{quote} Complete bollox of course! The market can only move when Pete pops the kettle on and Aus power companies have to compensate for the extra surge!!
Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
Blue's Clues to Trading: Timing Levels and Behaviour of Price
- #101
- Aug 23, 2025 3:06pm Aug 23, 2025 3:06pm
- Joined Aug 2007 | Status: Trader | 3,200 Posts
- #102
- Aug 23, 2025 7:38pm Aug 23, 2025 7:38pm
- Joined Dec 2018 | Status: Trader | 4,596 Posts
{quote} Complete bollox of course!
The market can only move when Pete pops the kettle on and Aus power companies have to compensate for the extra surge!!
all below is just imho
aggregation
noun
The state of being collected into a mass, assemblage, or sum (aggregated).
Whether it is the largest group of traders aggregating against the smallest (retail)
Or
Two large entities both vying for opposite directional supremacy
Then the market would/must range/accumulate/or form compression for a period
This state cannot last forever, ie breakout us imminent
Once this has occurred (at the top, bottom or middle) then price must move substantially from where it was
This might be a long term move (for position traders)
Medium term for swing traders
Or short term for shorter term swing traders & scalpers
Then
and again just imho
If we can ascertain where the most likely places will lie that traders might “again” get interested
.. called sometimes - levels, stations, blocks, targets (or .. trader attractors lol
)Then we could have good trade possibilities arrived on our (retail) plate or doorstep once more
Each to their own
No one way to trade any of this imo
Or one way which is best
And likely why Kev has (and many others of course) been saying for many years
it is only US, OURSELVES THE TRADER who would determine our own fate
Trade safe, trade well all
ps Andy, the kettle is used quite sparingly, for obvious reasons
https://steemit.com/world/@sami143/t...ut-this-kettle
pic included
"The 18-karat gold and precious diamond-studded kettle held by the N Sethia Foundation was named 'The Egoist' and on August 9, the beautiful kettle was officially certified as the world's most expensive kettle by the Guinness Book of World Records."
- #103
- Aug 24, 2025 12:51pm Aug 24, 2025 12:51pm
- Joined Aug 2007 | Status: Trader | 3,200 Posts
Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
- #104
- Aug 24, 2025 1:58pm Aug 24, 2025 1:58pm
- Joined Aug 2007 | Status: Trader | 3,200 Posts
{quote} all below is just imho
Well said my friend
Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
- #105
- Aug 24, 2025 2:33pm Aug 24, 2025 2:33pm
- Joined Dec 2018 | Status: Trader | 4,596 Posts
cheers Kev
and keep up the great work here pal
and keep up the great work here pal
- #106
- Aug 24, 2025 8:29pm Aug 24, 2025 8:29pm
- Joined Aug 2007 | Status: Trader | 3,200 Posts
Back to Basics
Foundations that structure is built upon.
The Foundation is the Initial Balance.(I.B.)
The I.B. is nothing more than Timings Levels Behaviour of Price...which is the foundation of all (Volume is inc in this)
The market is a 2 way auction process that simply negotiates price thru discovery.
Buyers and Sellers negotiate thru the auction process until Fair Value/Equilibrium is found.
And it just repeats itself over and over...
We use:
Initial Balance
VWAP
Volume Profile...
One thing that sets these apart from other indicators is that no matter the timeframe these LEVELS stay the same.
Whether I am looking at 1min 5min 15min chart etc... These levels are set in stone and do not move, like a foundation of
a building structure.
The other important aspect is this.. They all set an area of FAIR VALUE including a equilibrium point.
Thus we have LEVELS of VALUE that are the same no matter the timeframe used.
SOme charts to show IB VWAP and VP
Foundations that structure is built upon.
The Foundation is the Initial Balance.(I.B.)
The I.B. is nothing more than Timings Levels Behaviour of Price...which is the foundation of all (Volume is inc in this)
The market is a 2 way auction process that simply negotiates price thru discovery.
Buyers and Sellers negotiate thru the auction process until Fair Value/Equilibrium is found.
And it just repeats itself over and over...
We use:
Initial Balance
VWAP
Volume Profile...
One thing that sets these apart from other indicators is that no matter the timeframe these LEVELS stay the same.
Whether I am looking at 1min 5min 15min chart etc... These levels are set in stone and do not move, like a foundation of
a building structure.
The other important aspect is this.. They all set an area of FAIR VALUE including a equilibrium point.
Thus we have LEVELS of VALUE that are the same no matter the timeframe used.
SOme charts to show IB VWAP and VP
Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
- #107
- Aug 24, 2025 9:00pm Aug 24, 2025 9:00pm
- Joined Aug 2007 | Status: Trader | 3,200 Posts
Just to ruffle some feathers as I like to do on occasion.
Chart of NQ and Soybean Oil ZL1
Sniper trades using Timings Levels Behaviour of Price
as it relates to Volume Profile VWAP and Initial Balance.
