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  • #124,941
  • Sep 22, 2025 1:24pm Sep 22, 2025 1:24pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Lets add this.. Its not just 1792.. Bears want this back below 1784..If the bulls are unable to sustain this.. During the Asian session It may change to 1788. Bulls want to remain sustained above these. I think it's bullish,, I will pull that thought if bull can't remain above
It took the 1h R.. Possible long, 1783/84 may support.. But below 1784 may reject bulls.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,942
  • Sep 22, 2025 1:29pm Sep 22, 2025 1:29pm
We may be able to squeeze one in 1780/84. If it comes back tonight
No need for a large stop.. If bullish it usually will not travel much lower than 84, 80 has a light trending support. if not sustained after above 84 later 88.. you dont want to be long anway.. until is closer to today[s lower numbers
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,943
  • Edited 3:13pm Sep 22, 2025 1:39pm | Edited 3:13pm
It is bullish and for nw no sign of bull weakness yet, we may extend above 1800 before retracing back down a little. Tomorrow bull will try to sustain above 1800 level.

Every attempt to go lower has been weak so far. I dont have much faith in the bear as of now
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,944
  • Sep 22, 2025 1:42pm Sep 22, 2025 1:42pm
Like you said Gator we need a strong rejection and wick followed by bear momemtum. We have had the wick earlier below 1788 but no follow up.

something like today when bull took back 1736 before London open and we ended up with a coupld strong green candles on 1h timeframe
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,945
  • Sep 22, 2025 5:52pm Sep 22, 2025 5:52pm
Quoting johncen
Like you said Gator we need a strong rejection and wick followed by bear momemtum. We have had the wick earlier below 1788 but no follow up. something like today when bull took back 1736 before London open and we ended up with a coupld strong green candles on 1h timeframe
Sometimes you need to go up to go down.. Or vice versa. 1918 dropped it.. Its on a upswing. I think it needs 1807.. between the center 1726/1918 is 1827.. Earlier I did think it had a shot as a daytrader somewhere above 1792, probably 25 pips or less above. It made sense to watch 1807.
I think i was using 1784 and 88 earlier.. Things have changed some.. Still use 1784 the next couple of hours.. But lets switch 1788 to 1799.. Above 1799 sustained being bullish.. Below it sustained is bulls failed.. Not now, but later If it below 1799.. That may be resistance. So it has a chance still for 1807+.. But if it losses the 1799 footing,, You likely see 1770, maybe 1736.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,946
  • Sep 22, 2025 6:06pm Sep 22, 2025 6:06pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Sometimes you need to go up to go down.. Or vice versa. 1918 dropped it.. Its on a upswing. I think it needs 1807.. between the center 1726/1918 is 1827.. Earlier I did think it had a shot as a daytrader somewhere above 1792, probably 25 pips or less above. It made sense to watch 1807. I think i was using 1784 and 88 earlier.. Things have changed some.. Still use 1784 the next couple of hours.. But lets switch 1788 to 1799.. Above 1799 sustained being bullish.. Below it sustained is bulls failed.. Not now, but later If it below 1799.. That...
The LC is 1769.. It can attract.. Its is below 1799.. Things are bullish, no doubt. If it slips below 1799. It may reach 1770/69. If it goes deeper to -1726.. Sustained below is a day breakout South.
The bullish bet is 1784 supports it now, and later 1799..If its mission was just to hit 1807... See what happens after
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,947
  • Sep 22, 2025 6:16pm Sep 22, 2025 6:16pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Sometimes you need to go up to go down.. Or vice versa. 1918 dropped it.. Its on a upswing. I think it needs 1807.. between the center 1726/1918 is 1827.. Earlier I did think it had a shot as a daytrader somewhere above 1792, probably 25 pips or less above. It made sense to watch 1807. I think i was using 1784 and 88 earlier.. Things have changed some.. Still use 1784 the next couple of hours.. But lets switch 1788 to 1799.. Above 1799 sustained being bullish.. Below it sustained is bulls failed.. Not now, but later If it below 1799.. That...
yes taking it one step at a time, as soon as we bounced off and bull took back 1736 on a hourly level i know 1800 will come. If we break my downward trendline and start going higher bear scenario to end the month/quarter is probably less likely to play out. I will probably closed my shorts and reconsider my next steps.
just have to keep on reminding myself it is a bull trend until it breaks
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,948
  • Sep 22, 2025 8:51pm Sep 22, 2025 8:51pm
Bull just keep climbing and break my downward trendline
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,949
  • Sep 22, 2025 11:11pm Sep 22, 2025 11:11pm
Quoting johncen
Bull just keep climbing and break my downward trendline
it hir 1807 now.. It could of completed its mission
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,950
  • Sep 23, 2025 12:02am Sep 23, 2025 12:02am
Quoting johncen
Bull just keep climbing and break my downward trendline
I dont want to say much.. That last hour was a 4h.. it did close below 1799. It lost some of its foothold
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The LC is 1769.. It can attract.. Its is below 1799.. Things are bullish, no doubt. If it slips below 1799. It may reach 1770/69. If it goes deeper to -1726.. Sustained below is a day breakout South. The bullish bet is 1784 supports it now, and later 1799..If its mission was just to hit 1807... See what happens after
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,951
  • Sep 23, 2025 12:09am Sep 23, 2025 12:09am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I dont want to say much.. That last hour was a 4h.. it did close below 1799. It lost some of its foothold {quote}
yea i have noticed the same. Yesterday it was this 4h closed that back above 1736 which triggers the bounce - i was wrong, it was the next hour. I dont know how strong this 4h close is…

