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  • #15,581
  • Aug 7, 2025 11:44pm Aug 7, 2025 11:44pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} lets wait for London open, support is reacting atm
The morning seemed better now some momentum has been lost. I believe it will go down to test 1610.
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  • #15,582
  • Aug 8, 2025 12:04am Aug 8, 2025 12:04am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} The morning seemed better now some momentum has been lost. I believe it will go down to test 1610.
yup no follow up from the bear ~ it bounced off my support area. Haha that drop scared me away from buying

maybe later~
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #15,583
  • Aug 8, 2025 12:32am Aug 8, 2025 12:32am
Daily flip level 1.1663
H4 opening lvl 1.1658 above I go with bulls
  • #15,584
  • Aug 8, 2025 12:44am Aug 8, 2025 12:44am
Quoting Cavar
Daily flip level 1.1663 H4 opening lvl 1.1658 above I go with bulls
1.1662 for me!
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  • #15,585
  • Aug 8, 2025 1:49am Aug 8, 2025 1:49am
bear does look convincing this time! Let see if we can test the low yesterday
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #15,586
  • Aug 8, 2025 2:15am Aug 8, 2025 2:15am
Quoting johncen
bear does look convincing this time! Let see if we can test the low yesterday
She sure does!
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  • #15,587
  • Aug 8, 2025 2:29am Aug 8, 2025 2:29am
  • #15,588
  • Aug 8, 2025 6:38am Aug 8, 2025 6:38am
No idea where we are heading to, price stuck in a tight range and both side have a chance.

lets wait for a breakout.

but i m signing off here so will see u all next week~
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #15,589
  • Aug 8, 2025 8:47am Aug 8, 2025 8:47am
Price stuck inside this range (15 min. graph) with no direction. If it manage to advance above 1.1665 might test the higher bound next but I wouldn't touch a button its friday! For me next week is the US CPI report that's where market need to focus so will trade again at Monday. Will share my weekly analysis tomorrow!

It was great sharing my views with all, I wish you a wonderful end of the day and a beautiful weekend with friends and family.
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  • #15,590
  • Aug 8, 2025 9:31am Aug 8, 2025 9:31am
Same bruhv to 1 n all
It is what it is
  • #15,591
  • Aug 9, 2025 12:04am Aug 9, 2025 12:04am
The EUR/USD closed higher this week but remained below the 1.1700 level, creating a consolidation range. Resistance at 1.1667 and 1.1700 and support between 1.1610 and 1.1600 are keeping the pair range-bound. A strong move is needed to break out of this range. If the expected breakout occurs, the next levels to watch on the upside are 1.1736/47 and 1.1770, followed by the 1.1800/30 resistance levels. On the downside, the support levels are 1.1559, 1.1537, and 1.1516.

The overall trend is upward but is currently in an a-b-c correction phase that's targeting below 1.1516. However, if the pair breaks above 1.1700, an extension to the 1.1770 level could occur first.

Have a great weekend!


Weekly volatility (range) 126 pips

Option expiries for Monday: 1.1800 (EU1.49b), 1.1550 (EU1.23b), 1.1750 (EU1.1b) source: financialjuice.com

Significant news - US CPI, US PPI, US Retail Sales, US Initial Jobless Claims, US Industrial Production & University Michigan Sentiment.

4H
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  • #15,592
  • Edited 3:02am Aug 9, 2025 2:30am | Edited 3:02am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
The EUR/USD closed higher this week but remained below the 1.1700 level, creating a consolidation range. Resistance at 1.1667 and 1.1700 and support between 1.1610 and 1.1600 are keeping the pair range-bound. A strong move is needed to break out of this range. If the expected breakout occurs, the next levels to watch on the upside are 1.1736/47 and 1.1770, followed by the 1.1800/30 resistance levels. On the downside, the support levels are 1.1559, 1.1537, and 1.1516. The overall trend is upward but is currently in an a-b-c correction phase that's...
this week we continued to bounce and have retested the broken 4h trendline. We can continue to go higher but as long as 1750 holds (1730 better) we may go down.
i guess we might get weeks or even months of consolidation on higher time frame until breakout