This business is all about skills...However simple or complex your trading methods are.
You better be highly skilled at it or you will get your lunch taken, wallet stolen and punched in the face.
The markets suffer no fools. Just being real from a guy who's made all the mistakes , stupid mistakes, imaginable
over and over again....and in trading too ! lol...
Chart of NQ and Soybean Oil ZL1
Sniper trades using Timings Levels Behaviour of Price
as it relates to Volume Profile VWAP and Initial Balance.
This business is all about skills...However simple or complex your trading methods are.
You better be highly skilled at it or you will get your lunch taken, wallet stolen and punched in the face.
The markets suffer no fools. Just being real from a guy who's made all the mistakes , stupid mistakes, imaginable
over and over again....and in trading too ! lol...
Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
- #108
- Aug 25, 2025 1:00am Aug 25, 2025 1:00am
- Joined May 2010 | Status: Straight line Fest | 3,194 Posts
Just to ruffle some feathers as I like to do on occasion. Chart of NQ and Soybean Oil ZL1
- #109
- Aug 25, 2025 6:28am Aug 25, 2025 6:28am
- Joined Aug 2007 | Status: Trader | 3,200 Posts
{quote} Ruffle feathers…. Just been going through a few old threads trying to work out how many times you banned me, think I’m up to 8 so far…
Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
- #110
- Aug 25, 2025 1:22pm Aug 25, 2025 1:22pm
- Joined May 2010 | Status: Straight line Fest | 3,194 Posts
{quote} Must be confusing me with someone else
- #111
- Aug 25, 2025 7:06pm Aug 25, 2025 7:06pm
- Joined Aug 2007 | Status: Trader | 3,200 Posts
Today I traded Gold...was looking at NQ but i dont often trade it and both trades were setting up at the same time
I can only choose one ,,,I went with Gold as I have traded it alot this year.
As well I have mentioned numerous times to pay attention to 8pm and 9pm NY time on Gold.
They can provide exceptional opportunities. Today is a good example but was busy and missed it.
But I did trade Gold in NY.....Oh and with the 8pm Gold trade I missed....part of the setup was
a Composite Vol Profile of this past week. A great example it is..
Anyways some charts... Just a BO of the IB high and another contract added at the retest of the IBH.
And as luck would have it out at the high of the day...pure conincidence the market could have ripped
much higher as it just did in Asia and the 8 o'clock hustle as I call it.
Cheers
Blue
And a chart of NQ showing the 15mORB BO in Price Discovery..side note I shy away from NQ as I find it hard to trade the size Im accustomed to and yes I can scale
down to lessen risk...but for what ? So i normally just stick to my knitting ..Gold is wild enough
I can only choose one ,,,I went with Gold as I have traded it alot this year.
As well I have mentioned numerous times to pay attention to 8pm and 9pm NY time on Gold.
They can provide exceptional opportunities. Today is a good example but was busy and missed it.
But I did trade Gold in NY.....Oh and with the 8pm Gold trade I missed....part of the setup was
a Composite Vol Profile of this past week. A great example it is..
Anyways some charts... Just a BO of the IB high and another contract added at the retest of the IBH.
And as luck would have it out at the high of the day...pure conincidence the market could have ripped
much higher as it just did in Asia and the 8 o'clock hustle as I call it.
Cheers
Blue
And a chart of NQ showing the 15mORB BO in Price Discovery..side note I shy away from NQ as I find it hard to trade the size Im accustomed to and yes I can scale
down to lessen risk...but for what ? So i normally just stick to my knitting ..Gold is wild enough
Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
- #112
- Aug 26, 2025 1:36am Aug 26, 2025 1:36am
- Joined Sep 2015 | Status: Trader | 2,516 Posts
Just to ruffle some feathers as I like to do on occasion. Chart of NQ and Soybean Oil ZL1
I took 3 trades on NQ during the London session on Monday as shown on the chart below.
There is NO SKILL on that chart whatsoever, it's just 3 ordinary setups if I can be truthful.
The skill comes from the traders Execution Skills which are learned over many thousands of hours of trading the same markets repeatedly over and over again.
Its all about Execution Skills - knowing when to hit that Buy or Sell Key on the keyboard.
Speaking personally, I practice trading Momentum Speed drills every single day. That means before I start trading, I like to WARM UP by taking 30 to 40 trades on SIM where I just hit Market order Keys aiming for 3 ticks. The idea is to sharpen up entry skills without any concern of result and I would spend 15 hours a week practicing this.
When I get warmed up - I am ready to trade aggressively without the fear of taking that next trade.
It's essential I time my trades correctly because I refuse to sit in draw down for any length of time. I believe in the 80 /20 rule where I must sit in profit 80% of the time in trades and only 20% of time spend in draw down.
