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  • #16,581
  • Sep 7, 2025 3:00am Sep 7, 2025 3:00am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
The EUR/USD reached 1.1759 after weak US NFP numbers failed to keep it below 1.1700. Technically, the trend is up, but the pair is still ranging in a choppy pattern below the 1.1830 significant resistance on the daily chart, which remains the buyers target. A close above 1.1743 was not achieved, and the pair gave up some gains, closing below that level but still above the 1.1700 round number, which should act as support for further advances. Additional support can be found at the 1.1681/69 broken zone and the 1.1630 swing low on the 4-hour chart....
Its all bullish and opened up 1780 and 1800+

but bull did failed to close above 1730 so let see what happened on Monday, it may still be buying dip if it comes back to 1682 1667
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #16,582
  • Sep 7, 2025 3:26am Sep 7, 2025 3:26am
price is rejecting from an Daily decisional supply
also the dollar is weak lets see
if we can sell here with structure shift confirmation
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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risk and rise
  • #16,583
  • Sep 7, 2025 4:38am Sep 7, 2025 4:38am
Seems like no further update on French confidence vote? Thought its on Monday and highly likely the current govt will not survive. Euro should under pressure with this
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #16,584
  • Sep 7, 2025 5:10am Sep 7, 2025 5:10am
Quoting johncen
Seems like no further update on French confidence vote? Thought its on Monday and highly likely the current govt will not survive. Euro should under pressure with this
France's problems should already be priced in, and they losing a PM is just a normal Monday for them. Barnier lasted 3 months and the guy before him less than a year.
  • #16,585
  • Sep 7, 2025 5:32am Sep 7, 2025 5:32am
Quoting johncen
Seems like no further update on French confidence vote? Thought its on Monday and highly likely the current govt will not survive. Euro should under pressure with this
There is no official schedule but the outcome of the vote is expected to be sometime around 1730-1800 GMT.
  • #16,586
  • Sep 7, 2025 7:00am Sep 7, 2025 7:00am
Quoting Polimini
{quote} France's problems should already be priced in, and they losing a PM is just a normal Monday for them. Barnier lasted 3 months and the guy before him less than a year.
yea true but if it indicates a potential early election it brings uncertainty
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #16,587
  • Sep 7, 2025 7:52am Sep 7, 2025 7:52am
Good Thread..
Kinda seems like we will keep flying EURUSD in the next week.
Last NFP has led dollar to the depth of sea.
Now this will send it to the abyss.
  • #16,588
  • Sep 7, 2025 8:04am Sep 7, 2025 8:04am
Quoting 1 in 1 out
{quote} There is no official schedule but the outcome of the vote is expected to be sometime around 1730-1800 GMT.
PM speech starts at 14:00 CET and voting starts at 15:00 CET. And its not priced in.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #16,589
  • Sep 7, 2025 10:51am Sep 7, 2025 10:51am
Fundamental

The Euro is the direct subject of this political turmoil. The uncertainty and risk associated with the French government's likely collapse will weaken the currency.

Therefore, my prediction for EURUSD is down

I expect the Euro to depreciate against the US Dollar as the market prices in the increased political risk and fiscal uncertainty in France. The vote on Monday is the main event.

Technical

1.1800 should be reached this week
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #16,590
  • Sep 7, 2025 12:58pm Sep 7, 2025 12:58pm
Up 25 pips over the weekend
EURUSD Weekend IG
Consistency is key
  • #16,591
  • Sep 7, 2025 1:06pm Sep 7, 2025 1:06pm
I wanted to start buying EU but it seems like EU has formed a triple top pattern and has returned back below the Trendline and the resistance zone .. The RSI and Stochastic both signaling sell on H4.. so i might consider a sell with additional confirmations on monday
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  • #16,592
  • Sep 7, 2025 1:57pm Sep 7, 2025 1:57pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Fundamental The Euro is the direct subject of this political turmoil. The uncertainty and risk associated with the French government's likely collapse will weaken the currency. Therefore, my prediction for EURUSD is down I expect the Euro to depreciate against the US Dollar as the market prices in the increased political risk and fiscal uncertainty in France. The vote on Monday is the main event. Technical 1.1800 should be reached this week
fundamental and technical does not align

still mixed signals as the week didnt closed above 1730. Let see what we will get this week, green pips
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #16,593
  • Sep 7, 2025 4:10pm Sep 7, 2025 4:10pm
Quoting GainingBucks
Up 25 pips over the weekend EURUSD Weekend IG
ig has not been too accurate to predict weekly open lately
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #16,594
  • Sep 7, 2025 6:46pm Sep 7, 2025 6:46pm
Bounced off daily pivot and trendline for now
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #16,595
  • Sep 7, 2025 10:40pm Sep 7, 2025 10:40pm
The EUR/USD is trading around 1.1700, and it seems to be holding here for a potential move up to test the 1.1759 high. If the momentum is strong, it could reach 1.1789 next. On the other hand, a drop below the round number would find it targeting the 1.1682 and 1.1669 broken resistance levels and Friday's low of 1.1643.

Have a great week!


Daily volatility (range) 56 pips

Option expiries for Monday: 1.1700 (EU1.85b), 1.1600 (EU1.57b), 1.1750 (EU1.47b) source: financialjuice.com

Significant news - French PM Vote of Confidence

1H
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2025-09-08_06-38-24.png Size: 59 KB
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #16,596
  • Sep 7, 2025 11:24pm Sep 7, 2025 11:24pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
The EUR/USD is trading around 1.1700, and it seems to be holding here for a potential move up to test the 1.1759 high. If the momentum is strong, it could reach 1.1789 next. On the other hand, a drop below the round number would find it targeting the 1.1682 and 1.1669 broken resistance levels and Friday's low of 1.1643. Have a great week! Daily volatility (range) 56 pips Option expiries for Monday: 1.1700 (EU1.85b), 1.1600 (EU1.57b), 1.1750 (EU1.47b) source: financialjuice.com Significant news - French PM...
French PM Vote of Confidence. Need a reason to sweep below 1.17 for liquidity (before NFP).
  • #16,597
  • Sep 7, 2025 11:26pm Sep 7, 2025 11:26pm
Quoting keyc
{quote} French PM Vote of Confidence. Need a reason to sweep below 1.17 for liquidity (before NFP).
Lets see. The market will focus on this, Ukraine and us cpi this week. If news on feeds are sour then 1.1600 should be revisited!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #16,598
  • Sep 7, 2025 11:50pm Sep 7, 2025 11:50pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Lets see. The market will focus on this, Ukraine and us cpi this week. If news on feeds are sour then 1.1600 should be revisited!
1706 remain supporting but we are out of that upward trendline, let see what next!

1694 1682 1667 next, there are quite a bit of support piling below
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #16,599
  • Sep 8, 2025 12:16am Sep 8, 2025 12:16am
Quoting johncen
{quote} 1706 remain supporting but we are out of that upward trendline, let see what next! 1694 1682 1667 next, there are quite a bit of support piling below
So resistance! Many levels to test on the upside that this range might keep playing forever!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #16,600
  • Sep 8, 2025 12:27am Sep 8, 2025 12:27am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} So resistance! Many levels to test on the upside that this range might keep playing forever!
bull is trying again! Let see!
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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