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Only EURUSD

  • #16,481
  • Sep 4, 2025 6:29am Sep 4, 2025 6:29am
ADP 13:15 preparation in 45 minutes

What This Means for EUR/USD

  1. If ADP < ~65k–68k jobs (weaker-than-expected), it is bearish for USD, hence EUR/USD likely to rise
  2. If ADP significantly > ~68k (stronger-than-expected), it is bullish for USD, hence EUR/USD likely to fall

Trade implication:

  1. If the number prints below 65k → strong bullish reaction on EUR/USD.
  2. If it prints close to 68k (in line) → small chop at first, but bias still up.
  3. Only if it prints well above 70–80k → surprise bullish USD, EUR/USD could drop.

So: the market is positioned for weak data, meaning upside on EUR/USD is more likely unless ADP surprises very strong.

Market Sentiment & Interpretations

  1. FXStreet – Expected weaker ADP could support EUR/USD; BUY
  2. Mitrade – Soft labour data increases Fed cut bets; BUY
  3. Forex.com – Stable before ADP, strong data would boost USD; SELL
  4. XTB – Historically weak ADP favours EUR/USD, strong ADP favours USD; BUY/SELL depending on print

Read Charts - Not Papers
  • #16,482
  • Sep 4, 2025 7:06am Sep 4, 2025 7:06am
Quoting halkins
ADP 13:15 preparation in 45 minutes What This Means for EUR/USD If ADP < ~65k–68k jobs (weaker-than-expected), it is bearish for USD, hence EUR/USD likely to rise If ADP significantly > ~68k (stronger-than-expected), it is bullish for USD, hence EUR/USD likely to fall Trade implication: If the number prints below 65k → strong bullish reaction on EUR/USD. If it prints close to 68k (in line) → small chop at first, but bias still up. Only if it prints well above 70–80k → surprise bullish...
Lets see now also some more news later on the calendar should keep the pair volatile! Not for scalping!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #16,483
  • Sep 4, 2025 7:10am Sep 4, 2025 7:10am
I'm trying to interpret real-time labor market data.
In the last five minutes, there's been increased activity on euro futures, with 80% of the total activity being BUY!
I don't know how to interpret this yet, but we'll see after the results.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Read Charts - Not Papers
  • #16,484
  • Sep 4, 2025 7:12am Sep 4, 2025 7:12am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Lets see now also some more news later on the calendar should keep the pair volatile! Not for scalping!
SCaLPING is the best...
I don't know how people can get 200-300 pips on one trade in such a volatile market
Read Charts - Not Papers
  • #16,485
  • Sep 4, 2025 7:17am Sep 4, 2025 7:17am
Quoting halkins
I'm trying to interpret real-time labor market data. In the last five minutes, there's been increased activity on euro futures, with 80% of the total activity being BUY! I don't know how to interpret this yet, but we'll see after the results. {image}
It can be hedge funds just taking manipulative positions to mislead retail investors too
  • #16,486
  • Sep 4, 2025 7:17am Sep 4, 2025 7:17am
Quoting halkins
{quote} SCaLPING is the best... I don't know how people can get 200-300 pips on one trade in such a volatile market
Actually is rare!

Weak adp results!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #16,487
  • Sep 4, 2025 7:21am Sep 4, 2025 7:21am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Actually is rare! Weak adp results!
didnt get much movement from this weak adp!
hmmmm 10 yrs bond yield has dropped and i think there is increase concern over the confidence vote next week in France. Another red news in 10mins
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #16,488
  • Sep 4, 2025 7:24am Sep 4, 2025 7:24am
Quoting johncen
{quote} didnt get much movement from this weak adp! hmmmm 10 yrs bond yield has dropped and i think there is increase concern over the confidence vote next week in France. Another red news in 10mins
Unemployment is yet to come in a few minutes..
There was a spike, but it was quickly absorbed
Read Charts - Not Papers
  • #16,489
  • Sep 4, 2025 7:27am Sep 4, 2025 7:27am
Quoting johncen
{quote} didnt get much movement from this weak adp! hmmmm 10 yrs bond yield has dropped and i think there is increase concern over the confidence vote next week in France. Another red news in 10mins
Yes it supposed to be higher now. Something is cooking!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #16,490
  • Sep 4, 2025 7:28am Sep 4, 2025 7:28am
Be ready guys EURUSD is gonna go up. If not today then tomorrow for sure.
Persistent
  • #16,491
  • Sep 4, 2025 7:31am Sep 4, 2025 7:31am
All red!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #16,492
  • Sep 4, 2025 7:32am Sep 4, 2025 7:32am
I have been waiting for this set-up to get executed since yesterday Asian session
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Doing it like a Lord would
  • #16,493
  • Sep 4, 2025 7:36am Sep 4, 2025 7:36am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
All red!
all red but euro is down….

Manually closing a scalp long -5 here…. Weird pa

remain sidelined
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #16,494
  • Sep 4, 2025 7:45am Sep 4, 2025 7:45am
Quoting johncen
{quote} all red but euro is down…. Manually closing a scalp long -5 here…. Weird pa remain sidelined
Yes.. each time the price went up, someone "flooded" the market with SELL orders
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  • #16,495
  • Sep 4, 2025 7:54am Sep 4, 2025 7:54am
Triggered.
Tp: 1.1705
SL: 1.1610
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Doing it like a Lord would
  • #16,496
  • Sep 4, 2025 8:06am Sep 4, 2025 8:06am
Early today analysis was rough but mostly perfect! The black trendline powered by purple (R) is working as (S) I believe with patient it must still drop down
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  • #16,497
  • Sep 4, 2025 8:07am Sep 4, 2025 8:07am
Quoting halkins
{quote} Yes.. each time the price went up, someone "flooded" the market with SELL orders {image}
This is common footprint the large market movers leave. To get into a position, they lay down the BIG orders and backfill with another account to mask the intent. I have found this type of activity is usually before a big move (the candles are pointing the way).

On 1 min timeframes, I consider this a bullish sign. The wicks are pointing the way.

With larger time frame, these candles is usually a bearish sign, the hanging man.

Happy trades to you,
NB
Ecclesiastes 1:9
  • #16,498
  • Sep 4, 2025 8:18am Sep 4, 2025 8:18am
Quoting newbegger
{quote} This is common footprint the large market movers leave. To get into a position, they lay down the BIG orders and backfill with another account to mask the intent. I have found this type of activity is usually before a big move (the candles are pointing the way). On 1 min timeframes, I consider this a bullish sign. The wicks are pointing the way. With larger time frame, these candles is usually a bearish sign, the hanging man. Happy trades to you, NB
Indeed, it is, but how to know this or another move is a manipulation?
Read Charts - Not Papers
  • #16,499
  • Sep 4, 2025 8:22am Sep 4, 2025 8:22am
Hey! guys, can anyone help to explain what is going on in the market, i thought dollar should be dumping considering the bad data released
  • #16,500
  • Sep 4, 2025 8:29am Sep 4, 2025 8:29am
Quoting dele5000
Hey! guys, can anyone help to explain what is going on in the market, i thought dollar should be dumping considering the bad data released

Manipulation till the last red news. Stay steady
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