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The Swamp

  • #124,901
  • Sep 19, 2025 9:51am Sep 19, 2025 9:51am
I closed my longs 1759.. it looked like it wanted to reject
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,902
  • Sep 19, 2025 10:03am Sep 19, 2025 10:03am
It missed LC.. Lets see if that's a bearish sign
It may attack 1736 again
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,903
  • Sep 19, 2025 12:08pm Sep 19, 2025 12:08pm
bounce at 1736
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,904
  • Sep 19, 2025 2:43pm Sep 19, 2025 2:43pm
Large players added more shorts
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,905
  • Sep 19, 2025 4:00pm Sep 19, 2025 4:00pm
I got 1744.. A possible gap on open
Its just 8 pips from 1736
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,906
  • Sep 19, 2025 4:03pm Sep 19, 2025 4:03pm
Quoting gatorinla
I got 1744.. A possible gap on open {image}
gap down?

my broker somehow jumped to 1750 to close the week. 1736 defended for now. Usdx closed below 97.70 still.

however that weekly candle looks ugly for eu bull unless they can take back 1857
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,907
  • Sep 19, 2025 4:37pm Sep 19, 2025 4:37pm
Quoting johncen
Large players added more shorts {image}
looks bearish to me.
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Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #124,908
  • Sep 19, 2025 8:31pm Sep 19, 2025 8:31pm
not good at counting waves but just thinking out loud here….. we have completed 5 waves (if we have seen the top) with extended wave 3.
then we should see abc correction next which may target somewhere between 1.14 in the next couple of weeks/months.
A wave may ends at 1557 or around 1.16.
if all goes as per plan we should see by the end of the month maybe?
1.1720-30 must give up to validate this thinking (rising trendline from Fed breaks if this is the case) and we cannot go back above 1857.
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,909
  • Sep 21, 2025 5:39pm Sep 21, 2025 5:39pm
Quoting gatorinla
I got 1744.. A possible gap on open Its just 8 pips from 1736 {image}
I wanted to long if above 1736 .. This opening gap below 1736 has made me hold a short.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,910
  • Sep 21, 2025 5:43pm Sep 21, 2025 5:43pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I wanted to long if above 1736 .. This opening gap below 1736 has made me hold a short. {image}
1.176 area is the new R former S.
Could be a big down day today.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #124,911
  • Sep 21, 2025 5:49pm Sep 21, 2025 5:49pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I wanted to long if above 1736 .. This opening gap below 1736 has made me hold a short. {image}
I didnt get this gap down on my end, my week opened at 1746.

i still have one last long from 1737 since Friday.
if we see a hourly closed below 1736 i may have to close it. While i want to see it going down i cannot rule out a possible bounce towards 1810 level.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,912
  • Sep 21, 2025 5:54pm Sep 21, 2025 5:54pm
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} 1.176 area is the new R former S. Could be a big down day today.
yea if we can break below key support it could accelerate!
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,913
  • Sep 21, 2025 5:58pm Sep 21, 2025 5:58pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} i still have one last long from 1737 since Friday. if we see a hourly closed below 1736 i may have to close it. While i want to see it going down i cannot rule out a possible bounce towards 1810 level.
1656/1918/2=1737... Before it went to 1918. I had (1736.9 1918).. The links went to 1918 on that N side. on the S side 1556. 1736.9 in the middle. If th bears are going to make a move. I think -1556 is the goal to close this month. But its bullish. So we wont know until it happens.
If this ne true. The year level near last years close may come the last quarter. By then indicators will point down with COT and structure
+1736 is on the bullish side... Its probably the best side for risk. If it dont break sustained below 1736.. downside may have a limit, the same with 1556 a few months back
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,914
  • Sep 21, 2025 6:18pm Sep 21, 2025 6:18pm
100 pips to 1.16 not so hard, that we can buy again
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #124,915
  • Edited 8:51pm Sep 21, 2025 6:56pm | Edited 8:51pm
Testing 1736 again, can it hold?

update: we have an hour closed below now. But bull is still fighting. If we sustained below maybe a break below?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,916
  • Sep 21, 2025 9:01pm Sep 21, 2025 9:01pm
Have closed my longs.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,917
  • Sep 22, 2025 3:35am Sep 22, 2025 3:35am
Pre-London bull took back 1736, so may see 1794 again?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,918
  • Sep 22, 2025 3:41am Sep 22, 2025 3:41am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1656/1918/2=1737... Before it went to 1918. I had (1736.9 1918).. The links went to 1918 on that N side. on the S side 1556. 1736.9 in the middle. If th bears are going to make a move. I think -1556 is the goal to close this month. But its bullish. So we wont know until it happens. If this ne true. The year level near last years close may come the last quarter. By then indicators will point down with COT and structure +1736 is on the bullish side... Its probably the best side...
typo correct 1556
ATM eary London being above 1736.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,919
  • Sep 22, 2025 3:45am Sep 22, 2025 3:45am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} typo correct 1556 ATM eary London being above 1736.
would be a ugly 4h candle if no show of bear in the next 15mins?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,920
  • Edited 4:26am Sep 22, 2025 3:59am | Edited 4:26am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1656/1918/2=1737... Before it went to 1918. I had (1736.9 1918).. The links went to 1918 on that N side. on the S side 1556. 1736.9 in the middle. If th bears are going to make a move. I think -1556 is the goal to close this month. But its bullish. So we wont know until it happens. If this ne true. The year level near last years close may come the last quarter. By then indicators will point down with COT and structure +1736 is on the bullish side... Its probably the best side for risk. If it dont break sustained below...
Closing this next h above 1761 gives the bullish structure the day back to bulls. The quarter month and week are bullish. Along with the larger indicators. 1736 has not been taken sustained. The next will be a 12h close. Bears want to be below 1736... It should be choppy.. But atm not closing below 1760 is not good for bears..It looks like 1847 will come if not. All to me looks bullish, unless 1736 is taken, and 1556 before the month closes.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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