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  • #15,861
  • Aug 17, 2025 9:16pm Aug 17, 2025 9:16pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} pa stuck in the middle! Lets wait for a breakout!
Probably down after it failed to break higher but lets see if volatility hits on a break down! Good luck!
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  • #15,862
  • Aug 17, 2025 9:27pm Aug 17, 2025 9:27pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Probably down after it failed to break higher but lets see if volatility hits on a break down! Good luck!
yes i have got a early sign if top failure but will need pa to start closing below 1700 1696 and 1680

i m not convinced with either sides yet
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #15,863
  • Aug 17, 2025 10:03pm Aug 17, 2025 10:03pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} yes i have got a early sign if top failure but will need pa to start closing below 1700 1696 and 1680 i m not convinced with either sides yet
I'm not sure it has the momentum to go anywhere! Maybe test 1.1750!
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  • #15,864
  • Aug 17, 2025 10:42pm Aug 17, 2025 10:42pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} I'm not sure it has the momentum to go anywhere! Maybe test 1.1750!
i hope we dont get there but who knows!
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #15,865
  • Aug 17, 2025 10:46pm Aug 17, 2025 10:46pm
Weekly flip lvl 1.17005
H4 opening lvl 1.17084

If the price goes above h4 open, I go with bulls without hesitation.
for me selling only below today's low
  • #15,866
  • Aug 17, 2025 11:13pm Aug 17, 2025 11:13pm
DXY range
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  • #15,867
  • Aug 17, 2025 11:27pm Aug 17, 2025 11:27pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} i hope we dont get there but who knows!
Me too. I think we have yo wait what the meeting between Trump - Zelensky brings!
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  • #15,868
  • Aug 17, 2025 11:30pm Aug 17, 2025 11:30pm
DXY near RL test
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  • #15,869
  • Aug 17, 2025 11:44pm Aug 17, 2025 11:44pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Me too. I think we have yo wait what the meeting between Trump - Zelensky brings!
zelensky is in tough position, any deal may not be good news for the EU even if it brings cease fire.
if ukraine has to give up land its like the EU/US trade deal i guess
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #15,870
  • Aug 17, 2025 11:51pm Aug 17, 2025 11:51pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} zelensky is in tough position, any deal may not be good news for the EU even if it brings cease fire. if ukraine has to give up land its like the EU/US trade deal i guess
Yes EU seems to lose more if they make a US deal!
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  • #15,871
  • Aug 18, 2025 12:17am Aug 18, 2025 12:17am
[idézet=johncen;15354648]{idézet} Zelenszkij nehéz helyzetben van, bármilyen megállapodás sem lehet jó hír az EU-nak, még akkor sem, ha tűzszünetet hoz. Ha Ukrajnának fel kell adnia a földeket, az olyan, mint az EU-USA kereskedelmi megállapodás, gondolom.[/idézet]

I don't think there will be an agreement. Trump can't guarantee peace. He's just a big mouth. He has no idea what he should do. He won't listen to professional advice. Now he wants to give the task to NATO.
Maybe he's afraid, or he's in Putin's pocket.
Unfortunately, there's no good alternative here.
  • #15,872
  • Edited 12:47am Aug 18, 2025 12:36am | Edited 12:47am
Quoting clubdio
[idézet=johncen;15354648]{idézet} Zelenszkij nehéz helyzetben van, bármilyen megállapodás sem lehet jó hír az EU-nak, még akkor sem, ha tűzszünetet hoz. Ha Ukrajnának fel kell adnia a földeket, az olyan, mint az EU-USA kereskedelmi megállapodás, gondolom.[/idézet] I don't think there will be an agreement. Trump can't guarantee peace. He's just a big mouth. He has no idea what he should do. He won't listen to professional advice. Now he wants to give the task to NATO. Maybe he's afraid, or he's in Putin's pocket. Unfortunately, there's no good...
Russia wants U.S.-backed security directly involving the USA if things escalate, which seems like a lot of pressure and a headache for the U.S. They’re stronger as the big player and last-resort threat. Or, Trump could have made a backdoor deal with Putin to weaken NATO so the U.S. can control Ukraine and its oil supply, with the U.S. as their main protector instead of NATO. Either way, it's a win-win for the USD. If a deal happens, it’ll likely resemble the EU/US trade deal. If they don’t make a deal and the war continues, the USD remains a safe haven compared to the EUR.