Usdx is more clear, bull needs to claim back 98.40 and 98.60 while it looks like a doubld bottom.

down side support near 97.7-8 if 98 is unable to hold

cpi should give indication.

my view is we may go down a bit but may limit to 1520
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #15,593
  • Aug 9, 2025 11:42pm Aug 9, 2025 11:42pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} this week we continued to bounce and have retested the broken 4h trendline. We can continue to go higher but as long as 1750 holds (1730 better) we may go down. i guess we might get weeks or even months of consolidation on higher time frame until breakout Usdx is more clear, bull needs to claim back 98.40 and 98.60 while it looks like a doubld bottom. down side support near 97.7-8 if 98 is unable to hold cpi should give indication. my view is we may go down a bit but may limit to 1520
Agree with you. Tuesday will set the tone for the remaining of the week.
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  • #15,594
  • Aug 9, 2025 11:52pm Aug 9, 2025 11:52pm
What i'm seeing as of now -
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  • #15,595
  • Aug 10, 2025 1:23am Aug 10, 2025 1:23am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Agree with you. Tuesday will set the tone for the remaining of the week. {image}
sadly i see no real sign of bear yet. What we see from that wick to 1.17 might just be bull gathering liquidity for another leg up.
there is nothing really fundamentally supporting the dollars:
- Market expecting more rate cuts after nfp
- Trump’s action weaken Fed independence
- Trump govt wants weak dollars
- Worries of potential recession in the US.

there are so many uncertainty around and really no one knows what to expect:
- CPI on Tue, because of tariff, we should see that reflecting in the data, but really will data be manupulated? I don’t know.
- in fact Fed rate is still double comparing to Euro zone, but market don’t care about it
- US-Russia talk, no Euro zone involvement in the peace talk should boost the dollars as its showing how useless Euro is in the current situation, especially if Russia get to keep what they have got now
- US-China talk, has official extension confirmed?

While i am expecting a retracement after what happened in the first half of the year but really a wide range consolidation is what we are seeing now.

above 1662 we will see another push to 1.17 or above
If we start closing below 1610 (Thu low) increases the odds for further south move but 1570-90 turned into strong support
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #15,596
  • Edited 7:29pm Aug 10, 2025 6:50pm | Edited 7:29pm
EU opened flat and waiting for break out~

there are no news today so it might be ranging again~

update: another attempt from bull to break 1.166x
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #15,597
  • Aug 10, 2025 8:24pm Aug 10, 2025 8:24pm
likely a retest to 1.17
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #15,598
  • Aug 10, 2025 8:27pm Aug 10, 2025 8:27pm
The EUR/USD is trading between 1.1635 and 1.1622/28 support zone and 1.1678 resistance. Its early yet but for now the sentiment is good so a break above resistance should at least test 1.1700. from the other side if sentiment sours and momentum is lost then I expect lows to be visited.

Have a great week!


Daily volatility (range) 58 pips

Option expiries for Monday: 1.1800 (EU1.49b), 1.1550 (EU1.23b), 1.1750 (EU1.1b) source: financialjuice.com
1H
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  • #15,599
  • Aug 10, 2025 8:56pm Aug 10, 2025 8:56pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
The EUR/USD is trading between 1.1635 and 1.1622/28 support zone and 1.1678 resistance. Its early yet but for now the sentiment is good so a break above resistance should at least test 1.1700. from the other side if sentiment sours and momentum is lost then I expect lows to be visited. Have a great week! Daily volatility (range) 58 pips Option expiries for Monday: 1.1800 (EU1.49b), 1.1550 (EU1.23b), 1.1750 (EU1.1b) source: financialjuice.com 1H {image}
new upward channel formed.

thought we will go retest 1.1580-90 first but didnt

a retest to 1.1662 now maybe a buy, if we get there
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #15,600
  • Aug 10, 2025 9:12pm Aug 10, 2025 9:12pm
Its great bro ! Goodluck all the best
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