US Monthly New Residential Sales, August 2025 | Forex Factory

  • US Monthly New Residential Sales, August 2025

    From census.gov Story is in PDF Format

    The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development jointly announced the following new residential sales statistics for August 2025. Sales of new single-family houses in August 2025 were at a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 800,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 20.5 percent (±21.8 percent)* above the July 2025 rate of 664,000, and is 15.4 percent (±25.1 percent)* above the August 2024 rate of 693,000. The seasonally-adjusted estimate of new houses for sale at the end of August 2025 ... (full story)

Added at 9:10am

  • US new home sales surge by 20.5% in August

    From breakingthenews.net

    Sales of new single-family houses in the United States stood at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 800,000 in August, marking the highest number since January 2022, the country's Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development said in their report published on Wednesday. Compared to July’s, the figure surged by 20.5%. Year-on-year, it rose by 15.4%. The median sales price of new houses sold reached $413,500, and the average sales price $534,100. The seasonally-adjusted estimate of new houses for sale was 490,000, a supply of 7.4 months at the current sales rate.

Comment Options
Blessed-man
Sep 24, 2025 9:23am
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Quoting LightchaserG
People can not afford food, groceries are going up, health costs are going up, the US has a shortage of housing, apparently, and this happened.: New Houses Sold: 800,000 New Houses For Sale: 490,00 Median Sales Price: $413,500 BS! wow! Trump is trying hard to fudge the numbers.
Trump fudging numbers?

This will be diametrically opposed to his main aim of getting the Interest Rate down.

This will add to sentiments to leave rate as it is.
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Trader#0598
Sep 24, 2025 9:26am
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Quoting LightchaserG
People can not afford food
Where do you people come up with this stuff? Prices have gone up since the inception of the Federal Reserve, it's how fast is it goes up that is concerning. You're not factoring in wage increases that out pace inflation, lower energy costs, etc. Were people eating when inflation was in the double digits, $5 gal of fuel, and eggs were averaging $13 dz during the last administration? I can tell you for a fact things are much better now than they were only a year ago. In fact, inflation is still lower than it was when the last administration left office.
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ntrpy
Sep 24, 2025 1:00pm
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Quoting LightchaserG
BS!.... No way, it is impossible!
This is more noise than anything else, the surge reflects slightly lower mortgage rates and an increase in builders offering buyer incentives. Take it with a huge grain of salt. The +/– 21.8% confidence interval on the monthly change is massive. New home sales are prone to heavy revisions. A flat-ish trend in sales, similar to what has been evident all year, seems more likely.

There's a good chance the strength isn't from organic, fundamental demand, but is "juiced" by builders increasing incentives and cutting prices to move inventory. Sell-side scrubs showing 65% of builders offering incentives and 39% cutting prices is compelling evidence. This suggests the sales were "bought" rather than earned by a booming economy.

The YTD average sales pace prior to this print was 662k, which is more consistent with other weak housing data points like low builder sentiment. The 800k print is a significant outlier from this trend. Bottom line is that because elevated inventories are being cleared by incentives (not just demand), builders will remain cautious.

The macro implication is inventories remain elevated relative to sales, which implies a reduced pace of single-family construction moving forward. This means residential investment should continue to drag on overall real GDP growth for the next few quarters.
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ntrpy
Sep 24, 2025 1:00pm
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Quoting Nordling
No recession. 800k is a very strong data. Don't mind the fearmongers here, they read ZeroHedge and predict a recession 4 times a year. Don't forget to buy ARs and stock tonnes of SPAM folks, next year we will have a zombie apocalypse LMAO
Mark my words, this figure will be revised down.
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ntrpy
Sep 24, 2025 5:26pm
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Quoting Nordling
{quote} It may, but building permits and housing starts numbers also seem healthy for now
For sure, I think it's positive development either way. Just that the data is definitely overstated.

