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The Swamp

  • #125,061
  • Sep 25, 2025 6:35am Sep 25, 2025 6:35am
Quoting gatorinla
I'm looking for this .. But those same points like 1703 needs a 6h close below.. 1690 also needs closes below. {image}
1557 end of the month/quarter possible if we closing below those numbers
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,062
  • Sep 25, 2025 6:45am Sep 25, 2025 6:45am
Quoting johncen
{quote} 1557 end of the month/quarter possible if we closing below those numbers
If you take a 6h at 1703 an 8h at 1665 a 12h at 1613.. It will be almost to 1556.. The day at 1470 may take some effort.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,063
  • Sep 25, 2025 6:49am Sep 25, 2025 6:49am
The Forex gods dont seem to like my 45 pips bounce plan.. They only did it 1/2 way..
I left those pendings in place
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,064
  • Sep 25, 2025 7:01am Sep 25, 2025 7:01am
back to the past expired 1682.. I dont know if it has any residual power. The 6h will close in 1h.. They usually dont give in the first test.. But each situation is unique. I bet it would force it back to 173x. I may be wrong.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,065
  • Sep 25, 2025 7:09am Sep 25, 2025 7:09am
M Range 31x pips !
low 1.160x is at risk until Q ends.
  • #125,066
  • Sep 25, 2025 7:48am Sep 25, 2025 7:48am
I left the pending 173x.. But the 6h didnt do like i wanted
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,067
  • Sep 25, 2025 7:52am Sep 25, 2025 7:52am
No support at 1703 on the 6h close... Its not good sign for bulls or longs
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,068
  • Sep 25, 2025 7:57am Sep 25, 2025 7:57am
ADR reached 1673
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,069
  • Sep 25, 2025 8:15am Sep 25, 2025 8:15am
Quoting gatorinla
ADR reached 1673 {image}
bear should stall for a bit here
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,070
  • Sep 25, 2025 8:28am Sep 25, 2025 8:28am
Quoting DMA Trader
Good morning We’ve reached the 1.176 support, nice. If it breaks, we’ll revisit 1.172 and maybe lower.
1.1600 this week ? still short not taking profits here.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #125,071
  • Sep 25, 2025 8:54am Sep 25, 2025 8:54am
Its not looking like a bounce.. A unlikely bounce to 1731/51 is a sell area to me

something looks to sit at 1651

Above 1736.8 is the Bullish side of it. Not revisiting 1736 dont happen too often (even if it falls after) These mostly get rechecked as R. Than again these last few days of a quarter dont follow a lot of rules.

I may be tooting this horn too much. Don't be surprised if it revisits 173x again. It's not unusual. That does not mean to go long.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,072
  • Sep 25, 2025 10:26am Sep 25, 2025 10:26am
The magic 100 pips..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,073
  • Sep 25, 2025 10:31am Sep 25, 2025 10:31am
Raging bear!
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,074
  • Sep 25, 2025 11:36am Sep 25, 2025 11:36am
If I get the close I want. In the first few weeks of October. It may bounce back to 1736ish. Sometime after I think 1.0351 may be a target for the year ending. Not clear about 1736 first. Its within the TL to 1.0351
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,075
  • Sep 25, 2025 12:52pm Sep 25, 2025 12:52pm
Quoting gatorinla
If I get the close I want. In the first few weeks of October. It may bounce back to 1736ish. Sometime after I think 1.0351 may be a target for the year ending. Not clear about 1736 first. Its within the TL to 1.0351
1736 maybe the target for wave B if we are now in correction wave a
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,076
  • Sep 25, 2025 1:10pm Sep 25, 2025 1:10pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} 1736 maybe the target for wave B if we are now in correction wave a
Its Friday tomorrow who knows.. If some profits are taken. It may trap the late shorts. It it goes up I have room to short
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,077
  • Sep 25, 2025 1:47pm Sep 25, 2025 1:47pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Its Friday tomorrow who knows.. If some profits are taken. It may trap the late shorts. It it goes up I have room to short
yea i dont want to short here as its too steep now and might need a bit of retracement. Would prefer to reload higher! At least 1702/03 should be retested maybe?

but we are on track to 1557 before month end with 3 trading days left.

weekly close key. Bear would not want a close back above 1700 level
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,078
  • Sep 25, 2025 2:52pm Sep 25, 2025 2:52pm
Attraction to 1673 dont look complicated.. Sustained below 1651 looks like a b/o. It also a support.. Sustained above 1753 is a likely b/o. Its Friday, we got Friday. Tuesday to reach the quarter. Pa is sitting right at the b/o point atm..
I still have pending shorts 173x
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,079
  • Sep 25, 2025 3:04pm Sep 25, 2025 3:04pm
Quoting gatorinla
Attraction to 1673 dont look complicated.. Sustained below 1651 looks like a b/o. It also a support.. Sustained above 1753 is a likely b/o. Its Friday, we got Friday. Tuesday to reach the quarter. Pa is sitting right at the b/o point atm.. I still have pending shorts 173x
i have 1687-90 as potential spot to reload sells if we get there. After 2 days of sell off maybe profit taking plus is Friday. Will be keen to see where we at at the end of the week. I hope we can stay below 1670.

i have 1620 as critical support fot today if we break 1650
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,080
  • Sep 25, 2025 3:05pm Sep 25, 2025 3:05pm
Quoting gatorinla
If I get the close I want. In the first few weeks of October. It may bounce back to 1736ish. Sometime after I think 1.0351 may be a target for the year ending. Not clear about 1736 first. Its within the TL to 1.0351
yea with Trump’s comments maybe market sentiment is shifting to support a stronger usd for the rest of the year. I dont have 1.0351 yet as its a bit too far away but 1.12 1.108 maybe?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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