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The Swamp

  • #124,761
  • Sep 16, 2025 6:59am Sep 16, 2025 6:59am
Quoting axecap
{quote} Ive had 1849 for some weeks. I now expect it to break to the upside.
if retail sales data is bad then
yes highly likely!
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,762
  • Sep 16, 2025 7:01am Sep 16, 2025 7:01am
Quoting johncen
{quote} bull is strong, we are not even touching 1794-95
I have 1.1875 as the top. What is your view, please share your input
  • #124,763
  • Sep 16, 2025 7:03am Sep 16, 2025 7:03am
Quoting mars1
{quote} I have 1.1875 as the top. What is your view, please share your input
i have no top in mind as there is no sign for sell so… i dnt want to guess the top
1.2 has been the target for bull for this year
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,764
  • Sep 16, 2025 7:07am Sep 16, 2025 7:07am
Quoting johncen
{quote} i have no top in mind as there is no sign for sell so… i dnt want to guess the top 1.2 has been the target for bull for this year
Thank you for sharing your thoughts. Much appreciated
  • #124,765
  • Sep 16, 2025 7:16am Sep 16, 2025 7:16am
I have no idea if it will retrace some. I have it as bullish above 1794.. But often it will pass over 1794 about 20 pips (1774). The 1772/75 area checks a lot of boxes for me. It may be a good bounce area.. That with 1817ish for some retrace.. and 1861 ish could also. on the way toward 1918
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,766
  • Sep 16, 2025 7:41am Sep 16, 2025 7:41am
Quoting gatorinla
I have no idea if it will retrace some. I have it as bullish above 1794.. But often it will pass over 1794 about 20 pips (1774). The 1772/75 area checks a lot of boxes for me. It may be a good bounce area.. That with 1817ish for some retrace.. and 1861 ish could also. on the way toward 1918 {image}
1786 also
But the 1772/76 area is likely a stronger support
these favor usd..
1758 may pull it.. Its a bullish trend ect. It has a shot for 1772 or 1758. 1786 may block.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,767
  • Sep 16, 2025 10:01am Sep 16, 2025 10:01am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1786 also But the 1772/76 area is likely a stronger support these favor usd.. 1758 may pull it.. Its a bullish trend ect. It has a shot for 1772 or 1758. 1786 may block. {image}
market simply just ignored the green usd data. 1850 reached we have done almost 100 pips today
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,768
  • Sep 16, 2025 10:07am Sep 16, 2025 10:07am
Quoting johncen
{quote} market simply just ignored the green usd data. 1850 reached we have done almost 100 pips today
dont trade against the trend, a trend is your friend. Trend is king in forex
  • #124,769
  • Sep 16, 2025 10:08am Sep 16, 2025 10:08am
Quoting innoswai
{quote} dont trade against the trend, a trend is your friend. Trend is king in forex
no plan selling, only thinking if longs if pull back happens
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,770
  • Sep 16, 2025 10:08am Sep 16, 2025 10:08am
Quoting johncen
{quote} market simply just ignored the green usd data. 1850 reached we have done almost 100 pips today
Yeah.. Its bullish.. It may not retrace.. 1794 area is a buy to me. It may not hit 1794.. that entire 1788/1817 area ca support.. I just wait for a buy. London has closed.. It may retrace some.. A possible buy may come
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,771
  • Sep 16, 2025 10:15am Sep 16, 2025 10:15am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Yeah.. Its bullish.. It may not retrace.. 1794 area is a buy to me. It may not hit 1794.. that entire 1788/1817 area ca support.. I just wait for a buy. London has closed.. It may retrace some.. A possible buy may come
even 1823 has support potential
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,772
  • Sep 16, 2025 11:29am Sep 16, 2025 11:29am
Quoting gatorinla
I have no idea if it will retrace some. I have it as bullish above 1794.. But often it will pass over 1794 about 20 pips (1774). The 1772/75 area checks a lot of boxes for me. It may be a good bounce area.. That with 1817ish for some retrace.. and 1861 ish could also. on the way toward 1918 {image}
ATM in the 1861 area. Its bullish, it may not retrace.. 1817 area may be a buy.. Earlier it did retrace some in the 1817 area.. It may now help support.. its bullish.. 1918 looks to be wanted
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,773
  • Sep 16, 2025 11:34am Sep 16, 2025 11:34am
Quoting johncen
{quote} no plan selling, only thinking if longs if pull back happens
what i see is that, tommorow we may see a big and very quick pullback because of the news then the trend (bull momentum) continues

what to do is to stay to your strategy

again make sure you dont trade against the trend, always trend is your friend
  • #124,774
  • Sep 16, 2025 11:43am Sep 16, 2025 11:43am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} ATM in the 1861 area. Its bullish, it may not retrace.. 1817 area may be a buy.. Earlier it did retrace some in the 1817 area.. It may now help support.. its bullish.. 1918 looks to be wanted
usdx at 96.60 where i have some supports marked near this area. But there is no sign of any retracement yet
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,775
  • Sep 16, 2025 1:45pm Sep 16, 2025 1:45pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} ATM in the 1861 area. Its bullish, it may not retrace.. 1817 area may be a buy.. Earlier it did retrace some in the 1817 area.. It may now help support.. its bullish.. 1918 looks to be wanted
So not even a 20 pip sell slide?
  • #124,776
  • Sep 16, 2025 2:04pm Sep 16, 2025 2:04pm
Quoting mars1
{quote} So not even a 20 pip sell slide?
not this day, bull momentum still strong
Rising and falling like waves in the ocean
  • #124,777
  • Sep 16, 2025 2:24pm Sep 16, 2025 2:24pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} ATM in the 1861 area. Its bullish, it may not retrace.. 1817 area may be a buy.. Earlier it did retrace some in the 1817 area.. It may now help support.. its bullish.. 1918 looks to be wanted
i have got a sell signal but near 1820 area may be max that it can get
fomc tomorrow, there are too much uncertainty but the bull trend can just carry on as long as Powell is meeting market expectation or exceed market expectation on rate cut
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,778
  • Sep 16, 2025 2:31pm Sep 16, 2025 2:31pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} ATM in the 1861 area. Its bullish, it may not retrace.. 1817 area may be a buy.. Earlier it did retrace some in the 1817 area.. It may now help support.. its bullish.. 1918 looks to be wanted
its using 1861 so far to support ..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,779
  • Sep 16, 2025 2:35pm Sep 16, 2025 2:35pm
Quoting mars1
{quote} So not even a 20 pip sell slide?
Maybe Asia into early London.. It bullish on indicators.. its bullish in structure. Its bullish on fundies. You may not see much retrace.. at 1918 area.. It may be harder to rise much more. We may see 1817 area first
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,780
  • Edited 4:59pm Sep 16, 2025 3:20pm | Edited 4:59pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} i have got a sell signal but near 1820 area may be max that it can get fomc tomorrow, there are too much uncertainty but the bull trend can just carry on as long as Powell is meeting market expectation or exceed market expectation on rate cut
No bear momemtum at this stage
last 4h candle looks more like continuation?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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