Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

Understanding the ICT Turtle Soup: Key Concepts and Setup



The ICT Turtle Soup is a trading pattern developed within the Inner Circle Trader (ICT) methodology. Built on principles of market psychology and liquidity hunting, this pattern is designed to exploit false breakouts around major support and resistance levels. It offers a way to anticipate reversals. In this article, we’ll break down what the Turtle Soup setup is, how it works, and the potential ways to integrate it into trading strategies.

The ICT Turtle Soup Pattern Explained
ICT Turtle Soup is a trading pattern developed by the Inner Circle Trader (ICT) that focuses on exploiting false breakouts in the market. This ICT price action strategy aims to identify and take advantage of situations where the price briefly moves beyond a major support or resistance level, only to reverse direction shortly after. This movement is often seen in ranging markets where prices oscillate between established highs and lows.
The concept behind ICT Turtle Soup trading is rooted in the idea of liquidity hunts and market imbalances. When the price breaks out, it often triggers stop-loss orders set by other traders, creating a temporary imbalance. The ICT Turtle Soup strategy seeks to capitalise on this by entering trades in the opposite direction once the breakout fails and the price returns to its previous range.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

NIO Share Price Shows Signs of Strength


This week, the media highlighted that the share price of NIO Inc. (NIO), the Chinese smart electric vehicle manufacturer, fell after management announced a $1 billion share offering to raise capital. The funds are intended to finance projects such as the development of EV charging infrastructure.

Indeed, on 10 September, a wide bearish gap appeared on the chart, but by 11 September (yesterday) the bulls had almost entirely recovered the decline. This indicates bullish strength, possibly supported by a solid fundamental backdrop, driven by:
→ the expansion of NIO’s model range (which now includes the budget ONVO brand as well as the premium Firefly series);
→ higher delivery volumes – in the latest reporting quarter the company delivered 72,056 vehicles, up 25.6% compared to the previous period.
The NIO Inc. (NIO) price chart points to further bullish signals.




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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

EUR/USD Falls Amid Rapidly Changing News Flow


There was important news yesterday. According to Forex Factory:
→ The ECB kept its main refinancing rate at 2.15% (as expected).
→ US data indicated a rise in inflation – albeit a moderate one. On a year-on-year basis, the CPI increased from 2.7% to 2.9%, in line with analysts’ expectations.

At the same time, all incoming news is being assessed by traders in light of the forthcoming Federal Reserve decision – according to media reports, yesterday’s data did not have a significant impact on market sentiment, and a 25-basis-point rate cut is still expected.
EUR/USD market movements suggest a balance, although some bearish signs are emerging.


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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Market Analysis: GBP/USD Retains Gains While EUR/GBP Falls


GBP/USD is showing positive signs above 1.3520. EUR/GBP declined and is now consolidating losses below 0.8660.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and EUR/GBP Analysis Today

 

1. The British Pound is attempting a fresh increase above 1.3520.
2. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.3555 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
3. EUR/GBP is trading in a bearish zone below the 0.8650 pivot level.
4. There is a major declining channel forming with resistance near 0.8655 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair remained well-bid above 1.3495. The British Pound started a decent increase above 1.3530 against the US Dollar.
The bulls were able to push the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.3550. The pair even climbed above 1.3580 and traded as high as 1.3582. Recently, there was a pullback below 1.3555 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.3495 swing low to the 1.3582 high.
However, the bulls were active near the 1.3530 support since it coincides with the 61.8% Fib retracement. The pair is again rising above 1.3555. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.3555.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Gold Price Stabilises Ahead of Central Bank Decisions


Following the ECB’s decision last week to leave interest rates unchanged, traders will closely monitor this week’s monetary policy announcements from the US Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, and other central banks from Toronto to Taipei.
As the XAU/USD chart shows today, the gold price has stabilised after its recent record highs, with investors adopting a wait-and-see stance. The ADX indicator is trending lower, suggesting a diminishing directional momentum.

Key Drivers Influencing Gold Prices

Market participants are almost fully convinced that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by a quarter point this week, while also pricing in the likelihood of further reductions next year amid signs of labour market weakness. Lower rates are generally seen as supportive for gold, making it a more attractive asset relative to yield-bearing US Treasuries.

Additional factors underpinning bullish sentiment include:
→ Weakness in the US dollar.
→ Persistent geopolitical tensions.
→ Pressure on the Fed from Donald Trump, who recently attempted to dismiss Board Governor Lisa Cook.
→ Central bank gold purchases.
On the other hand, profit-taking could dampen demand. Nevertheless, gold prices remain elevated.