EXECUTION SKILLS are everything and they need practicising everyday
Trading thin liquidity at the boundary of the charts
- #113
- Aug 26, 2025 7:14am Aug 26, 2025 7:14am
- Joined Aug 2007 | Status: Trader | 3,200 Posts
{quote} This business is all about skills! - couldn't agree more Blue. I took 3 trades on NQ during the London session on Monday as shown on the chart below. There is NO SKILL on that chart whatsoever, it's just 3 ordinary setups if I can be truthful. The skill comes from the traders Execution Skills which are learned over many thousands of hours of trading the same markets repeatedly over and over again. Its all about Execution Skills - knowing when to hit that Buy or Sell Key on the keyboard. Speaking personally, I practice trading Momentum Speed...
Just being real
I do get it now Well done Rick. Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
- #114
- Aug 26, 2025 7:56am Aug 26, 2025 7:56am
- Joined Aug 2007 | Status: Trader | 3,200 Posts
Crude Oil...Missed a great setup yesterday.
Heres some charts explaining what I see etc....
and then some charts from today which I traded Crude only.
Was watching GC CL NQ ES LE and ZL all looking for BO trades.
NQ and ES more on the sideline as I do prefer commodities.
Cheers
First yesterdays charts of Oil I did not trade
And Todays trade out 2 ticks from the high ...Pure Luck like yesterdays Gold
Heres some charts explaining what I see etc....
and then some charts from today which I traded Crude only.
Was watching GC CL NQ ES LE and ZL all looking for BO trades.
NQ and ES more on the sideline as I do prefer commodities.
Cheers
First yesterdays charts of Oil I did not trade
And Todays trade out 2 ticks from the high ...Pure Luck like yesterdays Gold
Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
- #115
- Aug 26, 2025 8:05am Aug 26, 2025 8:05am
- Joined Aug 2007 | Status: Trader | 3,200 Posts
Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
- #116
- Aug 26, 2025 11:00am Aug 26, 2025 11:00am
- Joined Aug 2007 | Status: Trader | 3,200 Posts
Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
- #117
- Aug 27, 2025 7:54am Aug 27, 2025 7:54am
- Joined Aug 2007 | Status: Trader | 3,200 Posts
Beef ! Boy o Boy...The price of Beef in America is going thru the roof !
With inflation continually rising in the U.S. ouch... and going to get alot alot worse (imho)
Maybe buy some beef and put it into the freezer....!!!
Yesterday Beef Closed ABOVE Fridays ATH/all time high.....
and today Beef opened at that ATH and surged higher immediately on the open.
Vol Profile shows us yesterday 70% of the volume was at or near ATH.
Sooooo Either those are sellers or buyers whether covering or not is irrelevant.(imho)
Volume is at the highs.
Monthly VWAP hard real data that shows the average price paid for a contract. UP UP UP
Weekly VWAP the same...Both are outside of Fair Value and in Price Discovery.
ALot of gobbly goop to tell you the market is trending higher
But the gobbly goop gives great levels to transact at
Anyways some charts.
Monthly and Weekly VWAP
And Where is the Volume? At what price is the largest amount of trades at ? (hint Pink/Red line POC)
And what does Tom Hougaard talk about... When things are expensive buy more..
With inflation continually rising in the U.S. ouch... and going to get alot alot worse (imho)
Maybe buy some beef and put it into the freezer....!!!
Yesterday Beef Closed ABOVE Fridays ATH/all time high.....
and today Beef opened at that ATH and surged higher immediately on the open.
Vol Profile shows us yesterday 70% of the volume was at or near ATH.
Sooooo Either those are sellers or buyers whether covering or not is irrelevant.(imho)
Volume is at the highs.
Monthly VWAP hard real data that shows the average price paid for a contract. UP UP UP
Weekly VWAP the same...Both are outside of Fair Value and in Price Discovery.
ALot of gobbly goop to tell you the market is trending higher
But the gobbly goop gives great levels to transact at
Anyways some charts.
Monthly and Weekly VWAP
And Where is the Volume? At what price is the largest amount of trades at ? (hint Pink/Red line POC)
And what does Tom Hougaard talk about... When things are expensive buy more..
Inserted Video
Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
- #118
- Edited 7:44pm Aug 27, 2025 3:21pm | Edited 7:44pm
- Joined Aug 2007 | Status: Trader | 3,200 Posts
Master your Mind,,,Master the Market
- #119
- Aug 27, 2025 3:55pm Aug 27, 2025 3:55pm
- Joined May 2022 | Status: Grateful for the Roulette Epiphany | 1,916 Posts
Life itself is a privilege, but to live life to the fullest is a choice
- #120
- Aug 27, 2025 4:44pm Aug 27, 2025 4:44pm
- Joined Mar 2004 | Status: Senior Member | 1,633 Posts
A nice start to the school year in America ! Maybe, just maybe, one day Americans will love kids more than their guns????