But then, you could argue what benefits the U.S. more control over Ukraine’s energy resources post-war, or a lingering war over a potential NATO member? If that were the case, NATO members wouldn’t need to invest as much in defense, since the U.S. would be the guarantor against their biggest threat. This would mean fewer weapons bought from the U.S. It’ll be interesting to see what kind of solution they come up with.
  • #15,873
  • Aug 18, 2025 12:51am Aug 18, 2025 12:51am
Trump did not impose any trade tariffs on Russia with more land for Russia means more gain for ru/ us trade potential.
  • #15,874
  • Aug 18, 2025 1:04am Aug 18, 2025 1:04am
Quoting Lordhosios
This week, I am going bearish on EURUSD Based on the previous PPI report which signals a potential spike of inflation in the coming months, investors will be looking to temper their rate-cut expectations leading to a possible rate-cut cool down. Though, the cool down may not happen right away, the market will look forward to the data that will released this week so we might see the cool down unfold subtly. Not aggressively. Also, on the technical side, EURUSD is in a supply zone and a sell-off is forming. By the end of the week, we might see EURUSD...

Trade update:

EURUSD is dumping, the cool down is taking shape gradually. Locking some profits right away
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Doing it like a Lord would
  • #15,875
  • Aug 18, 2025 1:08am Aug 18, 2025 1:08am
DXY US dollar near main resistance
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  • #15,876
  • Aug 18, 2025 1:25am Aug 18, 2025 1:25am
Weekly pivot 1672 touched and reacting
not sure if we get to 166x

it would be nice if bear can close below 1680
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #15,877
  • Aug 18, 2025 1:27am Aug 18, 2025 1:27am
[idézet=death-wish;15354698]{idézet} De akkor vitatkozhatunk azon, hogy mi az előnye az USA-nak az Ukrajna energiaforrásai feletti nagyobb ellenőrzésből a háború után, vagy egy elhúzódó háborúból egy potenciális NATO-tag miatt? Ha ez lenne a helyzet, a NATO-tagországoknak nem kellene annyit befektetniük a védelembe, mivel az USA lenne a garancia a legnagyobb fenyegetésükkel szemben. Ez azt jelentené, hogy kevesebb fegyvert vásárolnának az USA-tól. Érdekes lesz látni, milyen megoldással állnak elő.[/idézet]


America could not protect Europe. Europe knows, it can only protect itself!
America is far away, Russia is close.
If Putin gets his hands on Ukraine, he will get a huge amount of raw materials and good quality agricultural land.
It will be CCCP! Then America can really start to worry!
America has already made this mistake once, by downplaying the danger.
History repeats itself.
  • #15,878
  • Aug 18, 2025 2:07am Aug 18, 2025 2:07am
Quoting johncen
Weekly pivot 1672 touched and reacting not sure if we get to 166x it would be nice if bear can close below 1680
am not too sure how strong bear momentum is, last hour closed just above.

next bear will have to take down 166x and 1650 otherwise bull can kick us back in the range to retest the high
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #15,879
  • Aug 18, 2025 2:29am Aug 18, 2025 2:29am
Trump’s recent talks are shaking up the geopolitical scene. His meeting with Putin didn’t seal peace but laid groundwork, and now all eyes are on his sit-down with Zelenskiy. By suggesting Ukraine could end the war “if he wants to,” and signaling opposition to NATO expansion or Crimea’s return, Trump is raising political risks for Europe. Since Europe’s backing of Ukraine is tied to euro stability, any U.S.-led deal that sidelines Kyiv could weaken the EU. Meanwhile, the dollar stands tall as the go-to safe haven in times of uncertainty.
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  • #15,880
  • Aug 18, 2025 2:39am Aug 18, 2025 2:39am
Quoting johncen
{quote} am not too sure how strong bear momentum is, last hour closed just above. next bear will have to take down 166x and 1650 otherwise bull can kick us back in the range to retest the high
You mean this channell? - blue thick lines

1.1630 or weekly S1 & 1.1600-1.1590 should be next on a break below.
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