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The Swamp

  • #124,881
  • Sep 19, 2025 4:10am Sep 19, 2025 4:10am
The 12h closed below 1772 and 75.. that R there could be developing. may 1772/85 ish.. The 1h support now at 1756... 1736 to me can be the next b/o point. But it also can be stronger support. pa has as close as 13 pips from it.. Last month never tough 1556.. but it came close.. There will not be short if 1736 ish holds.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,882
  • Sep 19, 2025 4:15am Sep 19, 2025 4:15am
Quoting johncen
Usdjpy and Usdchf both rejected by a resistance level. eu bounced off 1772 so bull may give it a go now. Let see what London brings
I caught this uj 147.99 late, tp. out.. i may try again if it make 147.45 again. 147.70 may support
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,883
  • Sep 19, 2025 4:28am Sep 19, 2025 4:28am
If the eu breaks clean below 1736.. It most likely will come back.. Eventually if its bearish, 1736 becomes R.. That may last either way for about 2 weeks. So if the goal, for the eu forex gods is getting below 1556. To close the month. 1736 could gain its R power before that run.

FOMO chasing below 1736, may end up a trap. It usually will come back to that 1736 area..Simulia to 175x yesterday coming back to 1775+
Plus the indicators are mostly still bullish.. My 1h is still at 175x.. 4h below 1700
The 4h may be the one to push it back to 1736 from below
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,884
  • Sep 19, 2025 4:34am Sep 19, 2025 4:34am
Quoting gatorinla
If the eu breaks clean below 1736.. It most likely will come back.. Eventually if its bearish, 1736 becomes R.. That may last either way for about 2 weeks. So if the goal, for the eu forex gods is getting below 1556. To close the month. 1736 could gain its R power before that run.
break below 1736 and closing below is breaking rising trendline since Feb which is significant. Though i m not sure how much we will drop 1556 may stop the fall
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,885
  • Sep 19, 2025 4:40am Sep 19, 2025 4:40am
possible trap where 1675ish..bounces to 1736 area
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,886
  • Sep 19, 2025 4:44am Sep 19, 2025 4:44am
Quoting johncen
{quote} break below 1736 and closing below is breaking rising trendline since Feb which is significant. Though i m not sure how much we will drop 1556 may stop the fall
If it breaks free 1736.. it and that 1h whenever it may be may end up R. It most often will come back.. The 1h and 1736 may stop the rise if the 4h forces it up
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,887
  • Sep 19, 2025 5:15am Sep 19, 2025 5:15am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If it breaks free 1736.. it and that 1h whenever it may be may end up R. It most often will come back.. The 1h and 1736 may stop the rise if the 4h forces it up
we now sustained below 1772 but still above yesterday’s low. I m not sure if we will break 1736 without any bounce. This level has blocked the bull for over a month and should turn into a support level. So i still think we may see a bounce if we get there or at least spend some time there before breaking below.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,888
  • Sep 19, 2025 5:23am Sep 19, 2025 5:23am
Quoting johncen
{quote} we now sustained below 1772 but still above yesterday’s low. I m not sure if we will break 1736 without any bounce. This level has blocked the bull for over a month and should turn into a support level. So i still think we may see a bounce if we get there or at least spend some time there before breaking below.
It is support.. If has to break, to fall. If not, it goes up. We can assume it will break, or not. But can have a plan for either. the assumptions make the plans. All the plans are "if"
1556 is only there because the calendar window is near now. Other than that its all bullish.. It was bullish at 1918.. But here we are on the doorstep of 1736. Before the month ends.. it may be at 1556's doorstep.. 1736 is support until its not
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,889
  • Sep 19, 2025 5:33am Sep 19, 2025 5:33am
If today Friday closes above 1736. If has a shot to bounce again. If below 1736, the bears gain some. It may be in the 1736 area to close, and have a gap on open
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,890
  • Sep 19, 2025 6:58am Sep 19, 2025 6:58am
1736 was tagged
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,891
  • Sep 19, 2025 7:05am Sep 19, 2025 7:05am
That happens to be the 1/2 mark to 1556.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,892
  • Sep 19, 2025 7:09am Sep 19, 2025 7:09am
I did tp. and took a long
Tp below 1772
If this is to turn bullish. this may be the low area
I could just hold it.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,893
  • Sep 19, 2025 7:12am Sep 19, 2025 7:12am
Quoting gatorinla
1736 was tagged {image}
here we are! I also took a long. It was worth the wait
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,894
  • Sep 19, 2025 7:19am Sep 19, 2025 7:19am
So far, boring
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,895
  • Sep 19, 2025 7:27am Sep 19, 2025 7:27am
undefended?

or trap?
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,896
  • Sep 19, 2025 7:32am Sep 19, 2025 7:32am
Quoting gatorinla
undefended? or trap? {image}
not sure so far bull reaction is pretty much limited so may want 1715. Bounce may also be limited. If bear power is strong we may not see 1772 1775 again
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,897
  • Sep 19, 2025 8:28am Sep 19, 2025 8:28am
Quoting gatorinla
undefended? or trap? {image}
hung up on the 1h.. LC at 1775 could pull it next hour
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,898
  • Sep 19, 2025 8:30am Sep 19, 2025 8:30am
Quoting johncen
{quote} not sure so far bull reaction is pretty much limited so may want 1715. Bounce may also be limited. If bear power is strong we may not see 1772 1775 again
Its a big level.. It could be the bottom.. I will take it will reach 1775/72.
It stalled about 1/2 way to 1775
It may be telling you where its gone
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,899
  • Sep 19, 2025 8:50am Sep 19, 2025 8:50am
1777/72 has some R.. Lc attraction can be 1775.. If its sustained below 1772.. It could take another shot at 1736. watch 1777.4..It could be a player
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,900
  • Sep 19, 2025 9:16am Sep 19, 2025 9:16am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} Yes, that’s right, and yesterday’s low will act as support again. On the other hand, I find it interesting that we went below the September 8 high, which was the same high from mid-July. Another interpretation is that 1.176 was the old strong resistance, now turned into support. This is quite open to interpretation. But I share the same view as you: we need a daily close below 1.176. Once we are there and no longer climb above normal retracements, I believe we could see the lower limit of the range at 1.16. Below that, it’s hard to believe...
We are still exactly at 1.176 )
Let's see Daily and Weekly close. Both bears and bulls stand a chance.

Have a great weekend guys.
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