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Gold with thedaytrader

  • #161
  • Aug 25, 2025 2:30am Aug 25, 2025 2:30am
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  • #162
  • Aug 25, 2025 2:37am Aug 25, 2025 2:37am
only that trend line on daily bothers me, nothing else matters
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: XAUUSDDaily.png Size: 36 KB
  • #163
  • Aug 25, 2025 2:41am Aug 25, 2025 2:41am
Quoting PatienceFx
only that trend line on daily bothers me, nothing else matters {image}
what happened to the 3352.96 ? Will you hold your long till/beyond that ?
Trade Like a Casino, Not a Gambler
  • #164
  • Aug 25, 2025 2:49am Aug 25, 2025 2:49am
Quoting thedaytrader
{quote} what happened to the 3352.96 ? Will you hold your long till/beyond that ?
i love flirting with price, i just grab quick moves n get out, this way i can flirt with any pair any time
  • #165
  • Aug 25, 2025 2:52am Aug 25, 2025 2:52am
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} i love flirting with price, i just grab quick moves n get out, this way i can flirt with any pair any time
like if you see eurusd which is 54% of usd index, it clearly hints at usd strength which translates to gold dipping at some point

when eurusd stops falling n consolidates gold runs up , when eurusd is going up gold goes up at double speed
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  • #166
  • Aug 25, 2025 3:03am Aug 25, 2025 3:03am
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} i love flirting with price, i just grab quick moves n get out, this way i can flirt with any pair any time
As long as you are having fun...
Trade Like a Casino, Not a Gambler
  • #167
  • Aug 25, 2025 3:16am Aug 25, 2025 3:16am
Quoting thedaytrader
{quote} Here are all the above 4 Bounce Points on a 1-hr chart... {image}
M done for the day... Leaving all the four limit orders with the EA, no order has been triggered till now... will update the results tmrw... have a nice rest of the day
Trade Like a Casino, Not a Gambler
  • #168
  • Aug 25, 2025 3:32am Aug 25, 2025 3:32am
Quoting thedaytrader
{quote} M done for the day... Leaving all the four limit orders with the EA, no order has been triggered till now... will update the results tmrw... have a nice rest of the day
guys whats ea??
  • #169
  • Aug 25, 2025 3:41am Aug 25, 2025 3:41am
Quoting notabdullah1
{quote} guys whats ea??
expert ass , a code used to automate trading
  • #170
  • Aug 25, 2025 3:45am Aug 25, 2025 3:45am
My tape reading

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XA...ical-Analysis/
  • #171
  • Aug 25, 2025 5:10am Aug 25, 2025 5:10am
HL
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  • #172
  • Aug 25, 2025 6:07am Aug 25, 2025 6:07am
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} like if you see eurusd which is 54% of usd index, it clearly hints at usd strength which translates to gold dipping at some point when eurusd stops falling n consolidates gold runs up , when eurusd is going up gold goes up at double speed {image}
this is what i was saying

see how eurusd influences gold direction
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  • #173
  • Aug 25, 2025 12:46pm Aug 25, 2025 12:46pm
really bad day actually ........fked up the 3rd trade because of physocolgy

i can still short it it totaly alligns with my view but no volumes now so not getting into it
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  • #174
  • Aug 25, 2025 3:24pm Aug 25, 2025 3:24pm
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} this is what i was saying see how eurusd influences gold direction {image}
Ive done a little study with that theory going from a more pure eur and usd index

I placed arrows at swing points in gold and posted the time they happened/color, so gold with lead arrows and then arrows placed in the index at the same time where gold arrows are to find if an index was behind, leading, or was aligned, maybe i can reverse this study and lead with an index at some time later

2025 08 20 4:00 Red arrows
2025 08 08 1:00 White arrows
2025 07 30 22:00 Green arrows
2025 07 23 3:00 Gold arrows
2025 07 17 15:00 Dark blue arrows
2025 07 14 10:00 Aqua arrows
2025 07 09 11:00 Light green

the only place here where all 3 aligned was with the dark blue arrows or close to compared to all the others u can see some index is behind or in front or 2 are in sync and the others off, i thought maybe there is something that drove this triple alignment but couldnt find much

a quick chat to a.i to search for fundamentals around that date

Combined Outlook: Why It All Aligned
From July 17 onward, the trio of shifts you noted came together logically:

  1. A weaker U.S. dollar—driven by policy uncertainty and dovish sentiment—made gold more attractive and simultaneously supported the euro’s advance.
  2. Gold gained due to safe-haven demand amid lingering uncertainty and a cheaper dollar.
  3. The euro rallied, bolstered by ECB stability, stronger regional data/earnings, and broad dollar softness.
  4. The USD index fell, reflecting systemic erosion of confidence in U.S. monetary policy and ongoing macroeconomic headwinds.

