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  • #16,861
  • Sep 15, 2025 5:14am Sep 15, 2025 5:14am
Quoting halkins
{quote} Gooood. It finally broke out, but it didn't look well for an hour. There was huge SELL pressure around 1.1740, but eventually someone/something absorbed the entire flow.
Yes it can go on absorbing liquidity but seems weak yet!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #16,862
  • Sep 15, 2025 5:19am Sep 15, 2025 5:19am
We have news at 1:30 PM, and this could influence the next move.
From what I’ve gathered, there’s about a 65% chance the data comes out positive for the USD – which would likely pressure EUR/USD lower

However...
Any move DOWN today can be used by the big players to grab a better entry price before the real direction kicks in.
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  • #16,863
  • Sep 15, 2025 5:31am Sep 15, 2025 5:31am
Quoting halkins
We have news at 1:30 PM, and this could influence the next move. From what I’ve gathered, there’s about a 65% chance the data comes out positive for the USD – which would likely pressure EUR/USD lower However... Any move DOWN today can be used by the big players to grab a better entry price before the real direction kicks in. {image}
1762. For me this is before 1780. Eu will do it or wait for news!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #16,864
  • Sep 15, 2025 5:44am Sep 15, 2025 5:44am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} 1762. For me this is before 1780. Eu will do it or wait for news!
the trend is bullish for sure. But i still wanna buy lower if possible
might be too greedy.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #16,865
  • Sep 15, 2025 6:13am Sep 15, 2025 6:13am
Quoting johncen
{quote} the trend is bullish for sure. But i still wanna buy lower if possible might be too greedy.
yeah I am also waiting for a minor retracement to buy lower
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  • #16,866
  • Sep 15, 2025 6:46am Sep 15, 2025 6:46am
Quoting ngonlip
you are here now a pullback to test trend and higher if trend holds {image}

i want to knew from you.. which one news to trade on Wednesday. FOMC statement or FOMC press conference ?? Please reply
  • #16,867
  • Sep 15, 2025 7:48am Sep 15, 2025 7:48am
The Empire State Manufacturing Index results came back very negative.
I expect a decline, a liquidity grab at around 1.1750, and then a surge.
That's my plan for now.
If broken and first hit 1.1780, the idea is CANCELLED
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  • #16,868
  • Sep 15, 2025 8:45am Sep 15, 2025 8:45am
Quoting halkins
The Empire State Manufacturing Index results came back very negative. I expect a decline, a liquidity grab at around 1.1750, and then a surge. That's my plan for now. If broken and first hit 1.1780, the idea is CANCELLED {image}
This is how I played out the first LEG
I didn't buy where I wanted, cos I had to leave for half an hour...FFS
Just the life of a trader
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  • #16,869
  • Sep 15, 2025 9:28am Sep 15, 2025 9:28am
Quoting Arenn
{quote} i want to knew from you.. which one news to trade on Wednesday. FOMC statement or FOMC press conference ?? Please reply
I don't advice to trade on news but you can get positioned for an outcome on 4h and above timeframe. Also if you dont have a clue about better wait for the outcome of both (and the press conference) and then decide.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #16,870
  • Sep 15, 2025 9:28am Sep 15, 2025 9:28am
Quoting halkins
The Empire State Manufacturing Index results came back very negative. I expect a decline, a liquidity grab at around 1.1750, and then a surge. That's my plan for now. If broken and first hit 1.1780, the idea is CANCELLED {image}
With you on this!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #16,871
  • Sep 15, 2025 10:17am Sep 15, 2025 10:17am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} With you on this!
I believe its ready to shoot up for good but investors will wait to hear if the fed is more dovish so they can target above 1.1800. So until then I believe that at 1.1800 it should hit the pause.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #16,872
  • Sep 15, 2025 10:24am Sep 15, 2025 10:24am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} With you on this!
Ahh.. I was expecting a nice, strong, high-volume movement, not pushing a stroller in a nursing home
I am OUT !! End of trading for today.
Let the price go without me :-)
6-7 pips on the up move... I can't wait any longer.
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  • #16,873
  • Sep 15, 2025 11:01am Sep 15, 2025 11:01am
Quoting halkins
{quote} Ahh.. I was expecting a nice, strong, high-volume movement, not pushing a stroller in a nursing home I am OUT !! End of trading for today. Let the price go without me :-) 6-7 pips on the up move... I can't wait any longer. {image}
It should continue up but end of trading for me too! Was a good day after all!

See you tomorrow!
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  • #16,874
  • Sep 15, 2025 2:13pm Sep 15, 2025 2:13pm
Bull is strong and dominating breaking 1745 resistance and reached 177x just below 1780 level.
While bull trend is confirmed we just have to keep buying dips, 1730-40 above 1725 is a buy. Even if we see a deeper retrace tomorrow will just offer better position to load longs!

no bear!
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #16,875
  • Sep 15, 2025 10:36pm Sep 15, 2025 10:36pm
Bear is so dead… will we still get a pull back or will just keep pushing higher?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #16,876
  • Sep 15, 2025 10:36pm Sep 15, 2025 10:36pm
The EUR/USD advanced above 1.1775 after the opening, but is now hesitating near 1.1790-1.1800. If it can clear this resistance zone, then the 1.1830/45 levels should be targeted next. The 1.1750/57 support zone must hold for the pair to keep its upside momentum intact, or a drop to the next support at 1.1716 could occur.

Have a great day!


Daily volatility (range) 51 pips

Option expiries for Tuesday: 1.1800 (EU1.59b), 1.1750 (EU1.53b), 1.1550 (EU1.02b) source: financialjuice.com

Significant news - US Retail Sales & US Industrial Production

1H
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  • #16,877
  • Sep 15, 2025 10:37pm Sep 15, 2025 10:37pm
Quoting johncen
Bear is so dead… will we still get a pull back or will just keep pushing higher?
Watching the weekly R1 at 1790 with interest.

Have a great day!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #16,878
  • Sep 15, 2025 10:41pm Sep 15, 2025 10:41pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Watching the weekly R1 at 1790 with interest. Have a great day!
yea same here 1788 previous high

i may not get to load more at a lower price if we break above.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #16,879
  • Sep 15, 2025 11:31pm Sep 15, 2025 11:31pm
Quoting johncen
Bear is so dead… will we still get a pull back or will just keep pushing higher?
Definately we will see a Pull back, But it seems Bulls are incharge
  • #16,880
  • Sep 16, 2025 1:30am Sep 16, 2025 1:30am
More rate cuts are coming next months but fed might push back tomorrow. Also Lisa Cook seems will attend at the meeting and she is a hawk unless she changes her view after the last jobs report. Eurusd tomorrow might have a pumb and dump moment but I expect bulls to push later if it drops to a strong support level.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
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