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  • #16,521
  • Sep 4, 2025 9:11pm Sep 4, 2025 9:11pm
Breakout of downward trendline. 1656 and 1667 didnt manage to stop so 1682 should be revisted
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #16,522
  • Sep 4, 2025 10:35pm Sep 4, 2025 10:35pm
The EUR/USD rose after the open at 1.1674, a high above yesterday's high, on expectations of a September rate cut due to cooling jobs data. Support at 1.1630, together with 1.1600/08, should hold for more upside above 1.1682, towards 1.1700/30 and 1.1743/49. If the pair fails to hold, then 1.1574 should be the next level of support.

Have a great day!


Daily volatility (range) 131 pips

Option expiries for Friday: 1.1600 (EU2.64b), 1.1550 (EU1.69b), 1.1800 (EU1.27b) source: financialjuice.com

Significant news - US NFP

1H
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #16,523
  • Sep 4, 2025 10:37pm Sep 4, 2025 10:37pm
Quoting johncen
Breakout of downward trendline. 1656 and 1667 didnt manage to stop so 1682 should be revisted {image}
Today the madness begin!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #16,524
  • Sep 4, 2025 10:52pm Sep 4, 2025 10:52pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Today the madness begin!
big day! We should see better movement from today. Just not sure about the direction.

or we see more consolidation until fomc?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #16,525
  • Sep 4, 2025 11:14pm Sep 4, 2025 11:14pm
I have not done much this week as the market is going sideways so hopefully with nfp tonight we can get out of the current range or gives a clearer direction on where we want to go next.

as of now I am thinking a pump and a dump, buy rumours and sell fact. Not sure how much we have priced in a 25 basis points cut on 17 Sep, unless nfp was so bad the market starting to expect 50 basis points, there should not be much room to go up. But if we sustained above 1715 1730. Omg….. market may want 1.2.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #16,526
  • Sep 4, 2025 11:28pm Sep 4, 2025 11:28pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} big day! We should see better movement from today. Just not sure about the direction. or we see more consolidation until fomc?
You know eu is a ranging pair the most but today the odds are half! Only if a surprise at news and movement will be huge and sudden. The only good day was at Tuesday!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #16,527
  • Sep 4, 2025 11:30pm Sep 4, 2025 11:30pm
Quoting johncen
I have not done much this week as the market is going sideways so hopefully with nfp tonight we can get out of the current range or gives a clearer direction on where we want to go next. as of now I am thinking a pump and a dump, buy rumours and sell fact. Not sure how much we have priced in a 25 basis points cut on 17 Sep, unless nfp was so bad the market starting to expect 50 basis points, there should not be much room to go up. But if we sustained above 1715 1730. Omg….. market may want 1.2.
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #16,528
  • Sep 5, 2025 12:56am Sep 5, 2025 12:56am
The opening of the day is at 1.1650. The 4-hour candle open is at 1.1667.

Below is the H1 chart with green lines indicating bullish support levels, and blue lines representing bearish support levels. The wind is favoring the bulls.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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This is a mega, superb, and top-tier support level — a powerful, ultra-robust support zone with magic bullish hand 1.1600 level.
We can confidently call it the Boomerang Level
It’s been a bouncing trampoline for the bulls for weeks, working perfectly
  • #16,529
  • Sep 5, 2025 1:34am Sep 5, 2025 1:34am
EURUSD H1
trendlines

R 1.1680-90 medium
R 1.1720 strong
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #16,530
  • Sep 5, 2025 1:40am Sep 5, 2025 1:40am
Quoting Lordhosios
Triggered. Tp: 1.1705 SL: 1.1610 {image}
I almost closed this long position yesterday because of the indecisiveness of the market but I held and its playing nicely now. Let's see if we can break higher
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Doing it like a Lord would
  • #16,531
  • Sep 5, 2025 1:43am Sep 5, 2025 1:43am
Quoting Lordhosios
{quote} I almost closed this long position yesterday because of the indecisiveness of the market but I held and its playing nicely now. Let's see if we can break higher {image}
was going to say nice catch!
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #16,532
  • Edited 2:30am Sep 5, 2025 1:52am | Edited 2:30am
Quoting josip
{quote} update DXY H1 trendlines pattern: falling wedge (green) staying in blue channel, there is chance to rise...(eurusd down) {image}
update2
DXY H1
trendlines

pattern worked well...but we left blue channel
now we got falling wedge (white) and can see diamond pattern...
after news we can fall to S1 (consideration)
by staying below 97.75 its good to buy eurusd

2nd pic - diamond pattern shown (white)
let's see if it works
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #16,533
  • Sep 5, 2025 3:10am Sep 5, 2025 3:10am
Option expiries for today

EUR/USD:

1.1600 (EUR2.64bn)
1.1550 (EUR1.69bn)
1.1800 (EUR1.27bn)

https://investinglive.com/Orders/fx-...-cut-20250905/
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #16,534
  • Sep 5, 2025 4:05am Sep 5, 2025 4:05am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Option expiries for today EUR/USD: 1.1600 (EUR2.64bn) 1.1550 (EUR1.69bn) 1.1800 (EUR1.27bn) https://investinglive.com/Orders/fx-...-cut-20250905/
maybe touching all 3 tonight?
4h closed bullish for now but still at 1682 resistance level.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #16,535
  • Sep 5, 2025 4:14am Sep 5, 2025 4:14am
Above 1.1686 full force, we've shifted the monthly and weekly candle from a bearish to a bullish one, and a bullish body is beginning to form.
  • #16,536
  • Sep 5, 2025 4:14am Sep 5, 2025 4:14am
while above this rising tl bull will do well 1688 is another level i will watch otherwise 1700 1715 will come
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #16,537
  • Sep 5, 2025 4:20am Sep 5, 2025 4:20am
Quoting johncen
{quote} maybe touching all 3 tonight? 4h closed bullish for now but still at 1682 resistance level.
250 pips range?! I don't think so! I was thinking for 1.1600 but now that it broke up I find it less possible.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #16,538
  • Sep 5, 2025 4:24am Sep 5, 2025 4:24am
Quoting johncen
while above this rising tl bull will do well 1688 is another level i will watch otherwise 1700 1715 will come {image}
above 1.1755 bears have build a stronghold, i see very unlikely fiber will go above. Unless a supercut from FED gains more probability. would love to join hardly bears on that cluster
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chaos is just unknown order
  • #16,539
  • Edited 4:48am Sep 5, 2025 4:31am | Edited 4:48am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} 250 pips range?! I don't think so! I was thinking for 1.1600 but now that it broke up I find it less possible.
same here haha i dont think it is possible. I still think a 0.5% (typo: i was going to say 0.25%) cut has already priced in so not much room for further up unless nfp is super bad which worries the market.
i want 1600 1550 and 1688 level is my last gate for bear
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #16,540
  • Sep 5, 2025 4:35am Sep 5, 2025 4:35am
Quoting johncen
{quote} same here haha i dont think it is possible. I still think a 0.5% cut has already priced in so not much room for further up unless nfp is super bad which worries the market. i want 1600 1550 and 1688 level is my last gate for bear
A pump and dumb can do the work! But it might be hard to catch it
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
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