Only EURUSD | Page 847 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread

Related Instruments

EUR/USD

Similar Threads

Trading EURUSD only 43,756 replies

Eurusd-5m Trading Only 110 replies

LIVE Trades Only : EURUSD & GBPUSD 123 replies

Strategy behind 1 EA (buy only) and 1 EA (sell only) 2 replies

Script to change EA to long only/ short only at a price level? 1 reply

Attachments: Only EURUSD
Exit Attachments

Only EURUSD

  • #16,921
  • Sep 16, 2025 9:41am Sep 16, 2025 9:41am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} First I've got 1.1909 & 1.1975 as targets above 1.1851!
I agree short term - I'm more of a swing so I'm waiting until 1.20 but I don't see this stopping until 1.2
  • #16,922
  • Sep 16, 2025 9:42am Sep 16, 2025 9:42am
Also would like to see this even if its hard as 1830 is broken!

4H
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2025-09-16_17-41-12.png Size: 93 KB
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #16,923
  • Sep 16, 2025 9:46am Sep 16, 2025 9:46am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Also would like to see this even if it hard as 1830 is broken! 4H {image}
sharing the same plan here! Let see if bull gets tired now and will leave some unfinished business for fomc tomorrow.

ok back to bed
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #16,924
  • Sep 16, 2025 9:54am Sep 16, 2025 9:54am
Quoting js3mwtrc
after strong news the pair should likely pull back from highs as traders reduce their long positions, before fed. Long term this is up!
i told you guys that bulls momentum is super sonic
  • #16,925
  • Sep 16, 2025 9:55am Sep 16, 2025 9:55am
Quoting Meer-Shayhak
{quote} Looks like markets are focused on tomorrow FOMC that's why markets are not reacting ... and EU is over bought right now so we might consolidate a bit or retrace lower either way .. I will look for buy opportunities unless the FOMC wouldn't change the direction of the trend
This is how AI is explaining today's BUYING dips desite strong data
What could this mean for tomorrow with the Fed?

1. Most logical scenario:
Big players didn’t buy today to hold long term — they bought to sell higher tomorrow, when liquidity will be at its peak during the Fed decision.
That would mean the real direction = SELL EUR/USD after the Fed.

2. Alternative (less likely):
If the Fed turns ultra-dovish (signals more rate cuts), then today’s buying could be positioning for long EUR/USD.
But it would take a big dovish shock.

In short:
Today’s buying, despite strong data is most likely a trap — big players preparing for tomorrow’s SELL.
Read Charts - Not Papers
  • #16,926
  • Sep 16, 2025 9:59am Sep 16, 2025 9:59am
Quoting halkins
{quote} this is how ai is explaining today's buying dips desite strong data What could this mean for tomorrow with the fed? 1. Most logical scenario: Big players didn’t buy today to hold long term — they bought to sell higher tomorrow, when liquidity will be at its peak during the fed decision. That would mean the real direction = sell eur/usd after the fed. 2. Alternative (less likely): If the fed turns ultra-dovish (signals more rate cuts), then today’s buying could be positioning...
to me ai is deceiving, you can literally know eu even just by makert structure. Look at the h4 & daily timeframe you will know what the big boys are doing
  • #16,927
  • Sep 16, 2025 10:14am Sep 16, 2025 10:14am
Quoting halkins
{quote} This is how AI is explaining today's BUYING dips desite strong data What could this mean for tomorrow with the Fed? 1. Most logical scenario: Big players didn’t buy today to hold long term — they bought to sell higher tomorrow, when liquidity will be at its peak during the Fed decision. That would mean the real direction = SELL EUR/USD after the Fed. 2. Alternative (less likely): If the Fed turns ultra-dovish (signals more rate cuts), then today’s buying could be positioning...
It's totally possible .... they might reverse the trade .... but lets see what will happen tomorrow
  • #16,928
  • Sep 16, 2025 10:28am Sep 16, 2025 10:28am
Quoting halkins
{quote} This is how AI is explaining today's BUYING dips desite strong data What could this mean for tomorrow with the Fed? 1. Most logical scenario: Big players didn’t buy today to hold long term — they bought to sell higher tomorrow, when liquidity will be at its peak during the Fed decision. That would mean the real direction = SELL EUR/USD after the Fed. 2. Alternative (less likely): If the Fed turns ultra-dovish (signals more rate cuts), then today’s buying could be positioning...
yeah in my experience i have noticed whenever fed start cutting rates the dollar gain strength..... remember the last bear trend ... the FED started cutting rates the usd kept gaining strength until trump took over the offlice ......

It's just my opinion
  • #16,929
  • Sep 16, 2025 10:40am Sep 16, 2025 10:40am
I see a lot of guys here who passed from the "guru's secrets strategy" to real data and macroeconomics analysis. Given this fact i was wondering if you re willing to work togheter and share valuable informations and who knows someday running our hedge fund.
  • #16,930
  • Sep 16, 2025 11:11am Sep 16, 2025 11:11am
Eurusd broke above the 1.1790 resistance level today and rose above 1.1800, seemingly unaffected by positive U.S. news. This move, driven by anticipation of tomorrow's FOMC event, appears to be leading the pair toward logically higher levels, such as 1.1900. For now, nothing seems to be helping sellers, but potential hawkish comments from Powell tomorrow could change that, so every word should be carefully analyzed.

