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  • #124,341
  • Aug 18, 2025 12:37pm Aug 18, 2025 12:37pm
Quoting gatorinla
The eu ej is not lined up week versus month yet atm.. the uj is lined up week and month. -147.67 sustained can be it slipping below the waves. Below 137.3 austaned is not bullish... Its well extended above 146.85.. it hit near 148.. I missed this earlier.. The yen can be linked with equities. High equities float crosses. The usd/yen, more so on the usd, have a bearish shadow. The Yen looks to have power across the usd and eur. If the eu and ej break their week bias they will be inline with the month and the usd/jpy This is likely opposite of many...
first reaction 1h
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,342
  • Aug 18, 2025 12:39pm Aug 18, 2025 12:39pm
short GOLD here
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  • #124,343
  • Edited 2:43pm Aug 18, 2025 12:56pm | Edited 2:43pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Alone it leans bearish overall for the day usually. But it can reach back above 30ish pips. In this case pa was unable to break back above 1714, it closed the 12h below 1682. That's the best bears could hoped for early. Now you would want the b/o below 1659 sustained. But using indicators its still above the 1h 200 etc.. 1682 may harden as R for the next 4 weeks, eventually 1550/20. I will let you know. If holding below 1575 Wednesday mostly. It may be deeper. Its unlikely to be pretty.. Lots of stuff to break.
yea there are lots of support below but if we get some momemtum it will be a good ride
testing 1660 at the moment. I have my trendline here.
I also have 1630 but if we break below 1655 i guess 1630 is minor.

current geopolitic situation is not favouring eu.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,344
  • Aug 18, 2025 3:47pm Aug 18, 2025 3:47pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea there are lots of support below but if we get some momemtum it will be a good ride testing 1660 at the moment. I have my trendline here. I also have 1630 but if we break below 1655 i guess 1630 is minor. current geopolitic situation is not favouring eu.
1659 held mostly.. The day looks like it will close below 1714 and 1682. I didnt think it would be pretty. I did hope to clear 1659.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,345
  • Aug 18, 2025 3:55pm Aug 18, 2025 3:55pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1659 held mostly.. The day looks like it will close below 1714 and 1682. I didnt think it would be pretty. I did hope to clear 1659.
still a couple more mins to go and bear is trying
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,346
  • Aug 18, 2025 4:04pm Aug 18, 2025 4:04pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} still a couple more mins to go and bear is trying
mine closed at1.16606

usdx at 98.15 i have some strong barriers sitting at 98.20-30 level. Usdx will need to stand and sustained above 98.40
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,347
  • Aug 18, 2025 4:25pm Aug 18, 2025 4:25pm
13.5 gap open
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,348
  • Aug 18, 2025 4:54pm Aug 18, 2025 4:54pm
Quoting gatorinla
13.5 gap open {image}
i dont see that from my end.

i have a scalp long opened 1662 before day end but if we start sustaining below 1660 i may have to close it with a loss

i do hope bear to do well though
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,349
  • Aug 18, 2025 8:59pm Aug 18, 2025 8:59pm
ej sustained below 172.10 is a likely b/o
EU -1658 sustained should be a b/o.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,350
  • Edited 9:15pm Aug 18, 2025 9:02pm | Edited 9:15pm
Quoting gatorinla
ej sustained below 172.10 is a likely b/o
same for eu?

that was a nice drop below 1659

will see if there is any follow up actions from the bear and if we sustained below pre London i guess
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,351
  • Aug 19, 2025 1:49am Aug 19, 2025 1:49am
Quoting gatorinla
ej sustained below 172.10 is a likely b/o EU -1658 sustained should be a b/o.
seems like we are closing back abovr 1658
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,352
  • Aug 19, 2025 6:05am Aug 19, 2025 6:05am
bull took back 1659 and 1682
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #124,353
  • Aug 19, 2025 7:58am Aug 19, 2025 7:58am
Quoting johncen
{quote} seems like we are closing back abovr 1658
Yeah, I didnt think it would be pretty. All the ma indicators were against a fall. The month 1682 has held another day off. The week did close on the bull side. Now the day has closed on the bear side. So it should fall sustained below 1652. 1714 has held another day and newest 12h close. 1682 has held off the day and newest 12h close,
That makes today prone to fall on the, month, day and 12h. Plus below the week b/o point at 1714. I earlier b/o may be closing below 1674.. Its inside the mess..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,354
  • Aug 19, 2025 8:09am Aug 19, 2025 8:09am
Quoting johncen
bull took back 1659 and 1682
the week is fighting the month.. its a game of inches.. If it falls now the same 1674/82/86 may be a top lid. When below 1674 now it may pop.. but sustained below 1652 is best
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,355
  • Aug 19, 2025 8:20am Aug 19, 2025 8:20am
wk meets month pressure making a diamond. PA is below the month wk day and 12h here below 1674.. Make of that what you might. It just needs to sustain.. The LC attraction at 1660
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,356
  • Aug 19, 2025 8:52am Aug 19, 2025 8:52am
Bear or Bull point. The 200 1h is near.. The 4h in the 1600 area. 1683 being a month marker, that indicated a bear. A fall can be over 200 pips. I'm thinking 1520/50 or more, to start. The day 200 ema in the 1200 area. It can bounce here too. If the 12h tomorrow is below 1674. It greatly shifts the odds to lower. It may fall here under 1674 at any moment .. Lc pull can bring 1660.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,357
  • Aug 19, 2025 10:19am Aug 19, 2025 10:19am
lc made it 1664.. The 6h did close below the 12h 1674.. But it didnt break down. - 1674 is on the bearish side of the structure I use. The 200 1h and 1668 is supporting.. A sustained close below 1650 for bears.. Bulls are at these supports.. It may be a hump day move.. Pressure from both directions
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,358
  • Aug 19, 2025 10:57am Aug 19, 2025 10:57am
-1658 is a start if sustained below.. .. but it needs to be below 1650/53 too. sustained.. Later it may try for 1672. and later 1674 may be R
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,359
  • Aug 19, 2025 11:42am Aug 19, 2025 11:42am
I set tp for 1560.. a little above 1556.. Some possible bounce in the area.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #124,360
  • Aug 19, 2025 12:03pm Aug 19, 2025 12:03pm
I should had posted this earlier.. I did a day or 2 back.. The uj is bearish and the month and week to me, however the day is green.. I will sell the bounce,, Look for weakness on bounces
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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