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  • #17,221
  • Sep 28, 2025 9:25pm Sep 28, 2025 9:25pm
Quoting fex.
{quote} new supply levels, now at touched demand, guess a bounce at month open, if not, will be ready regards & greens {image}
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newbie
  • #17,222
  • Sep 28, 2025 10:27pm Sep 28, 2025 10:27pm
The EUR/USD continued its ascending move it started on Friday after breaking the 1.1706 previous day high and is nearing the 20-day MA around 1.1735 and the 1.1747/54 zone of resistance. A break above this resistance will target 1.1780/97 next. Support at 1.1700-1.1695 should hold so the pair can move higher, but if it falls below, then 1.1660-1.1645 should be next.

Have a great week!


Daily volatility (range) 49 pips

Option expiries for Monday: 1.1750 (EU1.31b), 1.1800 (EU761.1m), 1.1700 (EU640.1m) source: financialjuice.com

1H
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #17,223
  • Sep 29, 2025 12:26am Sep 29, 2025 12:26am
opened a short on EU ....
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  • #17,224
  • Sep 29, 2025 2:43am Sep 29, 2025 2:43am
Quoting johncen
{quote} i have the previous neckline 173x level as decision point. If back above mayb bull is back. Green pips!
critical moment! Who will win?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #17,225
  • Sep 29, 2025 2:54am Sep 29, 2025 2:54am
Quoting johncen
{quote} critical moment! Who will win?
Yes, this is the deciding zone, but higher TF still bullish, so a slight edge to the bulls
ADAPT FAST OR LOSE ALL
  • #17,226
  • Sep 29, 2025 3:21am Sep 29, 2025 3:21am
Quoting johncen
{quote} critical moment! Who will win?
It will go a bit more up profit booking has not started yet. When you see a sudden drop on 4hr that will be the trigger from my perspective
Persistent
  • #17,227
  • Sep 29, 2025 3:28am Sep 29, 2025 3:28am
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That's how I see it.
all orders are closed in plus. Working 2009
Optinskijj All Time Profit: $2,322
  • #17,228
  • Sep 29, 2025 3:33am Sep 29, 2025 3:33am
Quoting johncen
{quote} critical moment! Who will win?
I think none yet. I have an upside bias but resistance is strong. Need evidence!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #17,229
  • Sep 29, 2025 3:40am Sep 29, 2025 3:40am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} I think none yet. I have an upside bias but resistance is strong. Need evidence!
yea i m not convinced with bear yet! Bull seems like they are still around! Month end and end of the quarter
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #17,230
  • Sep 29, 2025 4:15am Sep 29, 2025 4:15am
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea i m not convinced with bear yet! Bull seems like they are still around! Month end and end of the quarter
They might insist until they see their Sep. seasonal forecast back and payrolls!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #17,231
  • Sep 29, 2025 4:42am Sep 29, 2025 4:42am
H4 opening lvl 1.1724
First line of defense for bears is the H1 bearish opening candle level - horizontal blue line 1.17272
Green lines represent the bulls defense points.

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Uptrend structure with higher lows.
  • #17,232
  • Sep 29, 2025 8:03am Sep 29, 2025 8:03am
Quoting Meer-Shayhak
opened a short on EU .... {image}
got stopped out
  • #17,233
  • Sep 29, 2025 8:04am Sep 29, 2025 8:04am
Closed buys on EU now. Will look for shorts shortly after
Persistent
  • #17,234
  • Sep 29, 2025 9:39am Sep 29, 2025 9:39am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
The EUR/USD continued its ascending move it started on Friday after breaking the 1.1706 previous day high and is nearing the 20-day MA around 1.1735 and the 1.1747/54 zone of resistance. A break above this resistance will target 1.1780/97 next. Support at 1.1700-1.1695 should hold so the pair can move higher, but if it falls below, then 1.1660-1.1645 should be next. Have a great week! Daily volatility (range) 49 pips Option expiries for Monday: 1.1750 (EU1.31b), 1.1800 (EU761.1m), 1.1700 (EU640.1m) source: financialjuice.com...
I believe that's it for the buyers and it its going to the base again - 1.1706-1.1695
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #17,235
  • Sep 29, 2025 9:48am Sep 29, 2025 9:48am
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It's that time of year again. Time for the annual US government shutdown.


It's almost always a non-event designed for the media to hype up their viewers. The fall fund raiser for main stream media. The rare times it does occur, it has been slightly bullish for USD, like it has been this year, but REAL economic events always override. This year with a powerful TDS hysteria in the media, it may be a little more noticeable. But I am staying long EURUSD as the Trump effect makes the "news" watchers emotional and not thinking rational. Take advantage of this phenomenon. Leave emotion out of decisions. Giddy up!

Daily charts have a down channel and feature a flight to safety as expected. But I am staying long for now, although a revisit to 1.1650 area may cause me to lighten up of my position and add back later when the uptrend resumes.

Happy trades to you,
NB
Ecclesiastes 1:9
  • #17,236
  • Sep 29, 2025 10:19am Sep 29, 2025 10:19am
Near first support test 1.172~1.17116 if bellow 1.1725 level
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  • #17,237
  • Sep 29, 2025 10:30am Sep 29, 2025 10:30am
DXY near support test again ~97.847
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  • #17,238
  • Sep 29, 2025 11:02am Sep 29, 2025 11:02am
Buyers had the upper hand today but failed to move the price beyond resistance and now the bears seem to have the lead. Will they made it!

It was great sharing my views with all have a great rest of the day!
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #17,239
  • Sep 29, 2025 1:33pm Sep 29, 2025 1:33pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Buyers had the upper hand today but failed to move the price beyond resistance and now the bears seem to have the lead. Will they made it! It was great sharing my views with all have a great rest of the day! {image}
bear is a bit weak today despite defending key resistance area. Allowing bull to go up above 1735 is not a good sign despite we might want to take some more liquidity above.

month end tomorrow! Will be interesting to see where we close the month and quarter at!
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #17,240
  • Sep 29, 2025 2:01pm Sep 29, 2025 2:01pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} I believe that's it for the buyers and it its going to the base again - 1.1706-1.1695
bear is weak as we didnt even get back near 1.17 level after the take off
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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