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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Oracle (ORCL) Stock Price Pulls Back After Historic Surge


On 10 September 2025, ORCL shares soared by 36% in a single trading session:
→ the price reached an all-time high above $340;
→ Oracle’s co-founder and chairman, Larry Ellison, briefly became the world’s richest individual.

Why Did ORCL Shares Surge?
The rally was triggered by announcements of several multibillion-dollar deals in cloud infrastructure for artificial intelligence. Oracle revealed contracts worth a total of $300 billion, with clients including OpenAI, Nvidia, SoftBank, Meta, and Elon Musk’s xAI.

According to media reports:
→ CEO Safra Catz stated that the company’s Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) could soon exceed $500 billion;
→ analysts and investors began drawing comparisons between Oracle and Nvidia, positioning Oracle as a key player in the AI ecosystem by providing essential cloud infrastructure.
However, by the end of the week, ORCL shares had retreated by roughly 15% from their peak.


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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Liquidity Zones and Liquidity Voids: Analysing Price Dynamics


Liquidity zones and liquidity voids are important concepts for traders seeking to understand market structure and price dynamics. Price does not move randomly—it gravitates towards areas where liquidity is concentrated and reacts sharply when liquidity is absent. Liquidity zones and liquidity voids reveal the hidden footprints of institutional activity. Understanding them may help traders analyse market movements. This article uncovers how liquidity zones and liquidity voids function in market structure and shows their role on real-time price charts.

Understanding Liquidity in Trading
In trading, liquidity refers to the potential ease with which an asset can be bought or sold in the market without causing significant price changes. High liquidity means that there are enough buyers and sellers at any given price level, facilitating potentially smoother and more consistent transactions. This concept is critical because it affects how quickly and at what price a trader can enter or exit positions.
Assets with high liquidity tend to have tighter spreads between the buy and sell prices, potentially reducing the cost of trading. Conversely, assets with low liquidity can experience abrupt price movements due to the lack of a steady flow of orders. Understanding the liquidity of an asset may help traders make trading decisions and implement risk management.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Diamond Chart Pattern: Structure and Market Context


The diamond chart pattern is a rare yet important formation that often reflects the end of a prevailing trend. Characterised by an initial broadening phase followed by contraction, it reflects market indecision before momentum shifts decisively. The pattern serves as a reference point for analysing trend exhaustion and the structural changes that often accompany it.
In this article, we consider the structure, market psychology behind the pattern, and its practical application.

Overview of the Diamond Pattern
The diamond is a reversal chart pattern. It typically occurs after an extended trend and indicates a period of consolidation before a potential breakout in the opposite direction.
The diamond pattern can be either bearish or bullish, and it is also known as the diamond top pattern and diamond bottom pattern for trading. A bearish formation typically occurs during an uptrend and signals a potential reversal to the downside, while a bullish diamond pattern in trading forms during a downtrend and signals a potential reversal to the upside.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

What Is a PD Array in ICT, and How Can You Use It in Trading?


In ICT trading methodology, the PD Array—short for Premium and Discount Array—refers to a framework used to interpret how price moves within market structure. It provides a way of analysing price action by categorising reference points such as support, resistance, and liquidity levels. The PD Array is used by traders to place market activity into context rather than relying on isolated signals. This article breaks down what a PD Array is, its components, and how it might be applied within ICT concepts.

What Is a PD Array?
An ICT PD array, short for Premium and Discount array, is a concept developed by Michael J. Huddleston, the mind behind the Inner Circle Trader (ICT) methodology. At its core, the PD array is a framework used to organise price levels and zones on a chart where significant institutional activity is likely to occur. These zones highlight areas of interest such as potential support or resistance, points where liquidity resides, or regions that might attract price movement.

The PD array divides the market into two primary zones: premium and discount. These zones may help traders gauge whether the price is above or below its equilibrium, often calculated using the 50% level of a significant price range. In practical terms, prices in the premium zone are typically considered attractive in a downtrend and unattractive in an uptrend, while prices in the discount zone are more attractive in an uptrend and less attractive in a downtrend.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

GBP/USD Rate at 2-Month High


As the GBP/USD chart shows, the pair is trading this morning above 1.3620 – its highest level since the beginning of July.
The bullish sentiment is driven by the divergence in central bank policies:

→ United States: Traders are betting on an interest rate cut, supported by President Trump. The Federal Reserve will announce its decision tomorrow at 21:00 GMT+3, and the market expects a reduction of at least 0.25%, from 4.25%–4.50% to 4.00%–4.25%.

