The Swamp | Page 6279 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread
Attachments: The Swamp
Exit Attachments

The Swamp

  • #125,561
  • Oct 22, 2025 9:53am Oct 22, 2025 9:53am
1620x expired. 1632 area could land the plane at 1532 ish. Void if sustained above 1632. 1597 with pa above could support it has a shot at 1637.
Contact Houston if pa is sustained above 1632, 1666 may be where it wants to be late London Friday.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 10 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,562
  • Oct 22, 2025 10:44am Oct 22, 2025 10:44am
I will close here 1616, I may buy again at 1597/1600.. Or sell 1632.
I don't want it to fall back to 1597 and lose 19 pips, to make the 16 more at 1632. this is the middle area
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 9 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,563
  • Oct 22, 2025 11:23am Oct 22, 2025 11:23am
Quoting gatorinla
I will close here 1616, I may buy again at 1597/1600.. Or sell 1632. I don't want it to fall back to 1597 and lose 19 pips, to make the 16 more at 1632. this is the middle area {image}
40 pips so far in range today. You make 19 is mid today's range. Very good.
  • #125,564
  • Oct 22, 2025 1:05pm Oct 22, 2025 1:05pm
Quoting chess king
{quote} 40 pips so far in range today. You make 19 is mid today's range. Very good.
I made 34, I just didn't want it to fall back to 1597/1600ish again. to try to make 16 more at 1632.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,565
  • Edited 1:24pm Oct 22, 2025 1:13pm | Edited 1:24pm
bulls are having problems atm.. if 1597 was the pivot. 1623/24 area may be a high
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,566
  • Oct 22, 2025 1:32pm Oct 22, 2025 1:32pm
1635 looks tough to reach now. 1623/24 may be a shorter link. trip swap day
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 6 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,567
  • Oct 22, 2025 2:33pm Oct 22, 2025 2:33pm
Quoting gatorinla
1635 looks tough to reach now. 1623/24 may be a shorter link. trip swap day {image}
yea bull is weak but we did get a bounce, which makes the road to south a bit smoother!
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,568
  • Oct 22, 2025 9:08pm Oct 22, 2025 9:08pm
Its looking bearish,, testing 1597 atm.. It may not make it back to 1615/24.. That area looks like a short zone to me. As long as it can not sustain above 1615 and close the 12h below 1596.8
The last h didn't close below 1596'8. We may see that 1615 bounce. It may give the chance to short.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 6 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,569
  • Oct 22, 2025 9:23pm Oct 22, 2025 9:23pm
Quoting gatorinla
1635 looks tough to reach now. 1623/24 may be a shorter link. trip swap day {image}
Earlier it missed reaching 1623.8..I think it has a minor algo trying to reach it. And if it is unable to remain about 1615.. it may reach for 1582 again.. Above 1616 sustained can be a bullish b/o
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,570
  • Oct 23, 2025 2:48am Oct 23, 2025 2:48am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Earlier it missed reaching 1623.8..I think it has a minor algo trying to reach it. And if it is unable to remain about 1615.. it may reach for 1582 again.. Above 1616 sustained can be a bullish b/o
both sides are a bit hesitant to take the move, with not much news today to push the market i am thinking we might see some more consolidation today
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,571
  • Oct 23, 2025 7:49am Oct 23, 2025 7:49am
Quoting johncen
{quote} both sides are a bit hesitant to take the move, with not much news today to push the market i am thinking we might see some more consolidation today
I was thinking it had to hit 1623/24.. Its getting close to Friday. I know sometimes it will shoot for 1666 for Friday. So far 1582 has hurt bears. It may be reaching for 1682.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,572
  • Edited 9:19am Oct 23, 2025 9:01am | Edited 9:19am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Earlier it missed reaching 1623.8..I think it has a minor algo trying to reach it. And if it is unable to remain about 1615.. it may reach for 1582 again.. Above 1616 sustained can be a bullish b/o
Bears a few hs ago were near 1582.. To b/o bears need it sustain below 1582. Instead it came back to LC at 1610. Not big deal its own. Its normal often to come back to LC. The b/o for bulls is closer/lower today at 1615x.. The recent trend is down.. Most of the ma's we use are bearish. But if we reach 1623/24, and it continues higher... It may be trying to sustain above the bull b/o. Sustained above 1632 opens a path through the ma's to 1682. Early London on Friday around 1666 is not a fluke. It happens more than not.
I had targeted 1532 as an extension off 1632*. 1/2 was was 1582. 1582 is an extension off 1682*. The extension off real numbers are likely less relevant. *1729 is the larger over these.
PA tends to pivot around them. 100 pips it common. When extended too and they spring back. they tend to overshoot a equal distance. We haven't see it yet. And may never happen.. The larger one still points to 1.206x. The recent trend is down. 1580 is a fib in the 1.20 possibility, so is 1600
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,573
  • Oct 23, 2025 9:26am Oct 23, 2025 9:26am
If pa sustains above 1666.. That would take out my 4h ma and the smaller ones. Below and falling keeps the bear. Friday its common to see 1666.. What happens there?
Atm the 4h is there.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 20 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 20 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,574
  • Oct 23, 2025 9:36am Oct 23, 2025 9:36am
The minor attraction algo that was missed earlier, right there at 1623/24. pa is not sustained above 1615X. Lets see who wins, round 1.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 8 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,575
  • Oct 23, 2025 10:04am Oct 23, 2025 10:04am
The last h is a 6h and lc. Didn't sustain it above 1615x. However fair value rose slightly. Now NY does what it wants.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 7 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,576
  • Oct 23, 2025 2:27pm Oct 23, 2025 2:27pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Bears a few hs ago were near 1582.. To b/o bears need it sustain below 1582. Instead it came back to LC at 1610. Not big deal its own. Its normal often to come back to LC. The b/o for bulls is closer/lower today at 1615x.. The recent trend is down.. Most of the ma's we use are bearish. But if we reach 1623/24, and it continues higher... It may be trying to sustain above the bull b/o. Sustained above 1632 opens a path through the ma's to 1682. Early London on Friday around 1666 is not a fluke. It happens more than not. I had targeted 1532...
Round 2 attempt, late in the day.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 6 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,577
  • Oct 23, 2025 2:56pm Oct 23, 2025 2:56pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Round 2 attempt, late in the day. {image}
i am leaning towards a potential up to 1660 level first before cpi
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,578
  • Oct 23, 2025 4:22pm Oct 23, 2025 4:22pm
Too close to call.. In this gap period I'm missing 6 minutes.. another broker is missing 2 min. The one missing 2 min has the gap open at 1617, If it a b/o with the day close. It should not be more than a brief shallow retrace, if its a b/o.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 7 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,579
  • Oct 23, 2025 4:29pm Oct 23, 2025 4:29pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} i am leaning towards a potential up to 1660 level first before cpi
Being in the usa gov news blackout for 24 days. Whatever way it goes may be strong.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,580
  • Oct 24, 2025 4:47am Oct 24, 2025 4:47am
Quoting gatorinla
The minor attraction algo that was missed earlier, right there at 1623/24. pa is not sustained above 1615X. Lets see who wins, round 1. {image}
After reaching 1623/24 it closed the 12h below 1615. It may hit 1582 again to test. 1591/92 are inside tiny legs. I'm not trading until after news
The first usa news in 24 days. May be some catalyst
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 8 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 36 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
34 traders viewing now