It was nice trading with all, have a great rest of the day!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #16,931
  • Sep 16, 2025 11:36am Sep 16, 2025 11:36am
what i see is that, tommorow we may see a big and very quick pullback because of the news then the trend (bull momentum) continues

what to do is to stay to your strategy

again make sure you dont trade against the trend, always trend is your friend
  • #16,932
  • Sep 16, 2025 11:45am Sep 16, 2025 11:45am
Quoting Meer-Shayhak
{quote} yeah in my experience i have noticed whenever fed start cutting rates the dollar gain strength..... remember the last bear trend ... the FED started cutting rates the usd kept gaining strength until trump took over the offlice ...... It's just my opinion
yea looks all just like last Sep but the only difference is Trump who threaten the Fed independence, started the tariff, and wanted weak dollarsc
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #16,933
  • Sep 16, 2025 11:45am Sep 16, 2025 11:45am
I had a buy limit @1810 before news. After seeing Green news I cancelled the order and went for a party.. Now after coming back to home, I found that I missed the party in forex.
never try to catch a falling knife
  • #16,934
  • Sep 16, 2025 11:46am Sep 16, 2025 11:46am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Eurusd broke above the 1.1790 resistance level today and rose above 1.1800, seemingly unaffected by positive U.S. news. This move, driven by anticipation of tomorrow's FOMC event, appears to be leading the pair toward logically higher levels, such as 1.1900. For now, nothing seems to be helping sellers, but potential hawkish comments from Powell tomorrow could change that, so every word should be carefully analyzed. It was nice trading with all, have a great rest of the day!
i hav been woken up by price alert as usdx hit 96.60. I do have some support here.

if we have done this far before fomc, wonder what fomc can bring us tomorrow? Another 100-200 pips up straight to 1.2?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #16,935
  • Sep 16, 2025 11:55am Sep 16, 2025 11:55am
Quoting johncen
{quote} i hav been woken up by price alert as usdx hit 96.60. I do have some support here. if we have done this far before fomc, wonder what fomc can bring us tomorrow? Another 100-200 pips up straight to 1.2?
I'm counting on it
  • #16,936
  • Sep 16, 2025 11:59am Sep 16, 2025 11:59am
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea looks all just like last Sep but the only difference is Trump who threaten the Fed independence, started the tariff, and wanted weak dollarsc
yeah this is the reason why I'm hesitating to look for short... I'm bullish on EU until the support at 1.17200-1.17300 breaks...
  • #16,937
  • Sep 16, 2025 12:20pm Sep 16, 2025 12:20pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} i hav been woken up by price alert as usdx hit 96.60. I do have some support here. if we have done this far before fomc, wonder what fomc can bring us tomorrow? Another 100-200 pips up straight to 1.2?
Probably something like that which brings up the question of how do people claim that the market has the fed cuts priced in already or pricing them in now?
Consistency is key
  • #16,938
  • Sep 16, 2025 10:41pm Sep 16, 2025 10:41pm
The EUR/USD stayed below yesterday's new high of 1.1879 and is holding near 1.1850, where it has found temporary support. This is above the significant broken resistance level of 1.1830, which is now support. I expect more upside towards 1.1900/09, and if it breaks, then 1.1975 could be seen, but not if a correction happens below 1.1830. If it corrects below that level, then 1.1800-1.1790 should be seen next.

Have a great day!


Daily volatility (range) 61 pips

Option expiries for Wednesday: 1.1850 (EU1.46b), 1.1040 (EU923.9m), 1.0400 (EU909m) source: financialjuice.com

Significant news - US Interest Rate

1H
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2025-09-17_06-38-37.png Size: 77 KB
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #16,939
  • Sep 16, 2025 11:20pm Sep 16, 2025 11:20pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
The EUR/USD stayed below yesterday's new high of 1.1879 and is holding near 1.1850, where it has found temporary support. This is above the significant broken resistance level of 1.1830, which is now support. I expect more upside towards 1.1900/09, and if it breaks, then 1.1975 could be seen, but not if a correction happens below 1.1830. If it corrects below that level, then 1.1800-1.1790 should be seen next. Have a great day! Daily volatility (range) 61 pips Option expiries for Wednesday: 1.1850 (EU1.46b),...
bull is likely to continue higher after breaking out of that consolidation zone since July unless Powell is super hawkish to shock the market.
market may come back down for a bit due to profit taking but 1850 must give the way
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #16,940
  • Sep 16, 2025 11:21pm Sep 16, 2025 11:21pm
As a trendline trader am finding it hard to draw trendline after the move yesterday
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
23 traders viewing now, 1 is registered:
Mahan47