if we closed the next two hours below 1799 may help to trigger a drop towards 1770 level?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,952
  • Sep 23, 2025 2:37am Sep 23, 2025 2:37am
Seems like bear defended 1799 for the last two hours while bull is rescting near 1777 1780 level?

hmmmmm if there is bear it should be noticeable otherwise it is still bull market
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,953
  • Sep 23, 2025 4:04am Sep 23, 2025 4:04am
Quoting johncen
Seems like bear defended 1799 for the last two hours while bull is rescting near 1777 1780 level? hmmmmm if there is bear it should be noticeable otherwise it is still bull market
ok no sell. Bull claimed back 1799 on 1h and 4h tf
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,954
  • Sep 23, 2025 4:17am Sep 23, 2025 4:17am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I dont want to say much.. That last hour was a 4h.. it did close below 1799. It lost some of its foothold {quote}
The last h close was a 12h close,, its back above 1799..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,955
  • Sep 23, 2025 4:18am Sep 23, 2025 4:18am
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea i have noticed the same. Yesterday it was this 4h closed that back above 1736 which triggers the bounce - i was wrong, it was the next hour. I dont know how strong this 4h close is… if we closed the next two hours below 1799 may help to trigger a drop towards 1770 level?
it tried..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,956
  • Sep 23, 2025 4:25am Sep 23, 2025 4:25am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} it tried..
yea it did dropped to 177x level but didnt managed to sustain below.

i think we will just continue the bull trend then
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,957
  • Sep 23, 2025 4:29am Sep 23, 2025 4:29am
The 12h above 1799 is bullish added with all we know.. 1847.7 may have some R.. If above it this time tomorrow, its bullish still probably.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,958
  • Sep 23, 2025 4:35am Sep 23, 2025 4:35am
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea it did dropped to 177x level but didnt managed to sustain below. i think we will just continue the bull trend then
You can kinda see it has become R or S to work.. They often.. But not in this case. I little line in the sand for bullish or neutral. The overall trend was still bullish.. The bulls took the 12h. that why I was hesitant to post it.
The bears can destroy all the support we see in few hours. But no sign yet .. I thought may after 1807 was rejected below 1799. The Q end can move it quickly.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,959
  • Sep 23, 2025 4:39am Sep 23, 2025 4:39am
Quoting gatorinla
The 12h above 1799 is bullish added with all we know.. 1847.7 may have some R.. If above it this time tomorrow, its bullish still probably. {image}
bear is running out of time if they want 1557 by the end of the month
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,960
  • Sep 23, 2025 5:05am Sep 23, 2025 5:05am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} You can kinda see it has become R or S to work.. They often.. But not in this case. I little line in the sand for bullish or neutral. The overall trend was still bullish.. The bulls took the 12h. that why I was hesitant to post it. The bears can destroy all the support we see in few hours. But no sign yet .. I thought may after 1807 was rejected below 1799. The Q end can move it quickly.
yea if bear to show up we should get some moves like end of July. As of now no sign but if the next couple of hours bear take back 1799 then maybe…
1.1918 plus the wick, monthly support level for the dollars and weekly resistance level for eu, plus 1.2 just right above…
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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