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The Swamp

  • #125,161
  • Sep 30, 2025 8:13am Sep 30, 2025 8:13am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Its now back in this area 1730 area.. To be bullish it shouldn't go much deeper. If it continues to fall below 1717, I may have read this wrong. Anyway I went long. 1864 or 1828 I likely will want 1865 and more later
it tagged 1719.. If right about a rise. I has to happen now.
It has to get back above 1731 for it to work
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,162
  • Sep 30, 2025 8:35am Sep 30, 2025 8:35am
If it falls below 1717, I will cut the cord or the s/l will.
I need above 1731 and running
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,163
  • Sep 30, 2025 8:40am Sep 30, 2025 8:40am
I don't know if it turned to R now.. But i bought the ticket.. Time to ride.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,164
  • Sep 30, 2025 8:46am Sep 30, 2025 8:46am
1788 looks like an *
I don't know what's there.. maybe fall back to 1755
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,165
  • Sep 30, 2025 9:02am Sep 30, 2025 9:02am
Quoting gatorinla
I don't know if it turned to R now.. But i bought the ticket.. Time to ride. {image}
this last close missed the mark.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,166
  • Sep 30, 2025 9:16am Sep 30, 2025 9:16am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} this last close missed the mark. {image}
Now she shows her womanly form
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,167
  • Sep 30, 2025 9:24am Sep 30, 2025 9:24am
LC may be trying to pull here to 1730, or 1736.9. After she may gain some power today. At 1788 she may need to come back to 1755.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,168
  • Sep 30, 2025 11:56am Sep 30, 2025 11:56am
ADR is a little below 1788.. I think pa is bullish.. It may blow past 1788... I cant say is will not. It also may come back to 1755 first if 1788 resist enough. Back to this current b/o from 1755
To me Pa proved to be bullish closing above 1729 earlier .. 1918 or more can come.. It may be in increments like 1788.. The 1736/55 area may/should start to support once established above
The 1h/4h just closed above 1755.2
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,169
  • Sep 30, 2025 12:07pm Sep 30, 2025 12:07pm
Quoting gatorinla
ADR is a little below 1788.. I think pa is bullish.. It may blow past 1788... I cant say is will not. It also may come back to 1755 first if 1788 resist enough. Back to this current b/o from 1755 To me Pa proved to be bullish closing above 1729 earlier .. 1918 or more can come.. It may be in increments like 1788.. The 1736/55 area may/should start to support once established above The 1h/4h just closed above 1755.2 {image}
unless otherwise we lookinh to close the month/quarter on the bullish side so maybe 1.2 in q4.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,170
  • Sep 30, 2025 12:10pm Sep 30, 2025 12:10pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} unless otherwise we lookinh to close the month/quarter on the bullish side so maybe 1.2 in q4.
It can,, the short chain is at 1788 now. 1828 or 1865 are others.
Tonight into tomorrow. you want 1736/55 support.. lc is below 1755.. You want be to sustained above 1755 after any dip below
lc at 1749
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,171
  • Sep 30, 2025 12:11pm Sep 30, 2025 12:11pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It can,, the short chain is at 1788 now. 1828 or 1865 are others.
bear failed to impress once again
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,172
  • Sep 30, 2025 12:20pm Sep 30, 2025 12:20pm
People may be watching the June close at 1787.. Today may close below it. It may fool some of us. with a close below 1787. That may make 175x/36 area a perfect long on a retrace. As long as it recovers back above 1755 Sustaining the support area
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,173
  • Sep 30, 2025 12:26pm Sep 30, 2025 12:26pm
Quoting gatorinla
People may be watching the June close at 1787.. Today may close below it. It may fool some of us. with a close below 1787. That may make 175x/36 area a perfect long on a retrace. As long as it recovers back above 1755 Sustaining the support area
was expecting 1557 for this wave and the bounce to above 1730 only happen in Oct before next potentialleg dowb to below 1400. but of course market has its plan
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,174
  • Sep 30, 2025 12:28pm Sep 30, 2025 12:28pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} was expecting 1557 for this wave and the bounce to above 1730 only happen in Oct before next potentialleg dowb to below 1400. but of course market has its plan
Suppose that 1645 was a low.. Do you have an extension higher wave count.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,175
  • Sep 30, 2025 12:35pm Sep 30, 2025 12:35pm
After the DT trump speech with all the Top brass. Telling them they could walk out and be fired. Is N. Korea talk.. N Guard in the streets. People are sitting around like a frog being boiled. That cant help the USD.. Shut downs and firing all the workers cant help either. Banana republic without firing a shot
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,176
  • Sep 30, 2025 12:37pm Sep 30, 2025 12:37pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Suppose that 1645 was a low.. Do you have an extension higher wave count.
no have to redo my analysis as i was expecting the end of wave 5 and the beginning of abc corrections.

i will probably wait for day end to see. Not sure if bear will step in in the last couple of hours.

Dollar index at key support 97.66
i would like a close above 97.7 if usd bull wants to push higher
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,177
  • Sep 30, 2025 12:38pm Sep 30, 2025 12:38pm
Quoting gatorinla
After the DT trump speech with all the Top brass. Telling them they could walk out and be fired. Is N. Korea talk.. N Guard in the streets. People are sitting around like a frog being boiled. That cant help the USD.. Shut downs and firing all the workers cant help either. Banana republic without firing a shot
fundi wise there is just nothing supporting the dollars…
was just expecting a proper retracement to load longs
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,178
  • Sep 30, 2025 12:50pm Sep 30, 2025 12:50pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} fundi wise there is just nothing supporting the dollars… was just expecting a proper retracement to load longs
We had a N. Korea type speech today. Where the world could see.. No telling how many will retire after this. The good guys will be diluted.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,179
  • Sep 30, 2025 1:11pm Sep 30, 2025 1:11pm
3 hours left, not sure if we will see a breakout, maybe will happen tomorrow.

if and only if bear decided to step in and take us back below 1730 1720….. maybe bear still alive?

as of now seems bull in control and on track closing the month/quarter above these levels
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,180
  • Sep 30, 2025 5:08pm Sep 30, 2025 5:08pm
Quoting gatorinla
People may be watching the June close at 1787.. Today may close below it. It may fool some of us. with a close below 1787. That may make 175x/36 area a perfect long on a retrace. As long as it recovers back above 1755 Sustaining the support area
does it make any difference closing the day, month and quarter below 1736 1755?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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