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  • #17,321
  • Oct 1, 2025 2:17pm Oct 1, 2025 2:17pm
Seems like we are stuck in a range but 1720 is holding for bull
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #17,322
  • Oct 1, 2025 4:38pm Oct 1, 2025 4:38pm
Quoting fex.
{quote} {image}
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH1.png Size: 42 KB
newbie
  • #17,323
  • Oct 1, 2025 10:44pm Oct 1, 2025 10:44pm
The EUR/USD stayed inside its range after yesterday's US ADP report failed to lift it above 1.1769. It is now trading between 1.1708 and 1.1789, above the 1.1700 round number. A proper break would target 1.1800/20 or 1.1645, depending on the direction. US news releases are suspended because of the temporary government shutdown.

Have a great day!


Daily volatility (range) 55 pips

Option expiries for Thursday: 1.2000 (EU1.72b), 1.1785 (EU1.0b), 1.1790 (EU1.29b) source: financialjuice.com

1H
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2025-10-02_06-40-38.png Size: 68 KB
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #17,324
  • Oct 1, 2025 10:46pm Oct 1, 2025 10:46pm
Quoting johncen
Seems like we are stuck in a range but 1720 is holding for bull
We closed below 1.1753 (monthly pivot) if it holds with yesterday's high then I expect a drop below 1.1700! 50 and 100 dma's are targets.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #17,325
  • Oct 2, 2025 12:48am Oct 2, 2025 12:48am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} We closed below 1.1753 (monthly pivot) if it holds with yesterday's high then I expect a drop below 1.1700! 50 and 100 dma's are targets.
fingers crossed daily candle looks bearish! Hopefully we can see 1580 1557 first
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #17,326
  • Oct 2, 2025 3:13am Oct 2, 2025 3:13am
not sure if we will see bear showing up 4h close next if above 1760 maybe a break out
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #17,327
  • Oct 2, 2025 3:19am Oct 2, 2025 3:19am
EURUSD H4
trendlines

1.1750 R (strong)
if we stay below = down to 1.17
waiting for H4 to close
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dd.jpg Size: 129 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #17,328
  • Oct 2, 2025 4:02am Oct 2, 2025 4:02am
Quoting johncen
not sure if we will see bear showing up 4h close next if above 1760 maybe a break out
4h closed bullish but really remain under 1760….
breakout opens up 1780 1820 levels
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #17,329
  • Oct 2, 2025 4:45am Oct 2, 2025 4:45am
eurusd h4
trendlines

strategy - if we will overcome 1.1750 and stay above 1.1720 --- R is 1.18
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: fx.jpg Size: 149 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #17,330
  • Oct 2, 2025 9:13am Oct 2, 2025 9:13am
Near support zone! 1.1708 and round number - 1.1700. Lets see if it holds again!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #17,331
  • Oct 2, 2025 9:47am Oct 2, 2025 9:47am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDM30 0210.png Size: 37 KB
  • #17,332
  • Oct 2, 2025 10:17am Oct 2, 2025 10:17am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Near support zone! 1.1708 and round number - 1.1700. Lets see if it holds again!
here comes the drop that we expect
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #17,333
  • Oct 2, 2025 10:30am Oct 2, 2025 10:30am
Quoting johncen
{quote} here comes the drop that we expect
This is my view now!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2025-10-02_18-29-40.png Size: 69 KB
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #17,334
  • Oct 2, 2025 10:51am Oct 2, 2025 10:51am
Is there a reason for this sell off? I did see that if the govt. shutdown continues that the Fed may not be able to meet to cut rates. Is that the cause?
  • #17,335
  • Oct 2, 2025 10:55am Oct 2, 2025 10:55am
Quoting unlv_tj
Is there a reason for this sell off? I did see that if the govt. shutdown continues that the Fed may not be able to meet to cut rates. Is that the cause?
most likely just fundamentals playing a role from that govt. shutdown, with yesterday having a bad overall sentiment pushing price higher to counter possible downward movement which happened today, well that's how I see it. Correct me if I'm wrong
Ad Astra Per Aspera
  • #17,336
  • Oct 2, 2025 10:55am Oct 2, 2025 10:55am
Quoting unlv_tj
Is there a reason for this sell off? I did see that if the govt. shutdown continues that the Fed may not be able to meet to cut rates. Is that the cause?
I don't see nothing on news but buying orders getting filled. Might be stop hunting lower to 1.1645!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #17,337
  • Oct 2, 2025 11:08am Oct 2, 2025 11:08am
Quoting josip
EURUSD H4 trendlines 1.1750 R (strong) if we stay below = down to 1.17 waiting for H4 to close {image}

update (there was a rising wedge, it worked well)
eurusd h4
trendline

S 1.1680
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dd.jpg Size: 158 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #17,338
  • Oct 2, 2025 11:10am Oct 2, 2025 11:10am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} I don't see nothing on news but buying orders getting filled. Might be stop hunting lower to 1.1645!
price accumulation, accumulation of previous days
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #17,339
  • Oct 2, 2025 11:29am Oct 2, 2025 11:29am
Quoting josip
{quote} price accumulation, accumulation of previous days
Lets see how far it will go!

I'm closing now have a great rest of the day!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #17,340
  • Oct 2, 2025 11:37am Oct 2, 2025 11:37am
Quoting josip
{quote} price accumulation, accumulation of previous days
I understand your thought but I'm buying here as 1.1680 held - don't expect to see much movement for the next day until NFP tomorrow

...but I'm leaving for a 3-day cruise so good luck all

Bon voyage - the economy is humming...
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