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  • #16,841
  • Sep 14, 2025 10:30pm Sep 14, 2025 10:30pm
The EUR/USD dropped after the opening and after France was downgraded by Fitch, but the 1.1725 weekly pivot is holding. The trading range is between 1.1700 and 1.1748, and the market will mostly move based on news feeds, as the calendar is empty of significant economic releases. If the pair breaks outside this range, a potential momentum move could meet 1.1762/80 or 1.1800 on the upside and 1.1700 and 1.1670/60 on the downside next.

Have a great week!


Daily volatility (range) 48 pips

Option expiries for Monday: 1.1690 (EU1.07b), 1.1650 (EU794.1m) source: financialjuice.com

Significant news - US-China Trade Talks

1H
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  • #16,842
  • Sep 14, 2025 10:44pm Sep 14, 2025 10:44pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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That's how I see it.
all orders are closed in plus. Working 2009
Optinskijj All Time Profit: $2,322
  • #16,843
  • Sep 14, 2025 11:08pm Sep 14, 2025 11:08pm
Quoting Optinskijj
{image} That's how I see it.
shared similiar views here we might see another leg down to 1682 1666 level before 17th Sep.

fomc is likely to be bearish on dollars, just not sure if we will see a downtrend on a higher time frame. Usdx 96.4 key support level
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #16,844
  • Sep 15, 2025 12:21am Sep 15, 2025 12:21am
This week:

One is trying to land the plane and the other is trying to fly it higher—at the same time.
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  • #16,845
  • Sep 15, 2025 12:49am Sep 15, 2025 12:49am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
This week: One is trying to land the plane and the other is trying to fly it higher—at the same time. {image}
All news are pointing towards a weak dollars and after a whole months of consolidation if bull decided to take over may trigger quite a one-sided move i think


there is no sign of bear sadly

i have missed 1660 last week and hoping to get somewhere near to build longs~
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #16,846
  • Sep 15, 2025 1:12am Sep 15, 2025 1:12am
Quoting johncen
{quote} All news are pointing towards a weak dollars and after a whole months of consolidation if bull decided to take over may trigger quite a one-sided move i think there is no sign of bear sadly i have missed 1660 last week and hoping to get somewhere near to build longs~
Volatility is very low and an explosion is imminent. The up move is favoured and eu sentiment might be sour at the start of the week but I'm not sure if 1.1700 can give up.
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  • #16,847
  • Sep 15, 2025 1:29am Sep 15, 2025 1:29am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Volatility is very low and an explosion is imminent. The up move is favoured and eu sentiment might be sour at the start of the week but I'm not sure if 1.1700 can give up.
yea i will start building once we get close to 1700 and may add more if we go lower
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #16,848
  • Sep 15, 2025 1:43am Sep 15, 2025 1:43am
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea i will start building once we get close to 1700 and may add more if we go lower
I think it's ready for a rise again!
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  • #16,849
  • Edited 2:11am Sep 15, 2025 1:44am | Edited 2:11am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} I think it's ready for a rise again!
if hourly closed above 1722-24 i think yea it might go up first but i m thinking there may still be another leg down. Let see

only get to buy a small size bull bounced off 1715 (usdx 97.70 blocking for further up - support turns to resistance)
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #16,850
  • Sep 15, 2025 2:20am Sep 15, 2025 2:20am
Quoting johncen
{quote} if hourly closed above 1722-24 i think yea it might go up first but i m thinking there may still be another leg down. Let see only get to buy a small size bull bounced off 1715 (usdx 97.70 blocking for further up - support turns to resistance)
Bought too but not sure if it can rise above 1750!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #16,851
  • Sep 15, 2025 2:36am Sep 15, 2025 2:36am
Quoting johncen
{quote} if hourly closed above 1722-24 i think yea it might go up first but i m thinking there may still be another leg down. Let see only get to buy a small size bull bounced off 1715 (usdx 97.70 blocking for further up - support turns to resistance)
I am eyeing for the same idea .. waiting for the hourly close
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  • #16,852
  • Sep 15, 2025 3:10am Sep 15, 2025 3:10am
The hourly candle didn't close above where i wanted it to close
  • #16,853
  • Sep 15, 2025 3:38am Sep 15, 2025 3:38am
Quoting Meer-Shayhak
{quote} I am eyeing for the same idea .. waiting for the hourly close {image}
Seems we'll sit all day trying to buy this thing!
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  • #16,854
  • Sep 15, 2025 3:50am Sep 15, 2025 3:50am
waiting for 4h close i still think we may get another leg down to trick the bear! Just like what happened in the last couple of weeks, bear move until the news and we see a massive bull move
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #16,855
  • Sep 15, 2025 3:57am Sep 15, 2025 3:57am
Quoting johncen
waiting for 4h close i still think we may get another leg down to trick the bear! Just like what happened in the last couple of weeks, bear move until the news and we see a massive bull move
Yes, I've noticed this movement too; it happens all the time. It seems the market is adjusting the price level to keep it from getting too high, perhaps due to the EUR's current unfavorable conditions.
Rising and falling like waves in the ocean
  • #16,856
  • Sep 15, 2025 4:04am Sep 15, 2025 4:04am
Quoting Yogi88
{quote} Yes, I've noticed this movement too; it happens all the time. It seems the market is adjusting the price level to keep it from getting too high, perhaps due to the EUR's current unfavorable conditions.
euro zone bad news have been ignored recently. Mainly dominated by Fed news and movement.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #16,857
  • Sep 15, 2025 4:10am Sep 15, 2025 4:10am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Bought too but not sure if it can rise above 1750!
Hi. This is how I traded this morning.
I was heading towards 1.1750, but like many times before, "the market" changed its mind, so I grabbed what I had
maybe too early... but less hesitation and stress..
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  • #16,858
  • Sep 15, 2025 4:32am Sep 15, 2025 4:32am
Quoting Luxyus
{quote} Bessent once said on an interview that in his view at 1,20 EU will collapse, and i think he was right, so i don t expect this post liberation day rally can go there
Ooo! I am using Price action and smart money
Hi I'm Aayush.j
  • #16,859
  • Sep 15, 2025 4:37am Sep 15, 2025 4:37am
Quoting halkins
{quote} Hi. This is how I traded this morning. I was heading towards 1.1750, but like many times before, "the market" changed its mind, so I grabbed what I had maybe too early... but less hesitation and stress.. {image}
I took profits too at 1745 and 1750 achieved. The move up was fast in the begining but then stalled but made it. Now out because of Monday and will search for a new entry probably tomorrow. Just watching now!

Well done anyway, a win is a win no matter how small!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #16,860
  • Sep 15, 2025 4:51am Sep 15, 2025 4:51am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} I took profits too at 1745 and 1750 achieved. The move up was fast in the begining but then stalled but made it. Now out because of Monday and will search for a new entry probably tomorrow. Just watching now! Well done anyway, a win is a win no matter how small!
Gooood.
It finally broke out, but it didn't look well for an hour.
There was huge SELL pressure around 1.1740, but eventually someone/something absorbed the entire flow.
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