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The Swamp

  • #125,381
  • Oct 9, 2025 10:08am Oct 9, 2025 10:08am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} looking the close this at tp. nice bear PA
well done mate. I was expecting 1575 to be visited but thinking it might be Friday target after a bounce to 1660 level
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,382
  • Oct 9, 2025 10:16am Oct 9, 2025 10:16am
Quoting johncen
{quote} well done mate. I was expecting 1575 to be visited but thinking it might be Friday target after a bounce to 1660 level
thank you Sir. move was pretty obvious imho
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #125,383
  • Oct 9, 2025 10:22am Oct 9, 2025 10:22am
Now my correction wave A is completed, it can be extend to 1527 but it could end anytime and a bounce should come soon for wave B towards 1680/1720 level

but no buying now! Lets wait for confirmation if bottoming!
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,384
  • Oct 9, 2025 10:30am Oct 9, 2025 10:30am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} I moved my TP at 1.156 for now from, 1.16 I think there is a good chance we trade below 1.16 today or tmr.
TP hit, move was very fast. hoping for a rally to short . nothing open.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #125,385
  • Oct 9, 2025 10:34am Oct 9, 2025 10:34am
This week was just like the end of July sell off!
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,386
  • Oct 9, 2025 10:52am Oct 9, 2025 10:52am
I was robbed of those 8 pips..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,387
  • Oct 9, 2025 11:41am Oct 9, 2025 11:41am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} Gold down $50 from top, I think we can see $3980....
3980 Gold Hit !
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #125,388
  • Oct 9, 2025 1:27pm Oct 9, 2025 1:27pm
Quoting johncen
not good at counting waves but just thinking out loud here….. we have completed 5 waves (if we have seen the top) with extended wave 3. then we should see abc correction next which may target somewhere between 1.14 in the next couple of weeks/months. A wave may ends at 1557 or around 1.16. if all goes as per plan we should see by the end of the month maybe? 1.1720-30 must give up to validate this thinking (rising trendline from Fed breaks if this is the case) and we cannot go back above 1857. {image}
this seems happening
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,389
  • Oct 9, 2025 3:19pm Oct 9, 2025 3:19pm
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} I was referring to UJ to go higher. above 150 E/U I think we can see at least 1.16 not sure after cause then we are going to start thinking about bad jobs reports.
more than 2 weeks ago. hopefully we will get some bounce to short it again
release the NFP the FED cuts and other BS
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #125,390
  • Oct 9, 2025 8:45pm Oct 9, 2025 8:45pm
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} more than 2 weeks ago. hopefully we will get some bounce to short it again release the NFP the FED cuts and other BS
yea not sure if bear is done for now?
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,391
  • Oct 9, 2025 11:02pm Oct 9, 2025 11:02pm
Quoting gatorinla
I was robbed of those 8 pips.. {image}
Sustained below 1550 may be a b/o.. This 1556 area is what it would not do last month. There was an algo here.. Is it going to 1.2067.. It don't give that impression.. Was it tracking it? think it was,
As long as is above the lower 1391 area it can still be tracking
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,392
  • Oct 9, 2025 11:25pm Oct 9, 2025 11:25pm
it does look like a flag/pole..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,393
  • Oct 9, 2025 11:39pm Oct 9, 2025 11:39pm
That level at 1589.. PA has closed above the last 15 weeks.. It has a shot to close below this week. or retreat above
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,394
  • Oct 10, 2025 1:37am Oct 10, 2025 1:37am
Quoting gatorinla
That level at 1589.. PA has closed above the last 15 weeks.. It has a shot to close below this week. or retreat above {image}
very good spotting Gator! 158x key level to me so above or below is crucial for weekly close!
yesterday we broke this level easily with not much effort. Not sure if bull will try to reclaim this level first for today
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,395
  • Oct 10, 2025 6:26am Oct 10, 2025 6:26am
Quoting gatorinla
That level at 1589.. PA has closed above the last 15 weeks.. It has a shot to close below this week. or retreat above {image}
1589 resisted as the high overnight.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,396
  • Oct 10, 2025 6:31am Oct 10, 2025 6:31am
Quoting johncen
{quote} very good spotting Gator! 158x key level to me so above or below is crucial for weekly close! yesterday we broke this level easily with not much effort. Not sure if bull will try to reclaim this level first for today
Sustained below 1589 looks like more of the same. But it needs to do it below 1550 to continue. It not 1569 could receive more pressure.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,397
  • Oct 10, 2025 6:43am Oct 10, 2025 6:43am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Sustained below 1589 looks like more of the same. But it needs to do it below 1550 to continue. It not 1569 could receive more pressure.
Bears want to break this low or at least remain below 1589 to close today. Failure to do so invites +1736 for Wednesday.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,398
  • Oct 10, 2025 9:24am Oct 10, 2025 9:24am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Bears want to break this low or at least remain below 1589 to close today. Failure to do so invites +1736 for Wednesday.
bear remain in control so i think we may see a close below 1589. We are not even able to hit 1589 again after London
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,399
  • Oct 10, 2025 9:37am Oct 10, 2025 9:37am
Quoting johncen
{quote} bear remain in control so i think we may see a close below 1589. We are not even able to hit 1589 again after London
Shorts look good under 1589. But beware, if it going to take 1736+.. It may not give a warning. Timing wise you just have to keep your stops in a comfortable place.
The recent history in the 1556 area is a rise,
The 6mth quarter and month structure still line up with higher. The week and day do not.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,400
  • Oct 10, 2025 9:42am Oct 10, 2025 9:42am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Short look good under 1589. But beware, if it going to take 1736+.. It may not give a warning. Timing wise you just have to keep your stops in a comfortable place.
i am expecting going back to 168x or 172x next week or two before further down

but if we go above 1750 then bull is back in control

based on that my initial plan is to start building longs to hedge my shorts
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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