I'll be using Oct 24th (August revisions) as a potential catalyst to frame other indicators.
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LightchaserG
Sep 24, 2025 9:06am
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People can not afford food, groceries are going up, health costs are going up, the US has a shortage of housing, apparently, and this happened.:

New Houses Sold: 800,000
New Houses For Sale: 490,00
Median Sales Price: $413,500

BS! wow! Trump is trying hard to fudge the numbers.
Reply
LightchaserG
Sep 24, 2025 9:09am
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Quoting unlv_tj
The big question is who is buying these homes. Private owners/traditional homeowners, or hedge funds and Wall Street investors?
IF they buy it would be BANKS!? I suspect, to prop the market and to sell after (buy low sell high) LOL (IMO)
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DuranDuran
Sep 24, 2025 9:21am
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Mortgage rates dropped to 3 year lows, makes sense we'd finally see some activity
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Trader#E14A
Sep 24, 2025 9:34am
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Quoting LightchaserG
People can not afford food, groceries are going up, health costs are going up, the US has a shortage of housing, apparently, and this happened.: New Houses Sold: 800,000 New Houses For Sale: 490,00 Median Sales Price: $413,500 BS! wow! Trump is trying hard to fudge the numbers.
You are out of touch with reality. Go outside and get some air. Seems like this is your way of coping with hating America. Look around you, things are considerably cheaper than when we had to pump 5-7$ gas....
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Trader#ACA1
Sep 24, 2025 9:49am
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These are seasonally adjusted full year numbers of new homes. It’s not like 800k homes were just sold.

There was a marked upturn in new homes, so I would guess the mortgage rate drop plus desperation setting in with new homes builders offering measurable incentives.

Hate the ruin the fake narrative of Trump breaking into computers overnight and falsifying numbers lol.
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Trader#DDA0
Sep 24, 2025 10:54am
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Quoting Schultz
Well, America is a great economy, a very great economy. The greatest economy in the world.
Careful, you’ll wake up Van, Fool, and Bones to say they have been right all along. The US is completely bankrupt and minutes away from a complete and total collapse that’s unsurvivable, anyone who disagrees is an inbred maga moron clueless idiot who is completely incapable of thought. You know, the thing they have said for 5 straight months, never acknowledging they have been wrong about literally everything.
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Trader#C3B8
Sep 24, 2025 11:37am
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Quoting Vancarbon
{quote} LOL . I’m thinking you kind of miss that trio posting to acknowledge us . Even more amusing , you missed the sarcasm in Schultz post , scripted from a certain persons well used rhetoric
He’s the same as you, Australia and UK are basically the same, liberal blowhards that complain about everything in the US, out of jealousy we assume. But as always I’ve never met an American who cares what people of either country think. Obviously people got his sarcasm if you have ever read any of his posts.

Unlike you though, he doesn’t add anything useful about trading at all. As everyone knows you are the greatest negative indicator I’ve ever seen. Anyone reading this, click on Van’s account and go back from today to April. Literally everything he predicted was 100% wrong, and never once, not a single time has he ever admitted being wrong, he just uses his time to insult people. Sad, weak, and small minded. Have fun with your out of control finances plus open boarders, sharia laws will be coming for you.
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unlv_tj
Sep 24, 2025 9:05am
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The big question is who is buying these homes. Private owners/traditional homeowners, or hedge funds and Wall Street investors?
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Schultz
Sep 24, 2025 10:27am
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Well, America is a great economy, a very great economy. The greatest economy in the world.
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Nordling
Sep 24, 2025 11:11am — Edited
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No recession. 800k is a very strong data.

Don't mind the fearmongers here, they read ZeroHedge and predict a recession 4 times a year.

