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  • #124,801
  • Sep 17, 2025 12:41pm Sep 17, 2025 12:41pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} i also have 1555 on my chart but seems unlikely at tgis stage. Who knows last Sep we see a usd bull trend after rate cut. Powell has to be hawkish though. as of now, it is a divided Fed and everything remain pointing north. 191x and if bull is really strong we should see 1.2 in the next couple of days? Usdx to be 95 and broke a very important monthly uptrend
To me the last quarter, month, week, and day structure is eu bullish. The trending indicators are bullish. A rate cut with some further indication in the statement, of more cuts. Would align with more rise. But it is above most year range moves. There are a few as long and little longer. These happened after 911 into the war buildup.
Before that the mid 80s
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  • #124,802
  • Sep 17, 2025 1:14pm Sep 17, 2025 1:14pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} To me the last quarter, month, week, and day structure is eu bullish. The trending indicators are bullish. A rate cut with some further indication in the statement, of more cuts. Would align with more rise. But it is above most year range moves. There are a few as long and little longer. These happened after 911 into the war buildup. Before that the mid 80s {image}
1918 reacting!

yea we have done 15% already this year which is massive. There might not be much room up. 1.2 will be tough for bull to crack above
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,803
  • Sep 17, 2025 1:15pm Sep 17, 2025 1:15pm
Quoting gatorinla
It looks to be just breathing in a little range.. It probably won't go more than 60 below 1847 on a week chart. A rate cut is expected.. Whats baked in.. I dont know. I had the structure and a trend pointing north Monday. Since more structure pointing North.. I think in the 1918 area it may need to calibrate.. 1817-1918 could be a rangy area.. with 1861 center of them Need to be careful in the 1861/1918 area because the calendar and 1556 being a quarter number. With those 13 days it could fool us all. The latest month, week and day are bullish...
I was forced to tp 1918
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  • #124,804
  • Sep 17, 2025 1:20pm Sep 17, 2025 1:20pm
I dont know.. But it is bullish.. But it may have reached all the chain links. With 13 days left.. If it was to ignore a weak usd with all the rest being usd weakness pointing. It could reach for 1556. But everything as far as momentum I have is EU bullish.. Maybe a long at 1861 or 1817..
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  • #124,805
  • Sep 17, 2025 1:25pm Sep 17, 2025 1:25pm
Quoting gatorinla
I dont know.. But it is bullish.. But it may have reached all the chain links. With 13 days left.. If it was to ignore a weak usd with all the rest being usd weakness pointing. It could reach for 1556. But everything as far as momentum I have is EU bullish.. Maybe a long at 1861 or 1817..
yea completely different situation comparing to Sep last year with Trump around who wanted more rate cuts which reflected in the votings by his muppets in Fed. Monthly/Quarterly close matters to determine whether a trend at monthly level is broken
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,806
  • Sep 17, 2025 1:27pm Sep 17, 2025 1:27pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} 1918 reacting! yea we have done 15% already this year which is massive. There might not be much room up. 1.2 will be tough for bull to crack above
1918 is affiliated with 1556. So as much as i want to be long. I have to see how she acts. 1847.. Can support.. I dont think closing below 1817 is not the best thing for a long.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,807
  • Sep 17, 2025 1:34pm Sep 17, 2025 1:34pm
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1861 first
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  • #124,808
  • Sep 17, 2025 1:53pm Sep 17, 2025 1:53pm
powell is a bit hawkish today which supports the dollar. Plus buy rumours sell fact i guess
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,809
  • Sep 17, 2025 2:01pm Sep 17, 2025 2:01pm
A damn shame I didnt short for 100 pips.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,810
  • Sep 17, 2025 2:03pm Sep 17, 2025 2:03pm
Quoting gatorinla
A damn shame I didnt short for 100 pips.
same here, and i didnt closed all my longs at the top. Now let see if we continue to go up from here or start moving down. Let see how the day closed….

it is still bullish unless we closing below 1730-40 on a daily tf i think
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,811
  • Sep 17, 2025 2:16pm Sep 17, 2025 2:16pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} same here, and i didnt closed all my longs at the top. Now let see if we continue to go up from here or start moving down. Let see how the day closed…. it is still bullish unless we closing below 1730-40 on a daily tf i think
it hit 1818,, not 1817.. I may take a long shot there.
1812/17
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,812
  • Sep 17, 2025 2:19pm Sep 17, 2025 2:19pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Me obligaron a tp 1918 {image}
Excuse me, friend, how did you estimate the 1.1918 ?
Thanks
  • #124,813
  • Sep 17, 2025 2:40pm Sep 17, 2025 2:40pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} it hit 1818,, not 1817.. I may take a long shot there. 1812/17 {image}
1.185 will be a tough one now imo. probably range for a few months,
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #124,814
  • Sep 17, 2025 2:57pm Sep 17, 2025 2:57pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} it hit 1818,, not 1817.. I may take a long shot there. 1812/17 {image}
Gator does 1780-90 mean anything to you?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,815
  • Sep 17, 2025 3:28pm Sep 17, 2025 3:28pm
It looks to be breaking down.. 1773/74 is worth monitoring.. If can support or b/o with a sustained move below
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,816
  • Edited 3:52pm Sep 17, 2025 3:38pm | Edited 3:52pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} Gator does 1780-90 mean anything to you?
When its rejecting it may not really matter. I was using a quarter and a month. 1817 had little affect. So that makes the smaller less relevant
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,817
  • Sep 17, 2025 3:49pm Sep 17, 2025 3:49pm
Quoting gatorinla
I think in the 1918 area it may need to calibrate.. 1817-1918 could be a rangy area.. with 1861 center of them Need to be careful in the 1861/1918 area because the calendar and 1556 being a quarter number. With those 13 days it could fool us all. The latest month, week and day are bullish If bad usd news these last few weeks, has an opposite affect on pa. It may be 1556 pulling But as things stand.. Its all bullish...
If 1817 becomes resistance.. It may fall further
PA now is below the news release level
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  • #124,818
  • Sep 17, 2025 3:58pm Sep 17, 2025 3:58pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If 1817 becomes resistance.. It may fall further PA now is below the news release level {image}
yea though its remain a bull trend but with this strong rejection candle, bull has weaken.

also now a rate cut has landed, usdx bouncing off key support level. It may carry on for a bit.

unless we closing back above 1850
for tomorrow we may still try to retest 1850 if 1818 is not blocking
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,819
  • Sep 17, 2025 4:06pm Sep 17, 2025 4:06pm
I dont know how this will end up -1727 may break the bulls back. I see some possible support 1727/41..To get there 1817 resist and 1774 breaks down
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  • #124,820
  • Sep 17, 2025 4:08pm Sep 17, 2025 4:08pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea though its remain a bull trend but with this strong rejection candle, bull has weaken. also now a rate cut has landed, usdx bouncing off key support level. It may carry on for a bit. unless we closing back above 1850 for tomorrow we may still try to retest 1850 if 1818 is not blocking
the rate cuts are due to bad economic news. That's fluid to the world's currencies. If the u.s. buys less, others sell less. It pumped here.. It will find its equilibrium.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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