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Make More Money - Eliminate DRAMA 11 replies

Just posting my trades, everyone is welcome but no drama 2 replies

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Gold with No Drama

  • #9,141
  • Oct 25, 2025 4:46pm Oct 25, 2025 4:46pm
Maybe this is what you are referring to .. but that did not happen because of the open and that is marked as 2 deviations on your chart ..
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Candlesticks dont move markets, Volume does
  • #9,142
  • Oct 25, 2025 5:03pm Oct 25, 2025 5:03pm
Long term bias remains quite bullish in my side. But, for short term, I expect fluctuations at range of 4400-4000. This can last for 8-15 weeks like happened between 3150 and 3450, then again up to new ATHs.

Keeping an eye on other instruments (for nice trade opportunities) like SP500 can be good in the meantime.
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  • #9,143
  • Oct 25, 2025 8:43pm Oct 25, 2025 8:43pm
Quoting Praetorion
Maybe this is what you are referring to .. but that did not happen because of the open and that is marked as 2 deviations on your chart .. {image}
I know, the deviation is just to prove how Ny sessions are related so perfectly... The 2 in my fibo is indeed 1 deviation....
We can't look as exact price obvious, at least i can't, sometimes it does, sometimes it don't, is where kicks in the break volatility to measure better, for now is just a reference what price can achieve.
This confluences is all around, even Ny rotations, can be to 50% or 61% only between Ny sessions and are such patterns like this that hell random?
The only problem here is that i don't know where they go exactly, i can have levels as reference and get a minimun with high probability and it is one reasom that i don't ignore both sides particulary at NY. This extensions patterns repeats over and over, like in the middle of the range in a fractal way.
I am thinking to adapt to foot print better and that will take time to understand those readings to avoid false reference prices.
And yes you are right those 20% can be reduced, at least i still believe it can and try every day to find how.
Trading is a progressive learning, 80% is not 100%, is good, but was better 85% / 90%...
  • #9,144
  • Oct 25, 2025 11:15pm Oct 25, 2025 11:15pm
Quoting Deal
{quote} OK let's go.... I will try to read from weekly and please ignore the wick length, i already said several times that wick can be also indecision. The reason this wick matter for next week and how i read H/L and open/close is because it tap the prior week open and low and reject.

Resuming, i believe for weekly we are still bullish, but don't ignore bearish signs, for instance we failed on daily the inside bar breakout, or most of people think, is only a fail when take the high of mother candle after first breakout had been activated, so...
Well, i've had my fill....with add on from @Praetorian....i am stuffed...ha ha.

Always "woth it " to discuss with a man who targeted 20% a month with 80% probability and consist with it.

I will take this as "small talk" to sharing from my vuew regarding session shift rotation that you combo with deviation ( maybe with acc/ distribution/ manipulationc concept).

Actualy i was testing the deviation ...just like using fibo i tried to find right " pintpoint" or where the liquidity hunt stops. And in my experience ....the exact numbers is relative...the hard way is when i try to combine with my own system ...mixed it, learning new one or using old one is my choice....and its need time and efford.

As the background, i used to "try" to pinpoint all the area and anticipating for what next and what next move .....thats why you often see my quotes about this matter....

Last monday just an example....how it is just like read a book....not easy but it just look like what the next move i thought is happen. Tuesday was over onfident but still safe..and so on ...still up and down far away from the 80 % ....ha ha.

I am totally agree that there is no random in the market...there is structure ...there is level to respect...there is a sign. My own system focus on "behavioral" that form the pattern to predict before it happen...its could be adynamic pattern but in big picture ...the cycle is the same in different level ....the history repeat itself with different factors.....from this veiwpoint your rotation shifting is interesting..

To resume, i have the problem with scalping mindset to pinpoint all level with my system that can read the market in some degree ...your 1% target enlighted that the answers is inside of me....