Don't forget to buy ARs and stock tonnes of SPAM folks, next year we will have a zombie apocalypse LMAO
Reply
Vancarbon
Sep 24, 2025 11:23am
Permalink
Quoting Trader#DDA0
{quote} Careful, you’ll wake up Van, Fool, and Bones to say they have been right all along. The US is completely bankrupt and minutes away from a complete and total collapse that’s unsurvivable, anyone who disagrees is an inbred maga moron clueless idiot who is completely incapable of thought. You know, the thing they have said for 5 straight months, never acknowledging they have been wrong about literally everything.
LOL . I’m thinking you kind of miss that trio posting to acknowledge us . Even more amusing , you missed the sarcasm in Schultz post , scripted from a certain persons well used rhetoric
Reply
Vancarbon
Sep 24, 2025 12:09pm
Permalink
Quoting Trader#C3B8
{quote} He’s the same as you, Australia and UK are basically the same, liberal blowhards that complain about everything in the US, out of jealousy we assume. But as always I’ve never met an American who cares what people of either country think. Obviously people got his sarcasm if you have ever read any of his posts. Unlike you though, he doesn’t add anything useful about trading at all. As everyone knows you are the greatest negative indicator I’ve ever seen. Anyone reading this, click on Van’s account and go back from today to April. Literally...
How endearing !

It’s so thoughtful I’ve given you a

“ Don’t look back in Anger “ - Oasis

Send my regards to Schweet , an articulate individual we need on these boards . Similar to yourself .

Good luck my friend
Reply
Vancarbon
Sep 24, 2025 12:42pm
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“Auto lender’s bust signals strain in financial health of US households “

“US debt investors raise alarm over lending standards”

Just a couple of Financial Times headlines.

All’s good in the USA , apparently .
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Momofrmnyc
Sep 24, 2025 9:23am
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Quoting DuranDuran
Mortgage rates dropped to 3 year lows, makes sense we'd finally see some activity
I mean that's what I was thinking as well especially groups/individuals who have been sitting on cash waiting for the opportune time. With more rate cuts individuals who are in the prime position will be entering the housing market.
Schultz
Sep 25, 2025 3:08am
Permalink
Quoting Trader#C3B8
{quote} He’s the same as you, Australia and UK are basically the same, liberal blowhards that complain about everything in the US, out of jealousy we assume. But as always I’ve never met an American who cares what people of either country think. .
Not only basically the same, but exactly the same. Oh, except that the UK isn't a country. Details, pfft. Look at a map for goodness sake.

I'm sure your school might have one. It may not have been used since soon after WWII so it might be a bit dusty from when children in the US were curious about where their President was going to meet Churchill and Stalin.

If all that is all a bit complicated, I can repeat it if you ask nicely.

.
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Nordling
Sep 24, 2025 1:38pm
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Quoting ntrpy
{quote} Mark my words, this figure will be revised down.
It may, but building permits and housing starts numbers also seem healthy for now
Reply
LightchaserG
Sep 24, 2025 9:03am
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BS!.... No way, it is impossible!
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LightchaserG
Sep 24, 2025 11:40am
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Quoting 1greyfox
{quote} {image}
Shit I hope not! :-)
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1greyfox
Sep 24, 2025 9:51am
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Quoting LightchaserG
BS!.... No way, it is impossible!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2025-09-24.jpg Size: 100 KB
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Trader#E0C0
Sep 24, 2025 9:05am
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Backwards looking indicator....
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Trader#760A
Sep 24, 2025 9:06am
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Manipulated Data
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Trader#6E5A
Sep 24, 2025 9:15am
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Sure. Sure. It's not lies or rigged at all. 35 Trillion in debt, no one can find a job, everyone is scraping by, but the dollar just keeps going up in values and everyone is buying a house, sure.
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Trader#CC49
Sep 24, 2025 9:20am
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trump trying to recreate pre-2008 euphoria
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Trader#69AD
Sep 24, 2025 9:24am
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People have more money then i thought
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Trader#BE93
Sep 24, 2025 9:27am
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30 days to buy a house the interest rate just dropped last week. everyone was waiting for lower rates. impossible numbers this is BS.
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Trader#6CF8
Sep 24, 2025 10:53am
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Don’t believe everything you read on the internet, guess the us is doing better than the media would want you to think. Same old rich game
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