The Swamp

Quoting Avir

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Commander’s Market Log – Fry-Day 22nd Aug 2025 By DJ EM K Daily Bias: Bearish close confirmed – bulls need time. Range likely tight in Asia before London sets direction. Power Zone of Control: 1.1600 – 1.1623 (Whichever side breaks with London volume will dictate the day.) Downside Confluence Zones (Bear) • 1.1600 – 1.1606 → Daily close + TP zone • 1.1584 – 1.1573 → Daily S1 + DeMark support • 1.1562 – 1.1557 → Daily S2 + H4 structural low • 1.1522 → Daily S3, last line Upside Confluence Zones (Bull Relief)...

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Quoting gatorinla

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{quote} I dont know.. 1556 is in the way The month and week to me lined up to test it.. Will it support, or become R 1573 another smaller one.. We may see a bounce later. 1637 is not so close but may resist .. 1615 could get tagged again.

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Quoting johncen

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{quote} I think we will get there. Just not sure if we will get there in London or later when Powell speaks 1590 could bounce too but if sell pressure is strong maybe not

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Quoting gatorinla

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{quote} - 1556 may not be noticeable on a small chart. Ob the larger charts it could be. Today is a week closing. Its the biggest close until the month ends. Bears want to get 1556 and sustain below. If not it may not be ready to be taken is my view.. If not ready, 1599, would be the first bounce.. 1637 may be another. 1982 another. Any of these can resist some. But make no mistake about it. Bears have to take 1556, and hold it.. That could be today, it could be another. If not, expect it to bounce.

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Quoting gatorinla

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{quote} - 1556 may not be noticeable on a small chart. On the larger charts it could be. Today is a week closing. Its the biggest close until the month ends. Bears want to get 1556 and sustain below. If not it may not be ready to be taken is my view.. If not ready, 1599, would be the first bounce.. 1637 may be another. 1982 another. Any of these can resist some. But make no mistake about it. Bears have to take 1556, and hold it.. That could be today, it could be another. If not, expect it to bounce.

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Quoting johncen

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{quote} yea Powell can send us to these numbers in seconds later today! If he wants to protect fed independence he will and we should see 1556 and lower. then crazy man may come out to jump up and down

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Quoting gatorinla

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{quote} Between the 2 larger is 1619. {image}

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Quoting johncen

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{quote} yea Powell can send us to these numbers in seconds later today! If he wants to protect fed independence he will and we should see 1556 and lower. then crazy man may come out to jump up and down

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Quoting gatorinla

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{quote} Unemployment is still low. Inflation went up, the trajectory is inflation rising. The large retailers already said it. Its like water "wet". https://www.cnbc.com/2025/07/17/trum...20some%20items.

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Quoting johncen

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{quote} damn hes dovish…. At least the market reads it this way. let see if 1682 caps this move

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Quoting gatorinla

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{quote} Yeah above 1682 to maybe test 1714. . You cant fight the Fed

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Quoting johncen

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{quote} yea bye bye bear for now i believe

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Quoting gatorinla

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{quote} I never lost the 4h and above bullish indis. The 4h was not even touched at 1673. I still have the bearish structure that just watches missteps. The month one is still at 1682, the week at 1631. They dont look flashy. the purpose they serve being. PA needs to be able to hold, what it takes. The bears atm have not held theirs. The bulls have the same problem. The bears were near 1556, when it went up. The larger one to break. I thought and still do that is a slip point. Its also a support point to me.

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Quoting gatorinla

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Question.. If the FEd has a job, and inflation mandate. With low unemployment, and rising inflation. What choice does Powell have? Inflation is ticking up. The tariffs will enhance inflation. Kicking out the lower wage workers will enhance inflation. More jobs with less workers will enhance inflation. More jobs unfilled (wage inflation) will likely keep unemployment low. Its just water seeking its own level. Cutting rates? i dont know about that. He may be raising rates I know the politicians shovel bullshit to the masses. This is just the reality....

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Quoting johncen

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Looks like on track to close the week above 1682 and 1715, not sure about 1730 but next week may continue to push up to test 1770 and 1830? thanks for sharing the cot report, seems like they are adding shorts still i want usdx to hold 97.7 otherwise 96.7 is coming

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