And now i understand that my dynamic calculation for next pattern or level will " often" contrary with yours fixed "proven" session rotation ....Lol

I think is enough for now. Have a great weekend

P.s: wanna try to play golf maybe? Ha ha ha.Just kidding
Stay Gold
  • #9,145
  • Oct 26, 2025 12:08am Oct 26, 2025 12:08am
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  • #9,146
  • Edited 1:10am Oct 26, 2025 12:45am | Edited 1:10am
Quoting azhantahir
{quote} Morning for NY OPEN (UTC-4 NEW YORK) Firstly, this is my personal opinion. Please refer own methods for better RRR. Don't blindly follow. IMHO, price is still consolidated/accumulated between Range (External range High and External range Low). Overall Range between 3900 pips. Recently, both side movements are still valid within in a flexible range. No confirmation to become a full seller or buyer. Everyone can buy and everyone can sell. Equal positioning between them. Probabilities are still there. Nobody is perfect; no need to argue about...
This is my last proposal before NY offering / CPI (FA- I really don't care about CPI coz it's normally manipulated, just concerned about stop hunters). The key point of my proposal is SWEEP areas. What does sweep? Means CLEAR AND CLEAN. Where can we find SWEEP? At HIGH and LOW MOVEMENT? Every IB, every consolidation, every accumulation, every equilibrium, every shifting, every TF, and every candle has its own sweep areas. Every sweep area must have confirmation/validation of whether it is a continuation or rejection. Confirmation/validation with what? With a displacement candle. Below is just an example of what price is doing at sweep areas. Please do some back-testing for an accurate current price offering.

All above just based on FULLY TA, Naked and classical PA based on CANEDLISTICK / VOLUMES PRESENTING CANDLE (volumes bear/bull). Only used horizontal tools for validation areas.

IMHO Happy weekend
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Look right, we'll see the signs
  • #9,147
  • Oct 26, 2025 4:25am Oct 26, 2025 4:25am
Just before Monday, Note that we have change in Market timings. Please ensure that you align your time zones and indicators that depend on market opens to adjust to the new timeline. Markets will open 1 hour late starting Monday..
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Candlesticks dont move markets, Volume does
  • #9,148
  • Oct 26, 2025 4:38am Oct 26, 2025 4:38am
Quoting Praetorion
Just before Monday, Note that we have change in Market timings. Please ensure that you align your time zones and indicators that depend on market opens to adjust to the new timeline. Markets will open 1 hour late starting Monday.. {image}
Just think in terms of New York time, you can never go wrong.
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It takes a lot for me to IGNORE you, but you can try.
  • #9,149
  • Oct 26, 2025 4:50am Oct 26, 2025 4:50am
In UK will gold open at 10pm rather than 11pm since our clocks went back one hour?
  • #9,150
  • Oct 26, 2025 5:35am Oct 26, 2025 5:35am
Quoting Goldslave
{quote} Well, i've had my fill....with add on from @Praetorian....i am stuffed...ha ha. Always "woth it " to discuss with a man who targeted 20% a month with 80% probability and consist with it. I will take this as "small talk" to sharing from my vuew regarding session shift rotation that you combo with deviation ( maybe with acc/ distribution/ manipulationc concept). Actualy i was testing the deviation ...just like using fibo i tried to find right " pintpoint" or where the liquidity hunt stops. And in my experience ....the exact numbers is relative...the...
I have a theory for that problem of not always achieve our projected target when is about deviations.
First people should know my believes about the market not be random, second is that it don't play only 1 algo in each candle or TF whatever.
What i nootice the algos used are connected to H/L open/close and is not just one, which one is been used at that particullary moment no one can have certain, is why i had 3 charts open, 1 with H/l, another with open/close and other with H or L / close, and one of them will pinpoint for sure a reversal price or pullback.
About with 80% only get 20% month, is about psicology and be protected by volatility and spikes may happen and not be stoped out of a trade just by few points and at the end the target achieve. If was not this things happen with frequency i could turn my stop short and have a 2 or 3 RR depending of the range for that day. And if was a believer turn many of them a larger RR. For me is about consistency, you will not have much investements in life generating such percentage, this is not a fast rich scheme. Only youtube gurus make that, but in the end they need mentorships to earn money. Why? Because they choose examples that suit them to sell dreams.
I prefer a smooth grow than up and downs, keep me calm and teach me be patience.
Sometimes i just cut the trade early too, not loosing for the market is the first thing that i need to achieve in my trading, what comes later i thanks in the end.
And about know what price can do in that we agree and again is where i say don't be stuck in a bias also matter, be prepared to be wrong, accept that!
Below a method that i am studying... Based in NY, jus for friday... Anyone think that those 2 resistances are random?
I saw many people here refering vwap, just am giving a try using it.
The problem is not my pattern or everyone pattern, what we should work on is in the better understand of price representation and best suites for us.
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  • #9,151
  • Oct 26, 2025 7:55am Oct 26, 2025 7:55am
Quoting goldru
In UK will gold open at 10pm rather than 11pm since our clocks went back one hour?
yes, in Italy it will be 11pm instead of midnight
  • #9,152
  • Oct 26, 2025 9:13am Oct 26, 2025 9:13am
Quoting Deal
{quote} You have a zone marked near 4062, why??? I explain later the question... {image}
What levels are you looking for Monday ?
  • #9,153
  • Oct 26, 2025 9:23am Oct 26, 2025 9:23am
…and for one week London&NY got an additional hour to play together
dolce vita
  • #9,154
  • Oct 26, 2025 9:54am Oct 26, 2025 9:54am
This week my take on Gold:

GOLD @ $4112.10 — For bullish momentum to build, gold must break above $4188, which could open the path toward $4240. However, caution is warranted — a drop below $4003 could trigger a swift decline toward $3940, and possibly even $3880.


Gold’s glitter could fade fast if global politics take a surprising turn. A grand bargain between Trump and Xi in Seoul—where the “Tariff Man” becomes the “Soul Man”—an end to the U.S. government shutdown, hawkish FOMC comments on inflation above its 2% target, or even a dramatic Putin peace gesture in Kyiv could trigger a massive selloff, possibly dragging gold down to $2,800 an ounce. Will this happen? Unlikely—but the risk is real.

History shows how macro shocks have driven gold’s meteoric rise: from $300 to $1,000 during the Global Financial Crisis, to $2,000 after QE and the Eurozone debt meltdown, and up to $3,000 amid Ukraine tensions and Trump-era tariffs. The climb to $4,400 came on fears of an India–Pakistan conflict and a trade war with China, before “Black Tuesday” crushed overleveraged bulls. Now, even at $4,134 an ounce, I’d rather stay cautious than complacent. Gold may shine, but I have no wish to romance “Dr. Auric” — not when the ground beneath her glitters like a minefield.
  • #9,155
  • Oct 26, 2025 9:54am Oct 26, 2025 9:54am
Quoting Fdxb
{quote} What levels are you looking for Monday ?
Ny is indecise at the moment, so just forecast up or down.
I explain prior post those levels..
  • #9,156
  • Oct 26, 2025 12:39pm Oct 26, 2025 12:39pm
Soon!! it will be time to short NVIDIA, GOOGLE, MICROSOFT, XI, ORACLE, basically, tech stocks !!
Candlesticks dont move markets, Volume does
  • #9,157
  • Oct 26, 2025 1:28pm Oct 26, 2025 1:28pm
Quoting Praetorion
Soon!! it will be time to short NVIDIA, GOOGLE, MICROSOFT, XI, ORACLE, basically, tech stocks !!
As the NQ on the ATH level right now....whats the factors those tech stock will fall soon?

What is the impact for gold?

Thanks
Stay Gold
  • #9,158
  • Oct 26, 2025 1:33pm Oct 26, 2025 1:33pm
Quoting Praetorion
Soon!! it will be time to short NVIDIA, GOOGLE, MICROSOFT, XI, ORACLE, basically, tech stocks !!
AI takes over the world. (Probably coming of antichrist)

Those are the companies that leads the AI. So ?
  • #9,159
  • Oct 26, 2025 1:40pm Oct 26, 2025 1:40pm
Quoting Eren10
{quote} AI takes over the world. (Probably coming of antichrist) Those are the companies that leads the AI. So ?

what I want to say is that those companies will own the world , until AI can be done simpler without those companies ( just a guess )
  • #9,160
  • Oct 26, 2025 2:01pm Oct 26, 2025 2:01pm
Quoting Eren10
{quote} what I want to say is that those companies will own the world , until AI can be done simpler without those companies ( just a guess )
As an AI expert I can say that it can be done simpler, and eventually will be done. Their time will come, and all this investment into the semiconductors will result in some significant drops in top AI stocks e.g. NVDA. That being said, I am short term bullish, but I would not invest long term into AI stocks.

Just remember how DeepSeek affected the market. That, but more fundamental. Then again, an alternative AI that uses less computing power would provide new investment opportunities anyway.
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