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The Swamp

  • #125,281
  • Oct 6, 2025 4:34am Oct 6, 2025 4:34am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} well at least I may short again, but it did hold near support.
morning, thanks France, took some shorts off, half of position left. we are testing an important lvl here also support from last week
no longs for me but also not adding shorts.

Have a good week
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #125,282
  • Oct 6, 2025 5:19am Oct 6, 2025 5:19am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} morning, thanks France, took some shorts off, half of position left. we are testing an important lvl here also support from last week no longs for me but also not adding shorts. Have a good week
i didnt expect this drop today as i was expecting a potential up first hence was looking to short if we get near 1780-1820.
so this drop kind of took me off guard. But because of the drop below 1680 and if we sustained below. Its likely to see 1580 next to complete correction wave A then correction wave B may take us back to 1700 level before 1.13xx or even lower.

this will take weeks to achieve.

for now i hope to see 1688 1700 again to short
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,283
  • Oct 6, 2025 5:30am Oct 6, 2025 5:30am
I think, almost everybody was caught off guard. Who knew that mofo is going to resign today???

I was in a sell trade running at +20$ in gold, all of a sudden I was like -130$

Fortunately I got rid off that trade without loss.
never try to catch a falling knife
  • #125,284
  • Oct 6, 2025 5:56am Oct 6, 2025 5:56am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I think a run to 1827 would clear shorts. Followed be a drop to 1755/36 to clear longs. Just like this move cleared longs. If it would be a week 50 pips may be enough. This current is a quarter.. I don't know how far below 1755. Its about 72 pips. I don't know if its enough. It matched that 1826 mirror. It may want 1645/46 ish.. If not 1827..
It didn't hit 1645/46.. The other side can be 1865ish.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,285
  • Oct 6, 2025 6:31am Oct 6, 2025 6:31am
If it hold above 1678.. it looks up.. It have light R there 1677/78
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,286
  • Oct 6, 2025 9:04am Oct 6, 2025 9:04am
Quoting gatorinla
If it hold above 1678.. it looks up.. It have light R there 1677/78
it returns back to 1.17.

bear will defend this level and push it back below 1680 for a daily close below if it is a breakdown. Otherwise it might be a fake one.

both bull and bear moved a lot faster this week
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,287
  • Oct 6, 2025 9:14am Oct 6, 2025 9:14am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It didn't hit 1645/46.. The other side can be 1865ish.
1 leg may stall at 1859/65.. Once sustained above 1755. But on the stall it may come back to 1755/29 again. Eventually going to 1.2065. Atm it has get over 1703x To even make 1755.6.
Another day R is 1719.8.. Back above it is above the b/o point.. It can swat this rise down too
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,288
  • Oct 6, 2025 9:48am Oct 6, 2025 9:48am
If pa would manage sustained above 1744.. It could take a run at 1755.. It lift hard above 1755.6
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,289
  • Oct 6, 2025 9:50am Oct 6, 2025 9:50am
Quoting gatorinla
If pa would manage sustained above 1744.. It could take a run at 1755.. It lift hard above 1755.6
eventually the gap needs to be filled. Just not sure if it would be now.

there are remain gaps from way back that yet to be filled at the bottom somewhere
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,290
  • Oct 6, 2025 9:55am Oct 6, 2025 9:55am
1788 could have slowed or stopped back to 1755 1825/28 last week too.. this week I don't know. It may run. Its been penned under 1755 for a week.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,291
  • Oct 6, 2025 9:58am Oct 6, 2025 9:58am
Quoting johncen
{quote} eventually the gap needs to be filled. Just not sure if it would be now. there are remain gaps from way back that yet to be filled at the bottom somewhere
I think the quarter and the month turned bullish to reach higher. The week and day are bearish. That could change. That may open the gate on a change. Lets see if 1719/20 swats it.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,292
  • Oct 6, 2025 9:58am Oct 6, 2025 9:58am
Quoting gatorinla
1788 could have slowed or stopped back to 1755 1825/28 last week too.. this week I don't know. It may run. Its been penned under 1755 for a week.
yea unable to break above 1755 makes me wonder but every dip we see strong buy from below also.
direction remain a bit unclear i guess.

i still hold bear bias despite month/quarterly closed neututal to bullish.

cot remain bearish though despite we missing the latest one
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,293
  • Oct 6, 2025 10:02am Oct 6, 2025 10:02am
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,294
  • Oct 6, 2025 10:15am Oct 6, 2025 10:15am
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea unable to break above 1755 makes me wonder but every dip we see strong buy from below also. direction remain a bit unclear i guess. i still hold bear bias despite month/quarterly closed neututal to bullish. cot remain bearish though despite we missing the latest one
That 1719.8 could just swat it down now. I think eventually it will take 1755+, but it may be best to wait for those sustained closes above 1756.
When it was in the 1645 area.. that was the buy time for 1865 area.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,295
  • Oct 6, 2025 10:27am Oct 6, 2025 10:27am
Quoting gatorinla
Attraction to 1673 dont look complicated.. Sustained below 1651 looks like a b/o. It also a support.. Sustained above 1753 is a likely b/o. Its Friday, we got Friday. Tuesday to reach the quarter. Pa is sitting right at the b/o point atm.. I still have pending shorts 173x
Basically nothing changed, 1755.6 b/o. or the 164x area.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,296
  • Oct 6, 2025 10:42am Oct 6, 2025 10:42am
the 1700/1703 area can support.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,297
  • Oct 6, 2025 1:26pm Oct 6, 2025 1:26pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Basically nothing changed, 1755.6 b/o. or the 164x area.
yea back above 1680 1700 is not what bear wants
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,298
  • Oct 6, 2025 2:39pm Oct 6, 2025 2:39pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea back above 1680 1700 is not what bear wants
If it closes 1720 + it may try 1729 36 43 55.. 1755 is probably the one that counts. But + 1743 may be what's needed to grind higher
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,299
  • Oct 6, 2025 2:44pm Oct 6, 2025 2:44pm
Imagine that.. ICE officers zip tying necked kids, and videoing it. That seems like breaking the law to me (kiddy porn). Them ICE guys may get in trouble with state laws. When you rob a bank, everybody goes to jail.. The president cant pardon on state laws. That means the planners who are part of it, can go to jail. Cabinet people can be in the conspiracy.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,300
  • Oct 6, 2025 9:52pm Oct 6, 2025 9:52pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If it closes 1720 + it may try 1729 36 43 55.. 1755 is probably the one that counts. But + 1743 may be what's needed to grind higher
Sustained 1729+ could be a day b/o North.. But it has all this clutter above it to break.. 1719 and 1743 is expired. If it was to fall -1656 may be a b/o if sustained below.. Some range could be 1656/1728.. 1777/78 is a light support area. To go North it really needs to clear 1755, 1729 36 55 is big numbers..

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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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