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The Swamp

  • #125,321
  • Oct 7, 2025 12:19pm Oct 7, 2025 12:19pm
Now its there.. If it worth the risk to long, knowing it may not go past support too far, over a long? I don't say it wont drop further. Its at that point of break, or fail. If it fails to break.. It has a added chance to take 1749.x..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,322
  • Oct 7, 2025 12:30pm Oct 7, 2025 12:30pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} the close below 1667 is the better chance than its been in a while. Since the day and week are on the same page, To me the q and month are against it. Tomorrow it could be the other way off 1649..
bears need to take 1649, and hold below. The other way is 1749+
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,323
  • Oct 7, 2025 12:31pm Oct 7, 2025 12:31pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The quarter and 6 mth structure is bullish. the week and day bearish. I'm not disputing your findings. I'm saying "if the 12h in London tomorrow closes above 1750 or 55. It would reverse to me. The bearish movement of today. 1649 is a point that can do that. Bears would need to take pa below 1649 and hold it. If not the 6 mth, quarter, and month would likely put pa back above 1749x.. to reverse the wk and day {image}
oh ok I understand but ofc you are right because very low chances to get that break now especially if we take out and close below 650
So would be quite a comeback

tp here at 650 for the short add, imho anything can happen even if we get below in the next hours,
still have a small position left. no longs for me
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #125,324
  • Oct 7, 2025 12:48pm Oct 7, 2025 12:48pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} bears need to take 1649, and hold below. The other way is 1749+
we did it. but ....
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #125,325
  • Oct 7, 2025 12:53pm Oct 7, 2025 12:53pm
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} we did it. but ....
The earlier 12h indicated this test. But that don't mean it will hold. The bulls have 13 hs to to their thing.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,326
  • Oct 7, 2025 12:58pm Oct 7, 2025 12:58pm
I'm watching paint dry here.. BBL..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,327
  • Oct 7, 2025 1:24pm Oct 7, 2025 1:24pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The earlier 12h indicated this test. But that don't mean it will hold. The bulls have 13 hs to to their thing.
Bulls will come now, not sure they can take it so high. I am shorting again a rally but would love to see 1.171
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #125,328
  • Oct 7, 2025 1:30pm Oct 7, 2025 1:30pm
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} Bulls will come now, not sure they can take it so high. I am shorting again a rally but would love to see 1.171
same here
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,329
  • Oct 7, 2025 3:15pm Oct 7, 2025 3:15pm
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} Bulls will come now, not sure they can take it so high. I am shorting again a rally but would love to see 1.171
already back above 650 now 661 - week closing above 640 for bulls I think is ok for next week
I am very light, 2 more hours to have another 6h close above 650

670 1st decent R - I may test a small short back to support. tight stop
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #125,330
  • Oct 7, 2025 4:14pm Oct 7, 2025 4:14pm
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} already back above 650 now 661 - week closing above 640 for bulls I think is ok for next week I am very light, 2 more hours to have another 6h close above 650 670 1st decent R - I may test a small short back to support. tight stop
The plan is similiar here which i expect further move to the south in the upcoming days/week 1580 152x levels in sight.

164x reached but my buy limit 1645 didnt get hit. Missed by a couple of pips. If we stay above 1640 it may trigger a bounce to retest 1680 or even 1720-40 level (i am thinking this will come after 1580)
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,331
  • Oct 7, 2025 5:22pm Oct 7, 2025 5:22pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} The plan is similiar here which i expect further move to the south in the upcoming days/week 1580 152x levels in sight. 164x reached but my buy limit 1645 didnt get hit. Missed by a couple of pips. If we stay above 1640 it may trigger a bounce to retest 1680 or even 1720-40 level (i am thinking this will come after 1580)
new low 645
very interesting with gold now above $4000.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #125,332
  • Oct 7, 2025 5:57pm Oct 7, 2025 5:57pm
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} new low 645 very interesting with gold now above $4000.
gold just gone crazy i have to say!

the low on 26 Sep is not broken yet right?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,333
  • Oct 7, 2025 6:02pm Oct 7, 2025 6:02pm
Eur broke support for now and all stops out
probably a bit of pressure after this one from New Zealand.
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Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #125,334
  • Oct 7, 2025 6:11pm Oct 7, 2025 6:11pm
that last h close is a 4h too,, it closed below 1649.. There is R at 1654/55. Keep an eye on if it runs much above it. B/o mode under 1654 49..
Possible short entry in the 1649/55 area.. Caution above 1655
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,335
  • Oct 7, 2025 6:15pm Oct 7, 2025 6:15pm
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} new low 645 very interesting with gold now above $4000.
I didn't trade gold tonight.. But doing well when I do on options lately/
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,336
  • Oct 7, 2025 6:16pm Oct 7, 2025 6:16pm
Quoting DMA Trader
Eur broke support for now and all stops out probably a bit of pressure after this one from New Zealand. {image}
didnt expect 0.5% cut but kinda make sense. Economy here is in trouble for sure
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,337
  • Oct 7, 2025 6:19pm Oct 7, 2025 6:19pm
1655 to 1704 may be a range.. It looks like it b/o.. Bears need to absorb the liquid. failure here may be cheap using 1655+ a little to measure.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,338
  • Oct 7, 2025 6:42pm Oct 7, 2025 6:42pm
putting a * at *1592
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,339
  • Oct 8, 2025 4:40am Oct 8, 2025 4:40am
Quoting gatorinla
1655 to 1704 may be a range.. It looks like it b/o.. Bears need to absorb the liquid. failure here may be cheap using 1655+ a little to measure.
1.1662 attractor can place pa back above 1655.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,340
  • Oct 8, 2025 4:51am Oct 8, 2025 4:51am
I don't know how for pa can dip below 1755 before it slams back.. its 150 pips so far.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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