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The Swamp

  • #124,381
  • Aug 20, 2025 6:01am Aug 20, 2025 6:01am
Quoting gatorinla
Ej may find R 17175/80 area today.. Even if above 25 pips look for weakness.. The same with the eu it may be very hard to reach 1671/75 again.Look for weakness 1635/75... A hard spike would be unusual to 1682/86.. I dont think is bullish,, It's very bearish to me.. more so under 1637 it may not come back, and head for 1556, and deeper {image}
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i didnt get a sell trigger yet.. but think its coming.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,382
  • Aug 20, 2025 6:04am Aug 20, 2025 6:04am
Quoting johncen
{quote} i m waiting for bear to show up! Maybe have towait for NY like yesterday
Its very bearish to me.. Its done what it was supposed to when it was unable to take 1714.. It closed the 12h below 1645 for a st day bias.. along with -1682 and 1674.
That's about as pretty as it gets for me.. Now I just need to little bear trigger on a 15 m..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,383
  • Aug 20, 2025 8:40am Aug 20, 2025 8:40am
I closed the uj I have held a few days+6.. the week was no longer in line with the bearish month.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,384
  • Aug 20, 2025 8:42am Aug 20, 2025 8:42am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1645 + a dozen will/should be very hard. It may be on a banana peel next time at 1637 today. 1645 may slap it down. The attraction to 1671 may not be enough.. It breaks the week level to bear below 1637.. The month was already bearish leaning at 1682..
keep an eye for the smaller short triggers.. I dont have one on the 15 m yet
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,385
  • Aug 20, 2025 8:43am Aug 20, 2025 8:43am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} keep an eye for the smaller short triggers..
bull is pushing the limit here
one of my indicators turned bullish after the last hourly candle

bear has to show up otherwise we might not going further down
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,386
  • Aug 20, 2025 8:53am Aug 20, 2025 8:53am
Quoting gatorinla
I closed the uj I have held a few days+6.. the week was no longer in line with the bearish month.
yen has been tricky lately, strong on potential rate hike i guess. Its not helping with eu bear

Both jpy and chf are strong against the dollar is not helping. Market looking for safe heaven
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,387
  • Aug 20, 2025 10:10am Aug 20, 2025 10:10am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} keep an eye for the smaller short triggers.. I dont have one on the 15 m yet
not getting much of a sell signal while 1645 maybe turning into a support?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,388
  • Aug 20, 2025 10:55am Aug 20, 2025 10:55am
The EJ short signal was over an hour ago. Eu is on the edges now.. maybe next h. The time of day may not be good. Plus fomc min.. But the setup to me is bearish because the large timefemas
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,389
  • Aug 20, 2025 11:01am Aug 20, 2025 11:01am
I got a eu short signal ..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,390
  • Aug 20, 2025 11:03am Aug 20, 2025 11:03am
Quoting johncen
{quote} not getting much of a sell signal while 1645 maybe turning into a support?
it could be,, but it may give a little lift to enter.. Its inline with the larger ones for me.. So I think its just FOMC stalling it
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,391
  • Aug 20, 2025 11:21am Aug 20, 2025 11:21am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} it could be,, but it may give a little lift to enter.. Its inline with the larger ones for me.. So I think its just FOMC stalling it
i guess is ranging until the minutes in around 2 hrs
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,392
  • Aug 20, 2025 12:52pm Aug 20, 2025 12:52pm
likely a dud news event.. news in 8 min. I side with red candles
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,393
  • Aug 20, 2025 1:01pm Aug 20, 2025 1:01pm
Quoting gatorinla
likely a dud news event.. news in 8 min. I side with red candles
News is out.. lets see if my signs are right. If right it will fall
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,394
  • Aug 20, 2025 1:24pm Aug 20, 2025 1:24pm
all above earlier remains true.. sustained below 1637 can be a b/o, LL is my plan.. Maybe 1556ish supportive
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,395
  • Edited 1:55pm Aug 20, 2025 1:44pm | Edited 1:55pm
Quoting gatorinla
all above earlier remains true.. sustained below 1637 can be a b/o, LL is my plan.. Maybe 1556ish supportive
lets go!

first step bear needs to go below 1637 but pa is slow now
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,396
  • Aug 20, 2025 8:07pm Aug 20, 2025 8:07pm
This is slow, we didnt move much, maybe have to wait for London.

for the last two days Asian sessions were sell, London buy and NY sell.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,397
  • Aug 20, 2025 10:41pm Aug 20, 2025 10:41pm
Quoting johncen
This is slow, we didnt move much, maybe have to wait for London. for the last two days Asian sessions were sell, London buy and NY sell.
Not pretty
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,398
  • Aug 21, 2025 1:09am Aug 21, 2025 1:09am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Not pretty
well we know this is not going to be pretty but bumpy
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,399
  • Aug 21, 2025 3:09am Aug 21, 2025 3:09am
German manufacturing took little leap.. Its still under 50
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,400
  • Aug 21, 2025 3:12am Aug 21, 2025 3:12am
Quoting gatorinla
German manufacturing took little leap.. Its still under 50 {image}
its not pretty~ back to square one but let see
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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