EURUSD London Session Manipulation (AMD)

Check your post #94

Sorry but I don't follow. How is what I wrote in post #94 relevent here?

This guy already gave you the information you need… but you rejected it (for an understandable reason, of course). Still, I believe it will help you..
With “MP” you can see what regular charts don’t show you. It stands for Market Profile..

Thanks! Which TV indicator would you recommend I look into for market profile? There are a few.
I've tried trading with MP couple of years ago during my intensive learning phase but with no success. I then switched to pure price action, ICT, SMC and then developed my own system using AMD + momentum indicator for entries.

I admire your dedication and discipline, your structured way of working, and your logs… And I’ll say it again: you understand the market better than most. I also recognize things I use myself but that many people don’t know or see.

With TV, I can’t help you. For me, structure is necessary, so I decided to keep it as much as possible on MT..

Check out the image..

The entry was tough because it went against high volume, trend, distribution phase, and away from liquidity...
It’s a bit like trying to swim against a strong current

Strategy Update — Monday & Tuesday, August 18-19th

EURUSD
2 x -1R loss

The losing streak continues with two more losses this week. Both were valid trades following clean Asia Low manipulations — an unsuccessful short on Monday, followed by an invalidated long this morning.

This marks the 7th and 8th consecutive loss, and 11 losses in the last 13 executions. August is proving rough, with the strategy sitting at -7R for the month. Prolonged losing stretches like this can really weigh on you — feeling powerless and deflated, especially seeing an account that once sat at $400 drop to a historic low of under $85.

But what can you do? The system has been thoroughly backtested and forward-tested over 1.5k+ trades and is proven to be profitable. The low win rate of just 36% is the reason behind so many losses — an inevitable part of this particular edge.

While it’s not exactly pleasant, I remain determined to show up and execute flawlessly, because that’s all I really can do. The math is on my side; I just need to let it play out over the long run.
A 10-ish trade losing streak is something I’ve seen a few times in backtests, so I’m not defeated. I still have full belief in the system and will continue trading it, knowing it can generate six- or even seven-figure profits over the next couple of years.
Not weeks.
Not months.
Years.
I’m willing to wait that long. My life and happiness don’t depend on Forex. I’m not defined by my trading — it’s something I love and am passionate about. Good times will come, as they always do.

Starting next week, I’ll take a well-deserved two-week vacation. I plan to recharge, step away from the charts, and enjoy my honeymoon as I get married this Friday. Quality time with my new wife will be the perfect reset.

But before that, see you tomorrow, as always!

Strategy Update — Wednesday, August 20th

EURUSD
-1R loss

When you think a win is just around the corner, the market humbles you with yet another loss — my 9th consecutive one.

With a system like mine, running at around a 35% win rate, the statistical chance of such a streak is only about 2.1%. On average, a run like this should happen once every ~136 trades. Since I take about 20 executions per month, that means I should expect a stretch like this roughly once every 6–7 months.

Looking at the numbers in this way really helps me keep perspective. Without understanding the probabilities behind my edge, I might’ve already labeled the strategy “broken” and abandoned it.
Instead, I know these losing streaks are part of the game. With my win rate, even an 11–12 trade losing streak isn’t an anomaly — it’s just the random distribution of wins and losses. That knowledge helps me accept it, rather than fear it or try to “fix” something that isn’t broken.

Of course, it still hurts to be sitting on 17 losses out of the last 22 trades. My August drawdown of -8R won’t be erased overnight; it might take months of grinding through winners, break-evens, and the occasional loss before I dig myself out. But that’s fine. My only job is to show up and execute with discipline, ignoring the short-term PnL and staying locked in on the process.

See you tomorrow — same routine, same mindset.

Strategy Update — August 21th - September 8th

I’m fully back after a two-and-a-half week break following my wedding and a magical honeymoon on the beautiful island of Mauritius. 🌴☀️
It was a well-deserved pause from both my 9–5 and trading, though I’ll admit I couldn’t resist peeking at the charts a couple of times while sunbathing on the beach. That said, here’s how the strategy performed during my time away:

Results (21.08 – 08.09):

1. 8 full losses = -8R
2. 3 x 2R wins = +6R
3. 2 no-trade days
   Total: -2R
   Win rate: 27% (well below the strategy’s 35% average)

The highlight: a 10-trade losing streak finally broke with the August 25th win. The downside: August still ended red at -5R, which means three consecutive losing months this summer (June -0.9R, July -2R, August -5R). Not ideal, but part of the game.

During the entire period, I’ve taken two trades — one in Mauritius last Thursday and one back home in Warsaw this Monday — both ended in full losses. Still, no regrets, both were executed by the book.

This time away gave me much-needed perspective on life, priorities, and realistic expectations. My wife and I had long talks about the future, and I’m truly grateful to have her full support. She understands how much trading means to me and how, with time and discipline, a relatively modest starting investment could grow into something life-changing for our family. That understanding gives me extra confidence to focus on the process rather than obsess over short-term PnL.


Next steps:
As I outlined when starting this journal, I plan to invest around $2,500 into my broker account and aim to grow it to six or even seven figures over the next few years. The first half ($1,250) will be wired this month, the other half in October. After that, I’ll continue topping up with $500 per month until the balance reaches $12,500. A new Trade Explorer will be created for this account, as the previous one was just a trial run.

Monthly recap will follow shortly.

It feels good to be back — let’s stay professional and keep executing flawlessly!

After doing more extensive backtesting, I’ve decided to stop trading this strategy.

While the framework itself was logical and executable, the long-term numbers simply weren’t strong enough to justify continuing. The data showed an average net gain of around +2R per month across roughly 20 trades, with a win rate below 35%. That kind of profile creates a lot of variance and psychological pressure for a relatively modest return, so I concluded the edge was too weak to pursue further.

Instead of trying to force improvements, I decided to move on and focus on a stronger approach.

Since Q4 2025, I’ve been developing and testing a new strategy, with backtested data going all the way back to 2013. The results are significantly stronger and the system requires far fewer trades, which fits my personality and preferred trading style much better.

I started trading this new strategy live at the beginning of 2026 with a modest bankroll and I’m documenting the entire process in a separate journal thread.

If anyone is interested in following the journey, you can find it here:
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...2#post15607432