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  • #15,761
  • Aug 13, 2025 10:43pm Aug 13, 2025 10:43pm
  • #15,762
  • Aug 13, 2025 10:43pm Aug 13, 2025 10:43pm
Quoting johncen
Can bear make a return? for now bull is still in control {image}
I'm sure I see its 5 waves up from 1600!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #15,763
  • Aug 13, 2025 10:47pm Aug 13, 2025 10:47pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} I'm sure I see its 5 waves up from 1600!
where it starts? From 1.14?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #15,764
  • Aug 13, 2025 11:38pm Aug 13, 2025 11:38pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} where it starts? From 1.14?
Yes. A wave 2 or b is in the cards but needs to confirm!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #15,765
  • Aug 14, 2025 1:18am Aug 14, 2025 1:18am
If both scenarios fail then we are in trouble! Keep tight stop loss and wait for confirmation. Its your trade!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2025-08-14_09-15-01.png Size: 65 KB
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #15,766
  • Aug 14, 2025 2:55am Aug 14, 2025 2:55am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
If both scenarios fail then we are in trouble! Keep tight stop loss and wait for confirmation. Its your trade! {image}
red line playing out but 1660-1680 have support!
We need a shift in market sentiment if bear wants to make a return
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #15,767
  • Aug 14, 2025 3:10am Aug 14, 2025 3:10am
Quoting johncen
{quote} red line playing out but 1660-1680 have support! We need a shift in market sentiment if bear wants to make a return
news might be the catalyst for the bears... we might see a little push to the upside then a sell-off
Doing it like a Lord would
  • #15,768
  • Aug 14, 2025 3:20am Aug 14, 2025 3:20am
Quoting johncen
{quote} red line playing out but 1660-1680 have support! We need a shift in market sentiment if bear wants to make a return
Crossing fingers it will drop lower near 1.1650 then we can see if 1.1600 or 1.1715 again.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #15,769
  • Aug 14, 2025 3:39am Aug 14, 2025 3:39am
They always come back sooner or later, so I'm counting on bulls.
  • #15,770
  • Aug 14, 2025 3:54am Aug 14, 2025 3:54am
Quoting josip
{quote} 1.1720 stopped the bulls, but we are moving resistance to 1.1750-60 if we break 1.1720...if we stay below 1.1720, space may open for a drop to 1.1650
UPDATE
EURUSD H1
trendlines

We stayed below 1.1720 over night and morning, so we are heading towards 1.1650 where is support zone...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: b.jpg Size: 203 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #15,771
  • Aug 14, 2025 4:01am Aug 14, 2025 4:01am
A new level of H4 candle opening 1.1668 While price is above I take buy
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: obraz_2025-08-14_110453364.png Size: 19 KB
  • #15,772
  • Aug 14, 2025 4:43am Aug 14, 2025 4:43am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Crossing fingers it will drop lower near 1.1650 then we can see if 1.1600 or 1.1715 again.
if we close the week below 1650 maybe a good signal for bear
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #15,773
  • Aug 14, 2025 4:54am Aug 14, 2025 4:54am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Yes. A wave 2 or b is in the cards but needs to confirm!
I am not good at counting waves but thats how i was counting, i might be completely wrong.

for the recent rise from around 1.11, we have completed abc correction waves with the last drop
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: IMG_5765.jpeg Size: 450 KB


that rise from around 1.11 is the fifth wave since the beginning of the year and we are now completing wave b
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: IMG_5766.jpeg Size: 444 KB
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #15,774
  • Aug 14, 2025 4:58am Aug 14, 2025 4:58am
Quoting johncen
{quote} I am not good at counting waves but thats how i was counting, i might be completely wrong. for the recent rise from around 1.11, we have completed abc correction waves with the last drop {image} that rise from around 1.11 is the fifth wave since the beginning of the year and we are now completing wave b {image}
Looks like a double zig-zag - abc x abc (second scenario). We are in x!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #15,775
  • Aug 14, 2025 5:00am Aug 14, 2025 5:00am
One of the Good Guys here on Forex Factory


Islandfx911 replied 20 min ago
  • #15,776
  • Edited 5:29am Aug 14, 2025 5:03am | Edited 5:29am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Looks like a double zig-zag - abc x abc (second scenario). We are in x!
looks like it! I am better with my trendline

key one that i m watching is the one from around 1.08, a retest is required after that sharp drop in late July and this is now done. We should be able to resume the trend

no confirmation as yet. All just speculation until it plays out. Bear needs to go below 1650
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: IMG_5767.jpeg Size: 417 KB
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #15,777
  • Aug 14, 2025 5:10am Aug 14, 2025 5:10am
Quoting johncen
{quote} looks like it! I am better with my trendline key one that i m watching is the one from around 1.08, a retest is required after that sharp drop in late July and this is now done. We should be able to resume the trend {image}
It's tested six days before if I'm not wrong. If it losses momentum will not think twice!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #15,778
  • Aug 14, 2025 5:25am Aug 14, 2025 5:25am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} It's tested six days before if I'm not wrong. If it losses momentum will not think twice!
well thats true, which puts me off selling for a bit.

What I can see is bull wants 1730 (usdx 97.7) and both done. If my anslysis is right we should see bear to show up.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #15,779
  • Aug 14, 2025 5:29am Aug 14, 2025 5:29am
Quoting johncen
{quote} well thats true, which puts me off selling for a bit. What I can see is bull wants 1730 (usdx 97.7) and both done. If my anslysis is right we should see bear to show up.
For now this retrace near 1700 should be muted until news - us ppi and then will decide!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #15,780
  • Aug 14, 2025 5:34am Aug 14, 2025 5:34am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} For now this retrace near 1700 should be muted until news - us ppi and then will decide!
I am waiting for the News... until then, no trade
never try to catch a falling knife
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