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The Swamp

  • #125,221
  • Oct 1, 2025 5:27pm Oct 1, 2025 5:27pm
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} still short, added a bit now with a tight stop at 1.1753 for the add. the short still on unless we start trending higher. next gov vote is on Friday/Weekend. so no NFP on Friday
R at 736 tested and now down down down. I am ok with my stop there.
Can we trade below 700 ?
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #125,222
  • Edited 9:17pm Oct 1, 2025 8:59pm | Edited 9:17pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} {image}
changing the b/o to 1720.5 and 1760,, between may be ranging.. sustained out the range a b/o
Closing a 12h at + 1756, could be it setting up a b/o. I'm skeptical pa can go too for under 1754; ////i don't have a limit maybe 50/75 pips.. but it it falls.. it may spring back above 1755 and not look back. Sure 1788 1828 1865 could stop it, that may be enough to test 1755 as support.. A 12h close above 1749 may also be a bullish sign.. 1755 can resist.. But its more likely to support.. If its to drop, it needs to stay there..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,223
  • Edited 2:09am Oct 2, 2025 1:56am | Edited 2:09am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} changing the b/o to 1720.5 and 1760,, between may be ranging.. sustained out the range a b/o Closing a 12h at + 1756, could be it setting up a b/o. I'm skeptical pa can go too for under 1754; ////i don't have a limit maybe 50/75 pips.. but it it falls.. it may spring back above 1755 and not look back. Sure 1788 1828 1865 could stop it, that may be enough to test 1755 as support.. A 12h close above 1749 may also be a bullish sign.. 1755 can resist.. But its more likely to support.. If its to drop, it needs to stay there..
4 mins to go under 4h close.
looks bullish to me especially bear can’t take 1720

update: bull is favoured now but really still within the range
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,224
  • Oct 2, 2025 2:15am Oct 2, 2025 2:15am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} changing the b/o to 1720.5 and 1760,, between may be ranging.. sustained out the range a b/o Closing a 12h at + 1756, could be it setting up a b/o. I'm skeptical pa can go too for under 1754; ////i don't have a limit maybe 50/75 pips.. but it it falls.. it may spring back above 1755 and not look back. Sure 1788 1828 1865 could stop it, that may be enough to test 1755 as support.. A 12h close above 1749 may also be a bullish sign.. 1755 can resist.. But its more likely to support.. If its to drop, it needs to stay there..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,225
  • Oct 2, 2025 2:21am Oct 2, 2025 2:21am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} {image}
The 12h did close above 1749. I think a bullish 6 month, 3 month 1 month wk day. Sustained above 1761 is probably a b/o
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,226
  • Oct 2, 2025 2:30am Oct 2, 2025 2:30am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The 12h did close above 1749. I think a bullish 6 month, 3 month 1 month wk day. Sustained above 1761 is probably a b/o
It has to break out 1760x.. If wanting to short.. the 1760/80 area may be the place. But don't hold it much past 1780..1788* does complete a small leg.. It could come back to 1755 after. But if a true b/o.. 1760 may support it with seeing 1755 this time again. 1828 or 1864 may be longer legs
If long from 1720ish.. See what happens.. It may be above 1.2 this time
The red wk was 1749x
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,227
  • Oct 2, 2025 2:44am Oct 2, 2025 2:44am
There is a large tl above 1.20xx.. If it gets past it.. 1.2065 may stop it. It may be a potential top. Or a potential leg completion to get back to 1755 later.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,228
  • Oct 2, 2025 2:55am Oct 2, 2025 2:55am
Quoting gatorinla
There is a large tl above 1.20xx.. If it gets past it.. 1.2065 may stop it. It may be a potential top. Or a potential leg completion to get back to 1755 later.
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1.2063'65 is from a old mans memory. I will recheck if it gets near.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,229
  • Edited 5:19am Oct 2, 2025 3:04am | Edited 5:19am
This is the hard part.. how far can it wick below 1753.. I usually give it about 20 pips.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,230
  • Oct 2, 2025 4:09am Oct 2, 2025 4:09am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} still short, added a bit now with a tight stop at 1.1753 for the add. the short still on unless we start trending higher. next gov vote is on Friday/Weekend. so no NFP on Friday
got stopped on the add here, but looks like was exactly on resistance.
waiting for now
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #125,231
  • Oct 2, 2025 4:14am Oct 2, 2025 4:14am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} got stopped on the add here, but looks like was exactly on resistance. waiting for now
1.1745 is now support.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #125,232
  • Oct 2, 2025 5:18am Oct 2, 2025 5:18am
Quoting gatorinla
This is the hard part.. how far can it wick below 1753.. I usually give it about pips.
oops it was supposed to say 20 pips.. Most of my scalping ma's or in the 1730/40 area.
Pa is still in that 20/60 range. The 12h close favored the upper end. But that don't mean it will break out.. Being above 1749 does favor the pressing of the upper areas. 1755 can be R. but not like most R.. Its one when above can really launch it.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,233
  • Oct 2, 2025 6:53am Oct 2, 2025 6:53am
Most b/o fail..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,234
  • Oct 2, 2025 7:01am Oct 2, 2025 7:01am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It has to break out 1760x.. If wanting to short.. the 1760/80 area may be the place. But don't hold it much past 1780..1788* does complete a small leg.. It could come back to 1755 after. But if a true b/o.. 1760 may support it with seeing 1755 this time again. 1828 or 1864 may be longer legs If long from 1720ish.. See what happens.. It may be above 1.2 this time The red wk was 1749x {image}
It never broke out the upper and was rejected to the lower range. If it can not b/o sustained below 1720..Exspect it to rise. most fail to sustain.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,235
  • Oct 2, 2025 7:13am Oct 2, 2025 7:13am
most fail with less than 21 pip.. Not all.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,236
  • Oct 2, 2025 9:10am Oct 2, 2025 9:10am
If the low holds.. I will target 1827
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,237
  • Oct 2, 2025 9:18am Oct 2, 2025 9:18am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Sure 1788 1828 1865 could stop it, that may be enough to test 1755 as support.. A 12h close above 1749 may also be a bullish sign.. 1755 can resist.. But its more likely to support.. If its to drop, it needs to stay there..
I lowered this 1 pip.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,238
  • Oct 2, 2025 9:34am Oct 2, 2025 9:34am
once this lady is sworn in.. Expect things to get even more crazy.
Adelita Grijalva
https://www.axios.com/2025/09/26/elo...-epstein-files
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,239
  • Oct 2, 2025 10:47am Oct 2, 2025 10:47am
Quoting gatorinla
If the low holds.. I will target 1827
If it gets there + - 5 pips it will present a very nice short entry with only a tight stop
  • #125,240
  • Oct 2, 2025 11:01am Oct 2, 2025 11:01am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It never broke out the upper and was rejected to the lower range. If it can not b/o sustained below 1720..Exspect it to rise. most fail to sustain. {image}
The same from below, bulls would nee to re-establish a footing above 1720.. because its sustained below. I personally think the pp is 1755. Or will be..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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