→ United Kingdom: Traders anticipate the rate will remain at 4.00%. The Bank of England will announce its decision on Thursday at 14:00 GMT+3.
Although the rates of the two central banks are comparable, the situation differs: in the UK, inflation is more persistent and rate cuts are seen as risky, while in the US, President Trump is exerting pressure on the Fed’s leadership.

An additional boost for the pound comes from a wave of investment optimism linked to US President Donald Trump’s state visit to the UK. According to media reports, agreements worth around $10 billion are expected to be announced during the visit.


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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Tesla (TSLA) Stock Price Rises Above $400


As the chart shows, Tesla (TSLA) stocks are displaying strong market momentum. In particular, the price:
→ is above the psychological level of $400;
→ has reached its highest levels since late January;
→ has gained around 25% since the beginning of September.

Why Is TSLA Rising?
The main news driving the price surge was a media report that Elon Musk had purchased $1 billion worth of Tesla stock. The market interpreted this as commitment and confidence in the company’s future from its founder, which sharply increased demand for the shares.
Other factors contributing to TSLA’s rise include:
→ Expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut to stimulate the economy. This makes growth stocks such as Tesla more attractive to investors.
→ Reduced tensions between Elon Musk and President Trump’s administration. This removes some of the political risks that had weighed on the stock.


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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Spotting Market Momentum: 5 Popular Momentum Indicators



Momentum indicators are important tools for traders seeking to evaluate the strength and speed of price movements. These technical analysis instruments are used by traders to identify potential entry and exit points, confirm market signals, and filter market noise. In this article, we review five momentum indicators that remain widely used by traders to support them in their decision-making in volatile markets.

What Is a Momentum Indicator?
Momentum in technical analysis refers to the rate at which an asset's price accelerates or decelerates. Understanding momentum may assist traders in identifying potential trend continuations or reversals.

A momentum indicator is a technical analysis tool that measures how quickly and strongly an asset’s price is moving. Instead of showing the direction of the trend, it highlights the strength behind price movements. By comparing price changes over a set period, momentum indicators can help traders see if a market is gaining or losing strength. This information is often used to spot potential overbought or oversold conditions and to identify possible entry or exit points.
A stock momentum indicator like the Relative Strength Index (RSI), for instance, may indicate that stocks are currently bought or sold too heavily and their price is due for a reversal.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Market Analysis: EUR/USD Rallies While USD/JPY Shows Weakness


EUR/USD started a decent upward move above 1.1770. USD/JPY declined below 147.00 and is currently consolidating losses.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/JPY Analysis Today

 

1. The Euro found support and started a recovery wave above the 1.1770 resistance zone.
2. There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 1.1825 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
3. USD/JPY is trading in a bearish zone below 147.00.
4. There is a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at 146.65 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from 1.1660. The pair even settled above 1.1800 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 1.1880 resistance. A high is formed near 1.1878 and the pair is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1660 swing low to the 1.1878 high.

Immediate support is near a connecting bullish trend at 1.1825. The next area of interest could be 1.1795 and the 50-hour simple moving average.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

The Market Awaits the Fed’s Decision: Euro and Franc at Yearly Highs


European currencies continued their rally this week, setting fresh yearly highs: the euro and the Swiss franc consolidated at new levels, supported by a weaker US dollar and expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut. The key question remains whether this rise will develop into a new bullish impulse or give way to a correction.
Today, the Federal Reserve is set to deliver its crucial interest rate decision. The market is almost certain of a 25-basis-point cut, driven by signs of a cooling labour market. The decision comes against a backdrop of unprecedented political pressure and ongoing legal proceedings, raising concerns about the Fed’s independence and the composition of its board.

Investors will focus closely on Jerome Powell’s comments and the updated macroeconomic projections, which are expected to provide guidance for the remaining meetings this year. The central intrigue is the size of the rate reduction the Fed will signal. A dovish Fed stance could support further gains for the euro and the franc against the dollar, while a cautious tone would heighten the risk of a pullback. However, the further trajectory of EUR/USD and USD/CHF will depend not only on Powell’s rhetoric but also on incoming data from the US, the eurozone, and Switzerland.

