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The Swamp

  • #125,361
  • Oct 8, 2025 7:50pm Oct 8, 2025 7:50pm
this 4h will close shorty.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,362
  • Oct 8, 2025 8:01pm Oct 8, 2025 8:01pm
as long as above 1635 it should be bullish the next day.
It can test 1649/56
They are R,, and can support when pa is above,
Its a pob.. So they could swat it down
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,363
  • Oct 8, 2025 8:09pm Oct 8, 2025 8:09pm
Quoting gatorinla
that last h close is a 4h too,, it closed below 1649.. There is R at 1654/55. Keep an eye on if it runs much above it. B/o mode under 1654 49.. Possible short entry in the 1649/55 area.. Caution above 1655 {image}
The same as last night
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,364
  • Oct 8, 2025 10:05pm Oct 8, 2025 10:05pm
you got a new 6h close above 1634.. That's a little better for longs to hold + 34. The bears may try to get the next 6h close back below 1614.. plus the lc at 1621.. If the bulls can stop those.. its a strong sign remaining above 1634.. or 56 ..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,365
  • Oct 9, 2025 3:53am Oct 9, 2025 3:53am
Quoting gatorinla
as long as above 1635 it should be bullish the next day. It can test 1649/56 They are R,, and can support when pa is above, Its a pob.. So they could swat it down {image}
The swat the loss of 1634, the b/o at -1601.3. the algo at 1592. Bears want to close this below 1614 now, and 1601 now or later. If closes above 1614 that's a tiny bit of bull life in a bearish drop
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,366
  • Oct 9, 2025 4:13am Oct 9, 2025 4:13am
The bears got -1614.. it favors a grind on 1601.. it has to sustain below 1601.3 for a real b/o. When and if it hits 1592.. is a "?" to me. If it sustains back above 1635 it may have bottomed. It looks to be on the edge of a bearish b/o. There is a 2 others besides 1592. But 1592 can be for this current quarter. Its likely a bearish b/o.. caution if back above 1634 that can mean rejection.. 1592's powers I don't know. It make have liquid there.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,367
  • Oct 9, 2025 4:20am Oct 9, 2025 4:20am
Quoting gatorinla
The bears got -1614.. it favors a grind on 1601.. it has to sustain below 1601.3 for a real b/o. When and if it hits 1592.. is a "?" to me. If it sustains back above 1635 it may have bottomed. It looks to be on the edge of a bearish b/o. There is a 2 others besides 1592. But 1592 can be for this current quarter. Its likely a bearish b/o.. caution if back above 1634 that can mean rejection.. 1592's powers I don't know. It make have liquid there. {image}
the last hourly close may give bull some breather to bounce a little. I still see some bounce here or slightly lower towards 1680 1720 before further down
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,368
  • Oct 9, 2025 4:42am Oct 9, 2025 4:42am
Quoting johncen
{quote} the last hourly close may give bull some breather to bounce a little. I still see some bounce here or slightly lower towards 1680 1720 before further down
Its not below 1601. I can see that. but since it did close below 1614.. The day structure favors a push to try and break 1601 today. That don't mean 1601 will break, it could just bend some. It could just bounce.. below 1612 now to me favors the stress testing of 1601 and maybe breaking it. Even if it don't do it now. The close below 1614 opened that stress test today. There may be some liquid for either direction at 1592. I think there's a good chance of that. PA is close to it now, like yesterday. I think the bulk of liquid is there. The mid year and the quarter did favor up. So my guess that liquid favors up. That may be opposite of reality. If correct that pool can push pa to 1913 or more. If it can pass 1729 36 49 55. Or even sustain above 1634 to start, and later 1656.
I think a larger pool around 1592 is larger players shooting for a retest of 1918 again. The older structure 1.2067.
1592 can be a 1918 type rejection. I may just be wrong.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,369
  • Oct 9, 2025 4:55am Oct 9, 2025 4:55am
Something like this would take out weak longs, it can add b/o short's, and screw them both.
The thing being pa was 6 pips from 1592 already.. was it close enough to pick up enough liquid? That close below 1614 has me skeptical
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,370
  • Oct 9, 2025 5:00am Oct 9, 2025 5:00am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} starter 1/4 short 630 tp 30p to 600. here is the first small resistance next 650
for now missed TP by just a few pips.
small range between 600-640/50 adding to my short at 650 area

TP to 1.15 for now.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #125,371
  • Oct 9, 2025 5:12am Oct 9, 2025 5:12am
A few weeks ago 1918 was a dead stop. To me, the likely place to unload the bulk of them is the 1592 area. Unloading them in some bulk would cause a rise. That rise if above 1755, its back in the 1918 area. Or even 1.2067 area. Maybe a test of 1729/55 as support before a final push to 1.2xx.. This all falls flat if pa has another plan.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,372
  • Oct 9, 2025 5:44am Oct 9, 2025 5:44am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} for now missed TP by just a few pips. small range between 600-640/50 adding to my short at 650 area TP to 1.15 for now.
I moved my TP at 1.156 for now from, 1.16
I think there is a good chance we trade below 1.16 today or tmr.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #125,373
  • Oct 9, 2025 8:44am Oct 9, 2025 8:44am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} I moved my TP at 1.156 for now from, 1.16 I think there is a good chance we trade below 1.16 today or tmr.
stops out. let's see now, if we can stay below 1.16
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #125,374
  • Oct 9, 2025 8:50am Oct 9, 2025 8:50am
Quoting gatorinla
A few weeks ago 1918 was a dead stop. To me, the likely place to unload the bulk of them is the 1592 area. Unloading them in some bulk would cause a rise. That rise if above 1755, its back in the 1918 area. Or even 1.2067 area. Maybe a test of 1729/55 as support before a final push to 1.2xx.. This all falls flat if pa has another plan.
I think this may go under 1.1592
  • #125,375
  • Oct 9, 2025 8:51am Oct 9, 2025 8:51am
Quoting Chicago-Greg
{quote} I think this may go under 1.1592
you and most traders. I may be one of them. But for a few pips.. I can risk the algo
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,376
  • Oct 9, 2025 8:57am Oct 9, 2025 8:57am
Now if stays sustained above 1601.. it may be able to take on 1634
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,377
  • Oct 9, 2025 9:04am Oct 9, 2025 9:04am
the next algo is exactly 25 pips below 1592. Its larger.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,378
  • Oct 9, 2025 9:07am Oct 9, 2025 9:07am
I don't know how this will end.. the 1h did close above the pob
1621 may pull it up this h, that would be above 1614.. 1614 could support or resist..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,379
  • Oct 9, 2025 9:21am Oct 9, 2025 9:21am
If bulls mostly maintain 1592 as support. Pa could do little or nothing into Tuesday.. We may see a range form.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,380
  • Oct 9, 2025 9:30am Oct 9, 2025 9:30am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} I moved my TP at 1.156 for now from, 1.16 I think there is a good chance we trade below 1.16 today or tmr.
looking the close this at tp. nice bear PA
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
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