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The Swamp

  • #125,241
  • Oct 2, 2025 1:03pm Oct 2, 2025 1:03pm
Quoting supertubes
{quote} If it gets there + - 5 pips it will present a very nice short entry with only a tight stop
Like my old friend Mule once told me. "They are all tight entries for some with the right tool"
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,242
  • Oct 2, 2025 1:12pm Oct 2, 2025 1:12pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The same from below, bulls would nee to re-establish a footing above 1720.. because its sustained below. I personally think the pp is 1755. Or will be.. {image}
1720 about 1/2 to 1755
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,243
  • Oct 2, 2025 1:17pm Oct 2, 2025 1:17pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1720 about 1/2 to 1755 {image}
well at least I may short again, but it did hold near support.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #125,244
  • Oct 2, 2025 1:53pm Oct 2, 2025 1:53pm
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} well at least I may short again, but it did hold near support.
Overnight 1760 will expire.. 1755 will become the b/o point
.. If sustaining above 1760, that should push it up. It would be best to have some adr with it. A close near 1755 could give 1827 the adr portion.
1788 may still affect, but I think it would break. It may need to test 1755 from above. If 88 pushed it down
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,245
  • Oct 2, 2025 2:02pm Oct 2, 2025 2:02pm
that last did close above 1719 and 1720.5
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,246
  • Oct 2, 2025 2:03pm Oct 2, 2025 2:03pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Overnight 1760 will expire.. 1755 will become the b/o point .. If sustaining above 1760, that should push it up. It would be best to have some adr with it. A close near 1755 could give 1827 the adr portion. 1788 may still affect, but I think it would break. It may need to test 1755 from above.
if we revisit 1780 yea most likely it will break. My buy limit at 1680 didnt get triggered
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,247
  • Oct 2, 2025 2:05pm Oct 2, 2025 2:05pm
Quoting gatorinla
that last did close above 1719 and 1720.5 {image}
i will wait for daily close
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,248
  • Oct 2, 2025 4:12pm Oct 2, 2025 4:12pm
Now that its closed.. After Asian lunch.. the b/o for lower may be 1707.. It also could support. ATM pa has closed below 1720. That looks bearish. More of a shorter term than what 1755 represents. But the truth being pa is below 1755 too.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,249
  • Oct 2, 2025 4:48pm Oct 2, 2025 4:48pm
Quoting gatorinla
Now that its closed.. After Asian lunch.. the b/o for lower may be 1707.. It also could support. ATM pa has closed below 1720. That looks bearish. More of a shorter term than what 1755 represents. But the truth being pa is below 1755 too.
yea the close is possibly more on the bear side but month/quarter close is probably more bullish.
initial plan for Sep was another leg down to 1580 area for buy. Maybe we will get it?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,250
  • Oct 2, 2025 4:53pm Oct 2, 2025 4:53pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Overnight 1760 will expire.. 1755 will become the b/o point .. If sustaining above 1760, that should push it up. It would be best to have some adr with it. A close near 1755 could give 1827 the adr portion. 1788 may still affect, but I think it would break. It may need to test 1755 from above. If 88 pushed it down
I said will be a range but forget how annoying it is sometimes Left a pending short again at 1.173 but was not hit yet.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #125,251
  • Oct 2, 2025 4:54pm Oct 2, 2025 4:54pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea the close is possibly more on the bear side but month/quarter close is probably more bullish. initial plan for Sep was another leg down to 1580 area for buy. Maybe we will get it?
good point. daily still looks decent for a down day. oh well
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #125,252
  • Oct 2, 2025 4:56pm Oct 2, 2025 4:56pm
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} good point. daily still looks decent for a down day. oh well
direction remain a bit unclear i kinda changing my mind every couple of days
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,253
  • Oct 2, 2025 5:17pm Oct 2, 2025 5:17pm
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} I said will be a range but forget how annoying it is sometimes Left a pending short again at 1.173 but was not hit yet.
I think a run to 1827 would clear shorts. Followed be a drop to 1755/36 to clear longs. Just like this move cleared longs. If it would be a week 50 pips may be enough. This current is a quarter.. I don't know how far below 1755. Its about 72 pips. I don't know if its enough. It matched that 1826 mirror. It may want 1645/46 ish.. If not 1827..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,254
  • Oct 2, 2025 6:38pm Oct 2, 2025 6:38pm
If it remain above 1720 it favors 1755
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,255
  • Oct 2, 2025 8:04pm Oct 2, 2025 8:04pm
Quoting gatorinla
If it remain above 1720 it favors 1755 {image}
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,256
  • Oct 2, 2025 11:04pm Oct 2, 2025 11:04pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} {image}
new range 1707 55 b/o on either side sustained
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,257
  • Oct 2, 2025 11:13pm Oct 2, 2025 11:13pm
1720 expired 1707 is the new one.. 1713 is lc..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,258
  • Oct 3, 2025 7:01am Oct 3, 2025 7:01am
no u.s. news.. what happens?
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,259
  • Oct 3, 2025 8:02am Oct 3, 2025 8:02am
Quoting gatorinla
Now that its closed.. After Asian lunch.. the b/o for lower may be 1707.. It also could support. ATM pa has closed below 1720. That looks bearish. More of a shorter term than what 1755 represents. But the truth being pa is below 1755 too.
No days have closed above 1755 this new quarter... Today being a Friday. Who knows. This area is acting as R until.
Above 1729x may light a candle too. But more decisive above 1755. Its lined up to do that to me. But it could be rejected many times before. That rejection could be 50 100 pips. I dont know. But it is lined up to break eventually
More st (today) the lower day range can be 1707 with the upper 1755. If waiting for a close above.. After a break,, in day or so it may revisit the 1729 36 55 and allow a entry
This same area may support then
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,260
  • Oct 3, 2025 9:17am Oct 3, 2025 9:17am
being a Friday today may be may meaningful to close 1755+. The 12h did close above 1729 and 1736.
1755 is R.. but a R that leads to a great potential when broken and sustained above. 1788 is there.. It could blow past to 1827.
I think 1.2065.. But the large tl is lower 1.2oxx
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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