking of the mid management economy. The earlier consensus may have not taken into account the layoffs announced yesterday. Add in the government layoffs/firings with the shutdown.
This with mild inflation news last week. Could they surprise us with 1/2 point cut?
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  • #125,620
  • Oct 29, 2025 8:52am Oct 29, 2025 8:52am
Lots of layoffs coming.
https://www.businessinsider.com/rece...ts-workforce-4
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