The Swamp | Page 6253 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread
Attachments: The Swamp
Exit Attachments

The Swamp

  • #125,041
  • Sep 25, 2025 3:57am Sep 25, 2025 3:57am
Quoting gatorinla
If the bears dont close below 1736.8.. It dont help.. below 1731 it better. Above 1736.8 has some increase in a bounce.
yea 4 mins to go it seems more like another bounce

update: no bear yet. If above 1745-46 mayb going higher
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,042
  • Sep 25, 2025 4:05am Sep 25, 2025 4:05am
Bears didnt get it done... Some rise to 1749/71.. The week and day structure still points down.. So far unable to break through 1736 31 systaned
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 4 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,043
  • Sep 25, 2025 4:09am Sep 25, 2025 4:09am
I cant believe this is rising with the latest war threats..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,044
  • Sep 25, 2025 4:13am Sep 25, 2025 4:13am
Quoting gatorinla
I cant believe this is rising with the latest war threats..
yea if we going back above 1760 1780 its a fake b/o

not looking good for bear now i have to say. They will have to defend the breakout done yesterday
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,045
  • Sep 25, 2025 4:19am Sep 25, 2025 4:19am
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea if we going back above 1760 1780 its a fake b/o not looking good for bear now i have to say. They will have to defend the breakout done yesterday
I'm not panicking.. 1726 is large + 1703 is a 6h.. The next 6h close is 11am est or London close.. It may close below 1703 later. It may of been a little too far this time. If 1731 get a good run below it.. 1703 may be able to break for LC..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,046
  • Sep 25, 2025 4:27am Sep 25, 2025 4:27am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I'm not panicking.. 1726 is large + 1703 is a 6h.. The next 6h close is 11am est or London close.. It may close below 1703 later. It may of been a little too far this time. If 1731 get a good run below it.. 1703 may be able to break for LC..
same here, we have broke below a key trendline for the first time and closed below on a daily basis. Today it was expected to be choppy as bull will try to fight back. The rise may be a confirmation to the breakout. Which is needed if bear wants to do well.

i will wait and see. I dnt want to long here. I didnt long the first time when we bounced from 1736 and still not prepared to.

above 1770-80 will prove me wrong
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,047
  • Sep 25, 2025 4:56am Sep 25, 2025 4:56am
It does look like 1749 may not able to hold the bull so we will go higher. Though i dont know how much

i dont see much room above, there might be wick (not preffered) then come back down.

gdp, unemployment claim, and there are many fed members speaking today.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,048
  • Sep 25, 2025 4:56am Sep 25, 2025 4:56am
Quoting johncen
{quote} same here, we have broke below a key trendline for the first time and closed below on a daily basis. Today it was expected to be choppy as bull will try to fight back. The rise may be a confirmation to the breakout. Which is needed if bear wants to do well. i will wait and see. I dnt want to long here. I didnt long the first time when we bounced from 1736 and still not prepared to. above 1770-80 will prove me wrong
Early London looked like it would take 1731, but failed. What they did do is close below 1771.. I dont know how far above 1741 it will go.. Maybe 20ish pips..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,049
  • Sep 25, 2025 4:59am Sep 25, 2025 4:59am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Early London looked like it would take 1731, but failed. What they did do is close below 1771.. I dont know how far above 1741 it will go.. Maybe 20ish pips..
My 5m so far is holding.. With a strong bearish outlook atm
Things can change.. this is the latest
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 12 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,050
  • Sep 25, 2025 5:03am Sep 25, 2025 5:03am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} My 5m so far is holding.. With a strong bearish outlook atm Things can change.. this is the latest {image}
yea bad rr to long here actually, unlike before. I wil wait for a break below
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,051
  • Sep 25, 2025 7:25am Sep 25, 2025 7:25am
5mins until red news and we are back at this level. Break or another bounce?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,052
  • Sep 25, 2025 7:32am Sep 25, 2025 7:32am
Nice
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 114.jpg Size: 33 KB
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #125,053
  • Sep 25, 2025 7:32am Sep 25, 2025 7:32am
Finally we break below! With all better than expected US data, 1702-03 may not be able to hold
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,054
  • Sep 25, 2025 7:51am Sep 25, 2025 7:51am
I closed some now.. I will add again if it bounces to 1735..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 5 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,055
  • Sep 25, 2025 7:56am Sep 25, 2025 7:56am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Early London looked like it would take 1731, but failed. What they did do is close below 1771.. I dont know how far above 1741 it will go.. Maybe 20ish pips..
I didnt think it would rise too far above 1741
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,056
  • Sep 25, 2025 8:02am Sep 25, 2025 8:02am
What i dont know. is the 6h at 1703 and a 4h ema at 1690 will force a normal retest of the b/o point from below. If it does 1731/36 area may now resist.. This retrace is where many late commers get screwed
Don't be surprised to see it come back to 1730+
If you do know.. Say it before it happens. If it does come back. That may be a chance for some to get in
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 5 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,057
  • Sep 25, 2025 8:05am Sep 25, 2025 8:05am
Quoting gatorinla
What i dont know. is the 6h at 1703 and a 4h ema at 1690 will force a normal retest of the b/o point from below. If it does 1731/36 area may now resist.. This retrace is where many late commers get screwed {image}
we closed the h below 1703 may limit the bounce though.

but agreed that levels like this tend to get retested. It is better to be retested now than later.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,058
  • Sep 25, 2025 8:26am Sep 25, 2025 8:26am
maybe 1666 167x later?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #125,059
  • Sep 25, 2025 8:28am Sep 25, 2025 8:28am
You can see where it stalled.. the stall point to low, at 2x.. puts a possible retrace at 1732.8
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 7 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #125,060
  • Sep 25, 2025 8:33am Sep 25, 2025 8:33am
I'm looking for this .. But those same points like 1703 needs a 6h close below.. 1690 also needs closes below.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 8 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
177 traders viewing now