EUR/USD


The EUR/USD pair yesterday broke out of the 1.1570–1.1760 range, where it had been trading for several weeks. A new yearly high was recorded at 1.1830. Technical analysis suggests the potential for further upside towards 1.1900–1.2000, provided that 1.1830 holds as a support level. However, if the daily candle closes below 1.1830 in the coming days, a downward correction may follow.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

S&P 500 Index Holds Near Record High Ahead of Fed Announcement


At 21:00 GMT+3 today, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision, followed by Jerome Powell’s press conference. The rate is widely expected to be cut from 4.25%–4.50% to 4.00%–4.25%.
This will conclude a prolonged intrigue fuelled by President Trump:
→ his constant criticism of Powell for pursuing an “overly tight” policy;
→ the decision to dismiss Federal Reserve Board member Lisa Cook, which markets perceived as direct pressure on the regulator’s independence.

In anticipation of the outcome, traders are showing optimism. The S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) reached a new all-time high yesterday, climbing above 6,640 points. This morning the price pulled back slightly, which can be interpreted as a short-term correction ahead of a key event. Effectively, the market has already priced in the expected policy easing, viewing it as a catalyst for further growth.


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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Double Blow for the USD/CAD Market


Today, the USD/CAD market faces a “double blow” from central banks:
→ At 16:45 GMT+3, the Bank of Canada will announce its decision. The rate is expected to be cut from 2.75% to 2.50%.
→ At 21:00 GMT+3, the Federal Reserve will follow with its own rate announcement.
Both events will be accompanied by statements from the central bank chairmen on future outlooks, and the USD/CAD market is likely to experience heightened volatility today.


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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Scalping Tools: Indicators for Short-Term Trading


Scalping is a trading style based on frequent transactions within short timeframes, often lasting only a few seconds or minutes. The objective is to capture small fluctuations in price that occur during active market conditions. To manage such rapid decision-making, traders look for tools that can help them catch minor price changes. Technical indicators are among them. They can provide structured signals for entry and exit points. This article outlines the indicators frequently used in scalping and describes how they are applied in intraday trading.

Understanding Scalping Indicators
As you may know, scalping is a trading strategy where traders aim to take advantage of small price movements by executing numerous trades within short timeframes, often closing trades within a few minutes. This approach requires swift decision-making and precise timing.
Technical indicators may be important tools in this context, as they provide real-time data and insights into market trends, momentum, and volatility. Using these indicators, traders can identify optimal entry and exit points, potentially enhancing their ability to navigate the rapid pace of the market.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

The Dollar and the Pound Shift Course As Markets Assess Central Bank Decisions


The US dollar fell sharply on Wednesday following the Federal Reserve’s decision to cut rates by 0.25%. However, by the end of the session it had regained part of its losses, reflecting ongoing uncertainty over the regulator’s next moves. The pound, meanwhile, after an initial rise on the back of the weaker dollar, turned lower ahead of today’s Bank of England meeting, which could bring fresh volatility to the GBP/USD pair. The Bank of Canada meeting also added to the overall market mood, with the regulator signalling a cautious stance on future policy.

During today’s trading, the market’s attention is focused on fresh US releases: labour market data, initial jobless claims, as well as the Philadelphia Fed’s business activity index and capital expenditure figures. These numbers could either support a corrective rebound in the dollar or renew pressure if they confirm an economic slowdown. For the pound, the key drivers will be the outcome of the Bank of England’s voting and accompanying statements, with uncertainty still surrounding how far the regulator is willing to go in easing policy.

USD/CAD


Yesterday, the price tested 1.3730 and bounced sharply from that level, forming a bullish piercing line pattern. Technical analysis of USD/CAD suggests a potential continuation of the rise towards 1.3800–1.3820, in line with confirmation of the mentioned pattern. Should negative US data emerge, the pair may fall back towards 1.3730–1.3760.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Gold Price Falls After Fed Decision


Yesterday, as expected, the Fed lowered its rate from 4.25%–4.50% to 4%–4.25%. Although rate cuts are generally seen as supportive for gold, the XAU/USD chart shows bearish price dynamics: after a short-term spike above $3700 (a new all-time high), gold retreated sharply, forming a long bearish candlestick (marked with a red arrow).

This may be explained by the fact that expectations of a rate cut had already been priced in, while at the press conference the Fed Chair struck a less “dovish” tone than the market had hoped for. While Jerome Powell did voice concerns about the labour market, he gave no clear signal of readiness for aggressive or rapid further cuts.


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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Nasdaq 100 Analysis: Index Hits All-Time High


As the chart shows, today the Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) has, for the first time in history, climbed above the 24,500 level.
According to media reports, bullish sentiment was driven by the long-awaited Fed decision to cut interest rates for the first time in 2025.
Although the Fed also indicated it would remain cautious about further cuts, the easing acted as a bullish catalyst for the entire stock market – European equities also advanced today, with technology companies leading the way.


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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.