Theres a drop currently in exy but given the data i just tested which isnt much, from this i would say the synchronization is likely with euro and gold being a less heavy news driven week if this theory is true and dxy is slightly rallying as well, technicals should be stronger, there could be out of the blue shock news still, i am not trading this

I got an idea theres something else thats heavy in gold not sure what will study it some time

Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #175
  • Aug 25, 2025 8:22pm Aug 25, 2025 8:22pm
Quoting thedaytrader
{quote} M done for the day... Leaving all the four limit orders with the EA, no order has been triggered till now... will update the results tmrw... have a nice rest of the day
Good Morning Everybody,

There were no trades executed yesterday, but three were smashed early morning in the last couple of hours...
All three hit SL of some kinds... first one was -2.0 (full SL, as it was covering 2 bounce points), one was -0.5 (bounced and went on our side, but took the SL just before doing that) and the last was -1.0, just fluctuated a bit. I am putting these trades under yesterday's date/row only (technically they got executed today, but were set yday)

Tally so far:

Day Date Trades Net
----- ---------- ------ -----
Day 0-20 Jul_Aug-2025 47 +23

Day 21 18-Aug-2025 3 +5.5
Day 22 19-Aug-2025 3 +2.0
Day 23 20-Aug-2025 3 -3.5
Dat 24 21-Aug-2025 2 -2.0
Day 25 25-Aug-2025 3 -3.5

Total trades since 18-July-2025 : 61
Total profit since 18-July-2025 : 21.5 points

Will be back with todays trades in sometime...
Trade Like a Casino, Not a Gambler
  • #176
  • Aug 25, 2025 8:37pm Aug 25, 2025 8:37pm
Today I am trading 4 bounce points, 3 on the long side and 1 on the short:

Short Side : 3388.85
Long Side : 3365.97, 3358.75, 3348.41

All have default 1.5 points SL to start with to be tightened as soon as it can be :-)

The chart (4hr) with these levels... attached

[The last bounce point which just bounced a couple of hours back is in grey dotted line... This was a good trade, but we just missed (SL closed too soon) by a few decimal points.]
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Trade Like a Casino, Not a Gambler
  • #177
  • Aug 25, 2025 8:41pm Aug 25, 2025 8:41pm
Quoting notabdullah1
{quote} guys whats ea??
EA is short of "Expert Advisor"... a term used for code in MetaTrader systems... Its a code which follows the logic for SL trailing and booking profits, without "human judegment"
Trade Like a Casino, Not a Gambler
  • #178
  • Aug 25, 2025 8:46pm Aug 25, 2025 8:46pm
Quoting shunya.trade
My tape reading https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XA...ical-Analysis/
Thats too many things... :-)

Can you post the trade which you take on all that analysis, whenever you do ? We are only interested in when you enter a trade (and when you exit on that entry).
Trade Like a Casino, Not a Gambler
  • #179
  • Aug 25, 2025 8:50pm Aug 25, 2025 8:50pm
Quoting Fx-Blitz
{quote} Ive done a little study with that theory going from a more pure eur and usd index I placed arrows at swing points in gold and posted the time they happened/color, so gold with lead arrows and then arrows placed in the index at the same time where gold arrows are to find if an index was behind, leading, or was aligned, maybe i can reverse this study and lead with an index at some time later 2025 08 20 4:00 Red arrows 2025 08 08 1:00 White arrows 2025 07 30 22:00 Green arrows 2025 07 23 3:00 Gold arrows 2025 07 17 15:00 Dark blue arrows 2025...
Do you think, these correlations are predictive in any way ? If so, what could be the best probability prediction you would do ?
Trade Like a Casino, Not a Gambler
  • #180
  • Aug 26, 2025 12:14am Aug 26, 2025 12:14am
Quoting thedaytrader
{quote} Do you think, these correlations are predictive in any way ? If so, what could be the best probability prediction you would do ?
gold is XAU USD
USD Index used
eurusd is 54% of USD index

so the correlation is 54% not EXACT
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